Monday 14 September 2020

New Brunswickers head to polls in 1st general election during COVID-19

 https://twitter.com/DavidRayAmos/with_replies

 
 

Replying to   @alllibertynews and 49 others 
Methinks Higgy et al are laughing at my predictions by now FYI my tally was as follows but most folk don't care for my opinions anyway N'esy Pas?
 
20 Liberals
23 Progressive Conservatives
3 PANB
3 Green
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

New Brunswickers head to polls in 1st general election during COVID-19

PC Leader Blaine Higgs eyes majority in snap election gamble

 
Colin McPhail · CBC News · Posted: Sep 14, 2020 9:00 AM AT 
 
 

New Brunswickers head to the polls Monday to decide who will form the 60th legislative assembly. From left, PC Leader Blaine Higgs, Liberal Leader Kevin Vickers, Green Leader David Coon, NDP Leader MacKenzie Thomason and People's Alliance Leader Kris Austin. (CBC)

After a four-week campaign, election day has arrived in New Brunswick, and voters will stream into polling stations across the province to decide who will form the government. 

Touting the importance of stability in a tumultuous year, Progressive Conservative Leader Blaine Higgs is seeking a majority after two years of leading the province's first minority government since 1920.

It's the first general election in Canada since the emergence of COVID-19, and the snap election call itself has become one of the key points of contention in a campaign that can't be defined by a single prevailing issue.

Higgs dissolved the legislature on Aug. 17 following unsuccessful talks between political parties to uphold the PC government until the official end of the pandemic or next the fixed election date in October 2022.


PC Leader Blaine Higgs made the snap election call on Aug. 17. (Maria Burgos/CBC)
 

Previous polling suggested the PCs were in a strong position amid the generally successful management of the outbreak in New Brunswick and economic recovery — something the Tories mentioned often in the past four weeks. 

Instead, the opposition parties are quick to praise Dr. Jennifer Russell, the province's chief medical officer of health, and the importance of the all-party cabinet committee struck to oversee COVID-related decisions. 

New Brunswick Votes 2020 Results: Watch returns come in live on our interactive results page.

The opposition

Third parties, like the Greens and People's Alliance, have routinely used that point to extol the virtues of minority governments. Alliance Leader Kris Austin, who offered support for the PC government, and Green Leader David Coon have said the arrangement allows for greater government accountability, while arguing Higgs can't be trusted with a majority.

Liberal Leader Kevin Vickers used that refrain at almost every opportunity on the campaign trail, warning voters of Higgs's "secret plan" to make deep cuts to public services, including health care in rural areas despite a PC pledge not to do so.

Vickers, the first-time leader who is seeking his first seat in the New Brunswick legislature, isn't discussing a minority as the party hopes to flip enough seats to regain power and extend the run of one-term premiers.

 
Liberal Leader Kevin Vickers is running in his first political campaign. (Maria Burgos/CBC)
 

The Brian Gallant Liberals' unsuccessful bid to form government following the 2018 election furthered the streak governments held to a single term to four. Prior to the 2006 election, New Brunswick political parties have managed at least two consecutive terms in office since Confederation. 

Meanwhile, interim leader MacKenzie Thomason spent the campaign redefining the NDP as the party of the left after recent shifts in ideology. The NDP, which is seeking its first seat since 2003, has been shut out in four consecutive elections.

Polls across the province close at 8 p.m. AT, though "a few" will remain open beyond the deadline as a result of some "technical glitches," according to Elections New Brunswick, the provincial agency that oversees elections. 

Spokesperson Paul Harpelle said there were some start-up issues in Fredericton and other areas have had trouble with "netbooks used for striking off voters on the electors list who have voted."

Things to keep in mind


The PCs won the most seats in the 2018 election with 22, three short of the 25 needed for a majority. The Liberals won 21, the Greens and Alliance took a historic three each. 

At dissolution, the PCs were down two seats after the death of Saint Croix MLA Greg Thompson and the departure of former deputy minister Robert Gauvin, who sat as an independent in Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou but is now running for the Liberals in Shediac Bay-Dieppe, a seat vacated by Gallant and unfilled prior to the campaign. 

The Liberals carried the popular vote in 2018 with a 37.8 per cent vote share — six points higher than the PCs. The Alliance received 12.5 per cent, the Greens earned 11.8 per cent and the NDP mustered five per cent. 

No party enters election day with a full roster of 49 candidates, after the PCs, Liberals and Alliance dismissed a candidate each last week over offensive social media posts targeting marginalized groups.

Former PC candidate Roland Michaud will be running as an independent in Victoria-La Vallée, a potential blow for the party who lost the seat to the Liberals in 2018 by 358 votes. On the other hand, the Liberals have no chance of retaking Saint Croix from the PCs after dropping candidate John Gardner, who is also running as an independent.

As the Tories scour the province for possible gains, they will be looking to central, western and southern areas. In 2018, Higgs had trouble breaking through in northern New Brunswick, which is predominantly francophone and leans heavily towards the Liberals; the electoral map showed a stark linguistic divide.


The 2018 election results map shows a stark linguistic divide between the francophone north and anglophone south. (CBC)
 

The informal partnership between the PCs and the People's Alliance, a party that has criticized the implementation of bilingualism in New Brunswick and called for a "common sense" approach, in the previous legislature appears to have deepened the divide. In the days after the 2018 election, the Alliance pledged to prop up a PC minority government for 18 months.

As CBC poll analyst Eric Grénier notes, the paths to victory for both Higgs and Vickers are narrow.

CBC News coverage 

CBC New Brunswick brings you election night coverage starting at 7:30 p.m. 

Join host Harry Forestell with expert analysis from Jacques Poitras, Rachel Cave and reporters in communities across the province. Polls close at 8 p.m. and we will have continuing coverage until the results are in.

Watch or listen on: CBC TV, CBC Gem, CBC Radio, CBC Listen, CBC News Network, cbc.ca/nb and on the CBC New Brunswick Facebook page. 

About the Author

Colin McPhail

@colinmcphail

Colin McPhail is a web writer with CBC New Brunswick. He is based in Saint John. You can reach him at colin.mcphail@cbc.ca.

With files from Gail Harding

 

 
 
 
 
 
1734 Comments   
 
 I refreshed the page and now its
1302 Comments
 
 
 
 
 
David Amos:
Methinks Higgy et al should be checking out my election predictions about now FYI my tally is as follows but most folk don't care for my opinions N'esy Pas?

20 Liberals
23 Progressive Conservatives
3 PANB
3 Green
 
 
 
Robert Langue
Reply to @David Amos:
18 Liberals
24 Progressive Conservatives
2 PANB
4 Greens
1 Independant (Michaud)
 
 
Tim Biddiscombe 
Reply to @David Amos: You are correct. Most people dont care for your opinions N'esy Pas.
 
 
Freeman Cowan 
Reply to @David Amos: c'est correct, I mean it is as good as any one elses.
 
 
Pappi Maki 
Reply to @David Amos: what about that man with the bowtie? 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The results
 

17  Liberals

27   Progressive Conservatives

2    PANB

3  Green

 

 My Mistakes

 

PED 20 - Moncton South

Greg Turner Progressive Conservative  Tyson Milner  Liberal     

 

PED 37 - Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton

Mary Wilson   Progressive Conservatives     Steven Burns   Liberal

 

PED 42 - Fredericton-York

Ryan P. Cullins  Progressive Conservatives        Rick DeSaulniers   People's Alliance

 

PED 46 - Carleton-Victoria

Margaret Johnson Progressive Conservative        Andrew Harvey   Liberal

 
 
 
 
---------- Original message ----------
From: "Higgs, Premier Blaine (PO/CPM)" <Blaine.Higgs@gnb.ca>
Date: Mon, 14 Sep 2020 17:40:58 +0000
Subject: Automatic reply: YO Higgy Methinks since your blogging buddy
Chucky Leblanc and his IT Guy Faust have revealed their election
predictons it should be my turn N'esy Pas???
To: David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail.com>

Thank you for writing the Office of the Premier.  Due to the ongoing
election, your e-mail, if warranted, will be forwarded to the
appropriate department for a response.

If you are looking for current information on Coronavirus, please
visit www.gnb.ca/coronavirus<http://www.gnb.ca/coronavirus>.


Nous vous remercions d’avoir pris le temps d’écrire au Cabinet du
premier ministre. En raison de l’élection en cours, votre courriel
sera, le cas échéant, transmis au ministère compétent pour qu’il y
réponde.

Si vous souhaitez obtenir les renseignements les plus récents sur le
coronavirus, veuillez consulter le
www.gnb.ca/coronavirus<http://www.gnb.ca/coronavirus>.



Office of the Premier/Cabinet du premier ministre
P.O Box/C. P. 6000
Fredericton, New-Brunswick/Nouveau-
Brunswick
E3B 5H1
Canada
Tel./Tel. : (506) 453-2144
Email/Courriel: premier@gnb.ca/premier.ministre@gnb.ca


---------- Original message ----------
From: David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 14 Sep 2020 14:40:54 -0300
Subject: YO Higgy Methinks since your blogging buddy Chucky Leblanc
and his IT Guy Faust have revealed their election predictons it should
be my turn N'esy Pas???
To: Blaine.Higgs@gnb.ca, premier.ministre@gnb.ca,
voteryancullins@outlook.com, roy4fgl@gmail.com, "kris.austin"
<kris.austin@gnb.ca>, "rick.desaulniers" <rick.desaulniers@gnb.ca>,
"Holland, Mike (LEG)" <mike.holland@gnb.ca>, "Mark.Blakely"
<Mark.Blakely@rcmp-grc.gc.ca>, "mary.wilson" <mary.wilson@gnb.ca>,
"carl.urquhart" <carl.urquhart@gnb.ca>, "Stephen.Horsman"
<Stephen.Horsman@gnb.ca>, "Stephane.vaillancourt"
<Stephane.vaillancourt@rcmp-grc.gc.ca>, "robert.gauvin"
<robert.gauvin@gnb.ca>, "Roger.L.Melanson" <roger.l.melanson@gnb.ca>,
Frank.McKenna@td.com, Kevin.leahy@rcmp-grc.gc.ca, terry.seguin@cbc.ca,
Charles.Murray@gnb.ca, aip-aivp@gnb.ca, mark@huddle.today,
perry.brad@radioabl.ca, "sylvie.gadoury"
<sylvie.gadoury@radio-canada.ca>, jefferson@ufoparty.ca,
cfta@eastlink.ca, votemaxime@gmail.com,
heather.collins.panb@gmail.com, lglemieux@rogers.com, nobyrne@unb.ca,
"steve.murphy" <steve.murphy@ctv.ca>, Nathalie Sturgeon
<sturgeon.nathalie@brunswicknews.com>, Newsroom
<Newsroom@globeandmail.com>
Cc: motomaniac333 <motomaniac333@gmail.com>, "Robert. Jones"
<Robert.Jones@cbc.ca>, oldmaison <oldmaison@yahoo.com>, andre
<andre@jafaust.com>, "David.Coon" <David.Coon@gnb.ca>

First enjoy dumb and dumber

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7F9e7p9Vxmw


Predictions of the 2020 New Brunswick Election are made by Blogger and
Andre Faust!!
59 views
•Sep 14, 2020



Now feel free to laugh at mine

PED 01 - Restigouche West
Gilles LePage    Liberal   (Charles Thériault Green maybe)

PED 02 - Campbellton-Dalhousie
Guy H. Arseneault  Liberal

PED 03 - Restigouche-Chaleur
Daniel Guitard   Liberal

PED 04 - Bathurst West-Beresford
René Legacy   Liberal

PED 05  - Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore
Denis Landry   Liberal

PED 06 – Caraquet
Isabelle Thériault  Liberal

PED 07 - Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou
Eric Mallet  Liberal

PED 08 - Tracadie-Sheila
Keith Chiasson   Liberal

PED 09 - Miramichi Bay-Neguac
Lisa Harris  Liberal

PED 10 – Miramichi
Michelle Conroy   People's Alliance

PED 11 - Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin
Jake Stewart Progressive Conservative  Art O'Donnell People's Alliance  (maybe)

PED 12 - Kent North
Arsehole Arsenault Green Meanie Bertrand LeBlanc  Liberal (maybe)

PED 13 - Kent South
Benoit Bourque   Liberal

PED 14 - Shediac Bay-Dieppe
Robert Gauvin     Liberal

PED 15 - Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé
Jacques LeBlanc Liberal

PED 16 - Memramcook-Tantramar
Megan Mitton Green Maxime Bourgeois    Liberal (maybe)

PED 17 – Dieppe
Roger Melanson Liberal

PED 18 - Moncton East
Daniel Allain Progressive Conservative Monique LeBlanc     Liberal  (maybe)

PED 19 - Moncton Centre
Rob McKee  Liberal

PED 20 - Moncton South
Tyson Milner  Liberal      Greg Turner Progressive Conservative (maybe)

PED 21 - Moncton Northwest
Ernie Steeves    Progressive Conservative

PED 22 - Moncton Southwest
Sherry Wilson  Progressive Conservative

PED 23 – Riverview
R. Bruce Fitch    Progressive Conservative

PED 24 – Albert
Mike Holland   Progressive Conservative

PED 25 - Gagetown-Petitcodiac
Ross Wetmore   Progressive Conservative

PED 26 - Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins
Tammy Scott-Wallace  Progressive Conservative

PED 27 – Hampton
Gary E. Crossman  Progressive Conservative

PED 28 – Quispamsis
Blaine M. Higgs    Progressive Conservative

PED 29 – Rothesay
Hugh J. (Ted) Flemming   Progressive Conservative

PED 30 - Saint John East
Glen Savoie        Progressive Conservative

PED 31 - Portland-Simonds
Trevor A. Holder    Progressive Conservative

PED 32 - Saint John Harbour
Arlene Dunn   Progressive Conservative

PED 33 - Saint John Lancaster
K. Dorothy Shephard   Progressive Conservative

PED 34 - Kings Centre
Bill Oliver     Progressive Conservative

PED 35 - Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West
Andrea Anderson-Mason  Progressive Conservative

PED 36 - Saint Croix
Kathy Bockus   Progressive Conservative  Rod Cumberland  People's
Alliance (maybe)

PED 37 - Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton
Steven Burns   Liberal

PED 38 - Fredericton-Grand Lake
Kris Austin   People's Alliance

PED 39 - New Maryland-Sunbury
Jeff Carr   Progressive Conservative

PED 40 - Fredericton South
David Coon      Green

PED 41 - Fredericton North
Jill Green    Progressive Conservative Stephen horseman Liberal (maybe)

PED 42 - Fredericton-York
Rick DeSaulniers       People's Alliance

PED 43 - Fredericton West-Hanwell
Dominic Cardy    Progressive Conservative

PED 44 - Carleton-York
Richard Ames  Progressive Conservative

PED 45 – Carleton
Bill Hogan    Progressive Conservative

PED 46 - Carleton-Victoria
Andrew Harvey        Liberal         Margaret Johnson Progressive
Conservative (maybe)

PED 47 - Victoria-La Vallée
Chuck Chiasson Liberal   Roland Michaud   Independent  (maybe

PED 48 - Edmundston-Madawaska Centre
Jean-Claude (JC) D'Amours     Liberal

PED 49 - Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston
Francine Landry     Liberal

20  Liberals
23   Progressive Conservatives
3    PANB
3  Green


On 9/11/20, David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail.com> wrote:
> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fRxk5M9TDHU
>
> Roy Wiggins wins Liberal Fredericton-South Nomination by one Vote!!!
> 672 views
> •Jun 9, 2014
>
> Charles LeBlanc
> 1.83K subscribers
>
> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cimqhsdqpes
>
> New Brunswick Premier Blaine Higgs is confronted by blogger during
> media scrum and afterwards!!!
> 161 views
> •Sep 4, 2020
> Charles Leblanc
> 1.86K subscribers
>
>
> On 9/11/20, David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail.com> wrote:
>> Now Wiggins and Cullins know some of what everybody else knows
>>
>> https://www.facebook.com/Roy-Wiggins-PC-Candidate-for-Fredericton-Grand-Lake-109660960859401/about/?ref=page_internal&path=%2FRoy-Wiggins-PC-Candidate-for-Fredericton-Grand-Lake-109660960859401%2Fabout%2F
>>
>> https://www.facebook.com/ryancullinsconservative/?ref=nf&hc_ref=ARQywze6YQEOxZQqUkE6l9rGhGX39yZAdZsTGYSiF6x6EAL8D_uadCEnYMDgD04clAc
>>
>> ---------- Forwarded message ----------
>> From: "Higgs, Premier Blaine (PO/CPM)" <Blaine.Higgs@gnb.ca>
>> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 2020 11:31:27 +0000
>> Subject: Automatic reply: YO Higgy whereas Roland Michaud said he
>> still has respect for YOU it explains why he did not call me back to
>> discuss the EUB hearing yesterday and why I no longer wish to speak to
>> him N'esy Pas???
>> To: David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail.com>
>>
>> Thank you for writing the Office of the Premier.  Due to the ongoing
>> election, your e-mail, if warranted, will be forwarded to the
>> appropriate department for a response.
>>
>> If you are looking for current information on Coronavirus, please
>> visit www.gnb.ca/coronavirus<http://www.gnb.ca/coronavirus>.
>>
>>
>> Nous vous remercions d’avoir pris le temps d’écrire au Cabinet du
>> premier ministre. En raison de l’élection en cours, votre courriel
>> sera, le cas échéant, transmis au ministère compétent pour qu’il y
>> réponde.
>>
>> Si vous souhaitez obtenir les renseignements les plus récents sur le
>> coronavirus, veuillez consulter le
>> www.gnb.ca/coronavirus<http://www.gnb.ca/coronavirus>.
>>
>>
>>
>> Office of the Premier/Cabinet du premier ministre
>> P.O Box/C. P. 6000
>> Fredericton, New-Brunswick/Nouveau-Brunswick
>> E3B 5H1
>> Canada
>> Tel./Tel. : (506) 453-2144
>> Email/Courriel: premier@gnb.ca/premier.ministre@gnb.ca
>>
>>
>>
>> Roland Michaud says he misunderstood the meme that got him scrubbed
>> from PC slate
>>
>> YEA RIGHT
>>
>> https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/roland-michaud-provincial-election-1.5719457
>>
>>
>> Former PC candidate blames sexual abuse as child for transphobic post
>>
>> Roland Michaud says he misunderstood the meme that got him scrubbed
>> from PC slate
>> Elizabeth Fraser · CBC News · Posted: Sep 10, 2020 6:37 PM AT
>>
>>
>> Deja Vu Anyone?
>>
>> https://davidraymondamos3.blogspot.com/2020/09/pc-candidate-roland-michaud-asked-to.html?showComment=1599820901935#c427970140699305698
>>
>>
>> Thursday, 10 September 2020
>>
>> PC candidate Roland Michaud asked to withdraw after transphobic post
>>
>>
>> https://twitter.com/DavidRayAmos/with_replies
>>
>> David Raymond Amos‏ @DavidRayAmos
>> Replying to @alllibertynews and 49 others
>> Methinks much to Higgy's chagrin I manged to speak to Roland Michaud
>> personally and liked the guy so it should be obvious why I hope he
>> wins the seat as an Independent N'esy Pas?
>>
>> https://davidraymondamos3.blogspot.com/2020/09/pc-candidate-roland-michaud-asked-to.html
>>
>>  #nbpoli #cdnpoli
>>
>> https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/nb-roland-michaud-transphobic-post-blaine-higgs-1.5714770
>>
>>
>> PC candidate Roland Michaud asked to withdraw after transphobic post
>> WARNING: This story includes details some people might find offensive
>>
>> Alexandre Silberman, Gail Harding · CBC News · Posted: Sep 07, 2020 3:19
>> PM
>> AT
>>
>>
>> 2 comments:
>>
>>     Unknown 10 September 2020 at 20:08
>>
>>     WTF is with these guys?
>>     Instead of, at least, pretending he is a "man" and owning what he
>> posted, just tonight Roland Michaud claims he was abused, and that is
>> his reason for posting what he did. Could a politician get any more
>> slippery?
>>
>>
>> MotorcycleManiacLtd 11 September 2020 at 07:41
>>
>>         I was wondering the same thing
>>
>
 
 
 
 

1 comment:

  1. And here we are, a day later, a majority CONServative government, and no morning after pill we can take to fix this.

    ReplyDelete