https://twitter.com/DavidRayAmos/with_replies
20 Liberals
23 Progressive Conservatives
3 PANB
3 Green
New Brunswickers head to polls in 1st general election during COVID-19
PC Leader Blaine Higgs eyes majority in snap election gamble
After a four-week campaign, election day has arrived in New Brunswick, and voters will stream into polling stations across the province to decide who will form the government.
Touting the importance of stability in a tumultuous year, Progressive Conservative Leader Blaine Higgs is seeking a majority after two years of leading the province's first minority government since 1920.
It's the first general election in Canada since the emergence of COVID-19, and the snap election call itself has become one of the key points of contention in a campaign that can't be defined by a single prevailing issue.
Higgs dissolved the legislature on Aug. 17 following unsuccessful talks between political parties to uphold the PC government until the official end of the pandemic or next the fixed election date in October 2022.
Previous polling suggested the PCs were in a strong position amid the generally successful management of the outbreak in New Brunswick and economic recovery — something the Tories mentioned often in the past four weeks.
Instead, the opposition parties are quick to praise Dr. Jennifer Russell, the province's chief medical officer of health, and the importance of the all-party cabinet committee struck to oversee COVID-related decisions.
New Brunswick Votes 2020 Results: Watch returns come in live on our interactive results page.
The opposition
Third parties, like the Greens and People's Alliance, have routinely used that point to extol the virtues of minority governments. Alliance Leader Kris Austin, who offered support for the PC government, and Green Leader David Coon have said the arrangement allows for greater government accountability, while arguing Higgs can't be trusted with a majority.
Liberal Leader Kevin Vickers used that refrain at almost every opportunity on the campaign trail, warning voters of Higgs's "secret plan" to make deep cuts to public services, including health care in rural areas despite a PC pledge not to do so.
Vickers, the first-time leader who is seeking his first seat in the New Brunswick legislature, isn't discussing a minority as the party hopes to flip enough seats to regain power and extend the run of one-term premiers.
The Brian Gallant Liberals' unsuccessful bid to form government following the 2018 election furthered the streak governments held to a single term to four. Prior to the 2006 election, New Brunswick political parties have managed at least two consecutive terms in office since Confederation.
Meanwhile, interim leader MacKenzie Thomason spent the campaign redefining the NDP as the party of the left after recent shifts in ideology. The NDP, which is seeking its first seat since 2003, has been shut out in four consecutive elections.
Polls across the province close at 8 p.m. AT, though "a few" will remain open beyond the deadline as a result of some "technical glitches," according to Elections New Brunswick, the provincial agency that oversees elections.
Spokesperson Paul Harpelle said there were some start-up issues in Fredericton and other areas have had trouble with "netbooks used for striking off voters on the electors list who have voted."
Things to keep in mind
The PCs won the most seats in the 2018 election with 22, three short of the 25 needed for a majority. The Liberals won 21, the Greens and Alliance took a historic three each.
At dissolution, the PCs were down two seats after the death of Saint Croix MLA Greg Thompson and the departure of former deputy minister Robert Gauvin, who sat as an independent in Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou but is now running for the Liberals in Shediac Bay-Dieppe, a seat vacated by Gallant and unfilled prior to the campaign.
The Liberals carried the popular vote in 2018 with a 37.8 per cent vote share — six points higher than the PCs. The Alliance received 12.5 per cent, the Greens earned 11.8 per cent and the NDP mustered five per cent.
No party enters election day with a full roster of 49 candidates, after the PCs, Liberals and Alliance dismissed a candidate each last week over offensive social media posts targeting marginalized groups.
Former PC candidate Roland Michaud will be running as an independent in Victoria-La Vallée, a potential blow for the party who lost the seat to the Liberals in 2018 by 358 votes. On the other hand, the Liberals have no chance of retaking Saint Croix from the PCs after dropping candidate John Gardner, who is also running as an independent.
As
the Tories scour the province for possible gains, they will be looking
to central, western and southern areas. In 2018, Higgs had trouble
breaking through in northern New Brunswick, which is predominantly
francophone and leans heavily towards the Liberals; the electoral map
showed a stark linguistic divide.
The informal partnership between the PCs and the People's Alliance, a party that has criticized the implementation of bilingualism in New Brunswick and called for a "common sense" approach, in the previous legislature appears to have deepened the divide. In the days after the 2018 election, the Alliance pledged to prop up a PC minority government for 18 months.
As CBC poll analyst Eric Grénier notes, the paths to victory for both Higgs and Vickers are narrow.
CBC News coverage
CBC New Brunswick brings you election night coverage starting at 7:30 p.m.
Join host Harry Forestell with expert analysis from Jacques Poitras, Rachel Cave and reporters in communities across the province. Polls close at 8 p.m. and we will have continuing coverage until the results are in.
Watch or listen on: CBC TV, CBC Gem, CBC Radio, CBC Listen, CBC News Network, cbc.ca/nb and on the CBC New Brunswick Facebook page.
About the Author
With files from Gail Harding
20 Liberals
23 Progressive Conservatives
3 PANB
3 Green
18 Liberals
24 Progressive Conservatives
2 PANB
4 Greens
1 Independant (Michaud)
17 Liberals
27 Progressive Conservatives
2 PANB
3 Green
My Mistakes
PED 20 - Moncton South
Greg Turner Progressive Conservative Tyson Milner Liberal
PED 37 - Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton
Mary Wilson Progressive Conservatives Steven Burns Liberal
PED 42 - Fredericton-York
Ryan P. Cullins Progressive Conservatives Rick DeSaulniers People's Alliance
PED 46 - Carleton-Victoria
Margaret Johnson Progressive Conservative Andrew Harvey Liberal
From: "Higgs, Premier Blaine (PO/CPM)" <Blaine.Higgs@gnb.ca>
Date: Mon, 14 Sep 2020 17:40:58 +0000
Subject: Automatic reply: YO Higgy Methinks since your blogging buddy
Chucky Leblanc and his IT Guy Faust have revealed their election
predictons it should be my turn N'esy Pas???
To: David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail.
Thank you for writing the Office of the Premier. Due to the ongoing
election, your e-mail, if warranted, will be forwarded to the
appropriate department for a response.
If you are looking for current information on Coronavirus, please
visit www.gnb.ca/coronavirus<http://
Nous vous remercions d’avoir pris le temps d’écrire au Cabinet du
premier ministre. En raison de l’élection en cours, votre courriel
sera, le cas échéant, transmis au ministère compétent pour qu’il y
réponde.
Si vous souhaitez obtenir les renseignements les plus récents sur le
coronavirus, veuillez consulter le
www.gnb.ca/coronavirus<http://
Office of the Premier/Cabinet du premier ministre
P.O Box/C. P. 6000
Fredericton, New-Brunswick/Nouveau-Brunswick
Canada
Tel./Tel. : (506) 453-2144
Email/Courriel: premier@gnb.ca/premier.
---------- Original message ----------
From: David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail.
Date: Mon, 14 Sep 2020 14:40:54 -0300
Subject: YO Higgy Methinks since your blogging buddy Chucky Leblanc
and his IT Guy Faust have revealed their election predictons it should
be my turn N'esy Pas???
To: Blaine.Higgs@gnb.ca, premier.ministre@gnb.ca,
voteryancullins@outlook.com, roy4fgl@gmail.com, "kris.austin"
<kris.austin@gnb.ca>, "rick.desaulniers" <rick.desaulniers@gnb.ca>,
"Holland, Mike (LEG)" <mike.holland@gnb.ca>, "Mark.Blakely"
<Mark.Blakely@rcmp-grc.gc.ca>, "mary.wilson" <mary.wilson@gnb.ca>,
"carl.urquhart" <carl.urquhart@gnb.ca>, "Stephen.Horsman"
<Stephen.Horsman@gnb.ca>, "Stephane.vaillancourt"
<Stephane.vaillancourt@rcmp-
<robert.gauvin@gnb.ca>, "Roger.L.Melanson" <roger.l.melanson@gnb.ca>,
Frank.McKenna@td.com, Kevin.leahy@rcmp-grc.gc.ca, terry.seguin@cbc.ca,
Charles.Murray@gnb.ca, aip-aivp@gnb.ca, mark@huddle.today,
perry.brad@radioabl.ca, "sylvie.gadoury"
<sylvie.gadoury@radio-canada.
cfta@eastlink.ca, votemaxime@gmail.com,
heather.collins.panb@gmail.com
"steve.murphy" <steve.murphy@ctv.ca>, Nathalie Sturgeon
<sturgeon.nathalie@
<Newsroom@globeandmail.com>
Cc: motomaniac333 <motomaniac333@gmail.com>, "Robert. Jones"
<Robert.Jones@cbc.ca>, oldmaison <oldmaison@yahoo.com>, andre
<andre@jafaust.com>, "David.Coon" <David.Coon@gnb.ca>
First enjoy dumb and dumber
https://www.youtube.com/watch?
Predictions of the 2020 New Brunswick Election are made by Blogger and
Andre Faust!!
59 views
•Sep 14, 2020
Now feel free to laugh at mine
PED 01 - Restigouche West
Gilles LePage Liberal (Charles Thériault Green maybe)
PED 02 - Campbellton-Dalhousie
Guy H. Arseneault Liberal
PED 03 - Restigouche-Chaleur
Daniel Guitard Liberal
PED 04 - Bathurst West-Beresford
René Legacy Liberal
PED 05 - Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore
Denis Landry Liberal
PED 06 – Caraquet
Isabelle Thériault Liberal
PED 07 - Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou
Eric Mallet Liberal
PED 08 - Tracadie-Sheila
Keith Chiasson Liberal
PED 09 - Miramichi Bay-Neguac
Lisa Harris Liberal
PED 10 – Miramichi
Michelle Conroy People's Alliance
PED 11 - Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin
Jake Stewart Progressive Conservative Art O'Donnell People's Alliance (maybe)
PED 12 - Kent North
Arsehole Arsenault Green Meanie Bertrand LeBlanc Liberal (maybe)
PED 13 - Kent South
Benoit Bourque Liberal
PED 14 - Shediac Bay-Dieppe
Robert Gauvin Liberal
PED 15 - Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé
Jacques LeBlanc Liberal
PED 16 - Memramcook-Tantramar
Megan Mitton Green Maxime Bourgeois Liberal (maybe)
PED 17 – Dieppe
Roger Melanson Liberal
PED 18 - Moncton East
Daniel Allain Progressive Conservative Monique LeBlanc Liberal (maybe)
PED 19 - Moncton Centre
Rob McKee Liberal
PED 20 - Moncton South
Tyson Milner Liberal Greg Turner Progressive Conservative (maybe)
PED 21 - Moncton Northwest
Ernie Steeves Progressive Conservative
PED 22 - Moncton Southwest
Sherry Wilson Progressive Conservative
PED 23 – Riverview
R. Bruce Fitch Progressive Conservative
PED 24 – Albert
Mike Holland Progressive Conservative
PED 25 - Gagetown-Petitcodiac
Ross Wetmore Progressive Conservative
PED 26 - Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins
Tammy Scott-Wallace Progressive Conservative
PED 27 – Hampton
Gary E. Crossman Progressive Conservative
PED 28 – Quispamsis
Blaine M. Higgs Progressive Conservative
PED 29 – Rothesay
Hugh J. (Ted) Flemming Progressive Conservative
PED 30 - Saint John East
Glen Savoie Progressive Conservative
PED 31 - Portland-Simonds
Trevor A. Holder Progressive Conservative
PED 32 - Saint John Harbour
Arlene Dunn Progressive Conservative
PED 33 - Saint John Lancaster
K. Dorothy Shephard Progressive Conservative
PED 34 - Kings Centre
Bill Oliver Progressive Conservative
PED 35 - Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West
Andrea Anderson-Mason Progressive Conservative
PED 36 - Saint Croix
Kathy Bockus Progressive Conservative Rod Cumberland People's
Alliance (maybe)
PED 37 - Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton
Steven Burns Liberal
PED 38 - Fredericton-Grand Lake
Kris Austin People's Alliance
PED 39 - New Maryland-Sunbury
Jeff Carr Progressive Conservative
PED 40 - Fredericton South
David Coon Green
PED 41 - Fredericton North
Jill Green Progressive Conservative Stephen horseman Liberal (maybe)
PED 42 - Fredericton-York
Rick DeSaulniers People's Alliance
PED 43 - Fredericton West-Hanwell
Dominic Cardy Progressive Conservative
PED 44 - Carleton-York
Richard Ames Progressive Conservative
PED 45 – Carleton
Bill Hogan Progressive Conservative
PED 46 - Carleton-Victoria
Andrew Harvey Liberal Margaret Johnson Progressive
Conservative (maybe)
PED 47 - Victoria-La Vallée
Chuck Chiasson Liberal Roland Michaud Independent (maybe
PED 48 - Edmundston-Madawaska Centre
Jean-Claude (JC) D'Amours Liberal
PED 49 - Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston
Francine Landry Liberal
20 Liberals
23 Progressive Conservatives
3 PANB
3 Green
On 9/11/20, David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail.
> https://www.youtube.com/watch?
>
> Roy Wiggins wins Liberal Fredericton-South Nomination by one Vote!!!
> 672 views
> •Jun 9, 2014
>
> Charles LeBlanc
> 1.83K subscribers
>
> https://www.youtube.com/watch?
>
> New Brunswick Premier Blaine Higgs is confronted by blogger during
> media scrum and afterwards!!!
> 161 views
> •Sep 4, 2020
> Charles Leblanc
> 1.86K subscribers
>
>
> On 9/11/20, David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail.
>> Now Wiggins and Cullins know some of what everybody else knows
>>
>> https://www.facebook.com/Roy-
>>
>> https://www.facebook.com/
>>
>> ---------- Forwarded message ----------
>> From: "Higgs, Premier Blaine (PO/CPM)" <Blaine.Higgs@gnb.ca>
>> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 2020 11:31:27 +0000
>> Subject: Automatic reply: YO Higgy whereas Roland Michaud said he
>> still has respect for YOU it explains why he did not call me back to
>> discuss the EUB hearing yesterday and why I no longer wish to speak to
>> him N'esy Pas???
>> To: David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail.
>>
>> Thank you for writing the Office of the Premier. Due to the ongoing
>> election, your e-mail, if warranted, will be forwarded to the
>> appropriate department for a response.
>>
>> If you are looking for current information on Coronavirus, please
>> visit www.gnb.ca/coronavirus<http://
>>
>>
>> Nous vous remercions d’avoir pris le temps d’écrire au Cabinet du
>> premier ministre. En raison de l’élection en cours, votre courriel
>> sera, le cas échéant, transmis au ministère compétent pour qu’il y
>> réponde.
>>
>> Si vous souhaitez obtenir les renseignements les plus récents sur le
>> coronavirus, veuillez consulter le
>> www.gnb.ca/coronavirus<http://
>>
>>
>>
>> Office of the Premier/Cabinet du premier ministre
>> P.O Box/C. P. 6000
>> Fredericton, New-Brunswick/Nouveau-
>> E3B 5H1
>> Canada
>> Tel./Tel. : (506) 453-2144
>> Email/Courriel: premier@gnb.ca/premier.
>>
>>
>>
>> Roland Michaud says he misunderstood the meme that got him scrubbed
>> from PC slate
>>
>> YEA RIGHT
>>
>> https://www.cbc.ca/news/
>>
>>
>> Former PC candidate blames sexual abuse as child for transphobic post
>>
>> Roland Michaud says he misunderstood the meme that got him scrubbed
>> from PC slate
>> Elizabeth Fraser · CBC News · Posted: Sep 10, 2020 6:37 PM AT
>>
>>
>> Deja Vu Anyone?
>>
>> https://davidraymondamos3.
>>
>>
>> Thursday, 10 September 2020
>>
>> PC candidate Roland Michaud asked to withdraw after transphobic post
>>
>>
>> https://twitter.com/
>>
>> David Raymond Amos @DavidRayAmos
>> Replying to @alllibertynews and 49 others
>> Methinks much to Higgy's chagrin I manged to speak to Roland Michaud
>> personally and liked the guy so it should be obvious why I hope he
>> wins the seat as an Independent N'esy Pas?
>>
>> https://davidraymondamos3.
>>
>> #nbpoli #cdnpoli
>>
>> https://www.cbc.ca/news/
>>
>>
>> PC candidate Roland Michaud asked to withdraw after transphobic post
>> WARNING: This story includes details some people might find offensive
>>
>> Alexandre Silberman, Gail Harding · CBC News · Posted: Sep 07, 2020 3:19
>> PM
>> AT
>>
>>
>> 2 comments:
>>
>> Unknown 10 September 2020 at 20:08
>>
>> WTF is with these guys?
>> Instead of, at least, pretending he is a "man" and owning what he
>> posted, just tonight Roland Michaud claims he was abused, and that is
>> his reason for posting what he did. Could a politician get any more
>> slippery?
>>
>>
>> MotorcycleManiacLtd 11 September 2020 at 07:41
>>
>> I was wondering the same thing
>>
>
And here we are, a day later, a majority CONServative government, and no morning after pill we can take to fix this.
ReplyDelete