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Canada and China have hit back at President Trump’s new tariffs with parts of Canada removing American alcohol products from their shelves. Markets on Wall Street fell flat after an uncertain week. Former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers Jared Bernstein discusses Trump’s tariff back-and-forth and why businesses are asking for reprieve from the White House.
In this video, we explore the devastating impact of President Donald Trump's new trade war that began on March 4th, 2025. With a series of aggressive tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China, the global economy has been rocked, and Wall Street is in free fall. We break down how markets reacted, the billions of dollars lost, and the economic chaos caused by these moves.
Trump’s 25% tariff on Mexican and Canadian goods.
How the stock market plummeted, losing trillions in just hours.
The response from Canada, Mexico, and China to the new trade war.
The long-term impact on U.S. industries like tech, agriculture, and manufacturing.
Insights into how countries are shifting away from the U.S. dollar and forming new trade alliances.
The video provides a detailed analysis of the trade war's first day and its immediate effects on businesses, consumers, and global markets.
Don't miss this in-depth breakdown of how President Trump's decisions could reshape the future of the global economy.
U.S. President Donald Trump attends the National Prayer Breakfast at Washington Hilton, Thursday, Feb. 6, 2025, in Wash.Photo by AP Photo/Evan Vucci
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United States President Donald Trump
believes his country’s trade deficit with Canada confirms that
Canadians have somehow unfairly taken advantage of Americans.
Apparently, Canadians have been smarter and out-traded our American
counterparts. As a result, Trump feels that tariffs are imperative to
level the playing field for American ignorance.
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In the past 50 years, U.S. government support of its agriculture sector has
been unmatched and towered over other countries when accounting for all
the subsidies, direct price supports and export enhancement. Don’t
argue with a fool lest he seem wise in his own conceit, as my dad used
to say.
I
worked in the Canadian grain industry for 30 years and it is based on
international trade. I was chairman of the Canadian Grain and Oilseed
Exporters Association for four years from 2017 to 2021. I’ve travelled
to 36 countries on all continents. I’ve observed the implications of
tariffs to the full extent. The U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods and services, resources and commodities will not end well for Americans. Tariffs are the woke of economics.
Throughout
my travels, trading nations are the most prosperous nations. A simple
Google search tells us that Canada has 15 trade agreements in force with
51 different countries. The U.S., on the other hand, has only 14 free
trade agreements with 20 countries. Canada is a trading nation.
In
my experience in the cattle industry and grain and oilseed sectors,
Canadians are very professional in trade relations and have the highest
respect from nations around the world. Countries would rather trade with
Canada than the U.S.
Simple economics on comparative advantage
stresses the importance of trade for a nation. Trading raises the
standard of living and puts resources to use in the most efficient
manner. More importantly, for the U.S. economic powerhouse, energy,
electricity and resources are needed to run the machine at full
capacity. Having these products at the lowest cost ensures not only
higher profitability, but also enhances economic output. Tariffs reverse
these efficiencies.
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Certain
products that the U.S. imports have inelastic demand. Take beef and
cattle. Energy demand is also somewhat inelastic. A small change in
supply has a large influence on the price. People heat their homes
regardless of the price. Trust me, I live in Winnipeg.
For
commodities with inelastic demand, such as beef and energy, the U.S.
consumer will shoulder the bulk of the cost of the tariff. If the demand
curve is equal to the slope of the supply curve, the burden of tariffs
is equally shared by the exporter and importing nation. If the demand
curve is elastic or flat, the bulk of the burden is absorbed by the
exporter. This is simple macroeconomics 101.
I was in Hong Kong in
February 2007 when spring wheat prices were at historical highs
visiting a flour miller. Wheat futures on the Minneapolis Grain Exchange
reached more than US$20 per bushel. The flour mill was using Canadian
hard red spring wheat, but it was purchased seven years earlier at lower
prices.
The flour miller stated, “Jerry, we will buy wheat from
you/Canada in two years. Don’t be like the arrogant Americans trying to
sell us wheat at historical highs.” The Chinese gentleman said, “I knew
more about trading at five years old than Americans trying to sell me
wheat with their Ivy League educations.”
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Russia
was a net importer of wheat when I started in the grain trade. In the
early 1970s, the Soviet Union bought large volumes of wheat from the
U.S. and other major exporters, including Canada. The U.S. sold large
volumes of wheat on credit at subsidized prices. This caused food
inflation in the U.S. It’s referred to as the Great Grain Robbery.
This
was before my time, but an old-time trader once told me he was out for
drinks with the Russians that had come to Canada. Upon their departure,
they said they were going to hang the Americans and buy some wheat. The
Canadian asked where they were going to get the rope to hang them. Don’t
worry, the Russian said, “They’ll sell us the rope to hang them with
the wheat.”
Wheat prices rose to historical highs (at the time),
as the Russians cornered the world wheat market, and U.S. food prices
sharply rose.
Something similar may be happening today. U.S.
inflation will be back up to 10 per cent and the U.S. will be heading
into a recession. Donald Trump, let me say these words to you: I and
most Canadians would rather freeze to death than become an American or
become the 51st state. I would rather spend 1,000 years in hell than
become an American. You can put the tariffs in place, but Americans will
be the ones to suffer the most.
Most
American imports from Canada have inelastic demand. In grade school, we
learned that America has tried to take over Canada three times
throughout history and failed every time. Canadian unity will be
strengthened like we’ve never seen before.
Trump, you are ruining a
relationship with your best friend and ally. Where is the Ronald Reagan
mindset or Milton Friedman when you need them?
Jerry Klassen
has been a commodity trader for 30 years. From 2010 to 2019, he was
chief executive of Canadian operations for Swiss-based GAP SA Grains
& Produits Ltd. He was chair of the Grain and Oilseed Exporters
Association for four years from 2017 to 2021.
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Ontario Premier Doug Ford will start tariffs directed at the United States on Monday, unless President Trump's threat of a trade war with Canada comes to an end.
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CTV News’ political commentator Tom Mulcair says the chaos that had been caused within the stock market and auto sector made Trump backtrack on tariffs.
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said in a press conference that he expects Canada and the US to be in a trade war for the foreseeable future. Trudeau also said that all his country’s retaliatory measures would remain in place unless the United States completely rolls back its tariffs, not just temporarily.
Speaking to reporters in Montréal on Thursday, Foreign Affairs Minister Mélanie Joly addressed U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision – made earlier in the day – to temporarily waive some of the 25 per cent tariffs placed on Canada earlier this week.
She said the decision came after many “lengthy” discussions with the finance minister and the secretary of commerce and a “colourful” chat between Trump and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.
Despite the pause on selective goods, Joly said Canada will stick to their counter-tariffs to establish a deal with the U.S. “that will stand.” “We don’t want to go through that melodrama every 30 days,” she said. “That’s why we’re keeping our tariffs. We’re making sure to put pressure on American businesses.”
Touching on repeated threats from Trump to make Canada the “51st state,” Joly said Americans should start respecting Canada. “You owe respect to our prime minister,” she said. “That’s what we expect. That’s enough of that rhetoric, enough of that disrespect.”
Doug Ford, Premiere of Ontario joins Nicolle Wallace on Deadline White House to discuss the short term and long term impact of Donald Trump launching a trade war against some of our closest allies and trading partners, and what the tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico will mean for consumers as early as this week when they are buying routine goods.
As Canada calls US-imposed tariffs a 'dumb move', Newsnight speaks to Mélanie Joly, Canada’s Minister for Foreign Affairs, on day one of a new trade war between the USA and Canada.
Canadians
upset with U.S. President Donald Trump’s repeated references to Canada
as the “51st state” are urging Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to request a
statement from King Charles III.
Canadians
upset with U.S. President Donald Trump’s repeated references to Canada
as the “51st state” are urging Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to request a
statement from King Charles III.
Over the weekend, Trudeau flew
to the United Kingdom, meeting with Prime Minister Keir Starmer and
holding an audience with the King.
Juno
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While Prime Minister Trudeau attended a royal audience, details of Trudeau’s conversation with the King have not been disclosed.
The call for King Charles to make a public gesture of support on behalf of Canada comes after Sir Keir refused to condemn Trump’s 51st state comments in a visit to Washington D.C.
“You
mentioned Canada, I think you’re trying to find a divide between us
that doesn’t exist. We’re the closest of nations and we had very good
discussions today, but we didn’t discuss Canada,” said Starmer, drawing
the ire of many Canadians.
Some supporters of the monarchy have called on the King to make a unilateral condemnation of Trump’s comments.
However,
other commentators have pointed out that the King does not involve
himself with current affairs and does not act without the express
approval of the elected government.
Canada’s standing as a
constitutional monarchy means that the King does not act without the
advice of his executive council, though continues to champion the
commonly held values of the given realm.
Former Premier of Alberta
Jason Kenney made this point on X, telling Canadians that Trudeau must
advise King Charles to comment on the matter if they would like to see
King comment on the matter.
“For Canadians disappointed that King
Charles has not commented on President Trump’s threats to annex Canada:
in his capacity as King of Canada, he can only act on the advice of his
Canadian first minister, i.e. Justin Trudeau,” said Kenney.
“I
wish our Prime Minister would, in fact, give that advice… But don’t
blame King Charles for not speaking to this in the absence of formal
advice from the elected government.”
In
a comment to True North, President of the Monarchist League of Canada
Robert Finch said that Trudeau ought to advise the King to defend
Canada’s sovereignty in a statement.
“The King should not comment
publicly without advice. The whole point of a constitutional monarch is
to limit the monarch so he doesn’t speak independently of the
government,” said Finch.
Finch believes that Trudeau should advise
King Charles to refute Trump’s assertions against Canada’s sovereignty
and that such condemnation could be delivered creatively.
“I do think it’s important for the Crown to be seen as standing up for Canada,” said Finch.
“It
could very well be a carefully worded statement. Or it could be some
action that drives home the message perhaps subtly. Or, maybe it’s
behind the scenes manoeuvring. I think there’s lots of room for some
creativity here.”
Since winning the 2024 presidential election, Trump has time and again suggested that Canada become America’s 51st state.
It
was first reported that Trump made such a comment at a dinner he had
with Trudeau on American Thanksgiving at the president’s Mar-a-Lago
estate.
Trump continued to repeat his desire to make Canada the
51st American state in the lead up to and after his inauguration,
arguing that if the Canadian economy is unsustainable without having
trade surplus with the United States, Canada should be annexed.
The Prime Minister’s Office did not respond to True North’s request for comment.
Ottawa, December 19, 2024 – A new survey by Canadian
Manufacturers & Exporters (CME) reveals that nearly nine in ten
Canadian manufacturers would face significant or very severe impacts on
their business if the U.S. imposes tariffs on Canadian imports.
The survey of more than 300 manufacturers conducted between December
11 and 18 highlights the major economic threat that tariffs pose to
Canada’s manufacturing sector – a key driver of the Canadian economy,
directly accounting for 10 per cent of GDP, employing 1.8 million
Canadians, and generating over 60 per cent of the country’s goods
exports.
Additional survey findings include:
Manufacturers are taking pre-emptive measures to mitigate tariff risks:
30 per cent are accelerating shipments to the U.S
30 per cent have postponed planned investments
22 per cent have implemented hiring freezes
Business impacts will worsenonce tariffs are implemented:
48 per cent of manufacturers will consider a hiring freeze or laying off workers
46 per cent will consider postponing or cancelling planned capital investments
49 per cent will considering shifting some production to the U.S.
If tariffs proceed, government support will be essential to protect manufacturing jobs:
56 per cent of manufacturers want governments to provide tax relief measures, such as deferring or reducing corporate taxes
45 per cent of manufacturers want government to offer temporary financial assistance to support employee retention
Dennis Darby, President & CEO of CME, is calling for stronger government action to protect manufacturers from tariffs:
“Tariffs will endanger nearly $600 billion in exports to our
largest trading partner, two-thirds of which are manufactured goods.
These findings show why we need an urgent and coordinated response from
governments to protect manufacturing businesses, workers and families.
Failure to do so will be devastating for our economy.”
About Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters
Since 1871, Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters
has been helping manufacturers grow at home and, compete around the
world. Our focus is to ensure manufacturers are recognized as engines
for growth in the economy, with Canada acknowledged as both a global
leader and innovator in advanced manufacturing and a global leader in
exporting. CME is a member-driven association that directly represents
more than 2,500 leading companies who account for an estimated 82 per
cent of manufacturing output and 90 per cent of Canada’s exports.
Chief Economist at Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters
Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
About
I am an experienced economist and
manager with a demonstrated history of working on a wide range of
economics-related projects, including forecasting, impact studies, and
policy analysis. Skilled in project management, economic research,
econometrics, microeconomics, and macroeconomics. I pride myself on my
communications skills and ability to work with others. I have a Master
of Arts (M.A.) in Economics from Queen's University.
I had the pleasure of joining TVO's The Agenda
to share manufacturing's perspective on the impact of a weak Canadian
dollar and the looming threat of U.S. tariffs. With over 40% of
manufacturing sales relying on exports to the U.S., it’s critical thatCanadian Manufacturers & Exporters' voice is part of the conversation. Grateful for the opportunity to highlight these challenges and advocate for solutions that support our sector.
Who Benefits from a Low Loonie? | The Agenda
There are a few reasons why the Canadian dollar is lower against its U.S. counterpart. One is a widening gap in interest rates. Another is economic performance – the U.S. is growing while Canada seems to be slowing. A lower dollar is bad news for consumers and for large parts of the economy, but some sectors do benefit from a weak Loonie. A look at what business are prospering amid a soft dollar, and how potential tariffs could drive it even lower.
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