Thursday, 3 April 2025

Global stock markets reeling following Trump's tariffs shock

 

Dominic LeBlanc says Trump is 'vandalizing' agreement between countries

Canada imposed with a 25 per cent auto tariff as other countries face steeper levies

Dominic LeBlanc says U.S. President Donald Trump is destroying trade agreements following new auto tariffs on Canada.

Leblanc, the minister of international trade and New Brunswick MP, said that "what Mr. Trump is doing he's basically vandalizing the economic arrangement between Canada and the United States."

Canada was hit with a new 25 per cent auto tariff on assembled vehicles while previous levies of the same amount on aluminum and steel still stand.

Trump announced 10 per cent tariffs on dozens of countries on Wednesday as well as a higher fee on China, the European Union and Vietnam.

David Campbell, an economic consultant based Moncton, believes that Canada has "certainly dodged a bullet" compared to other countries facing steeper tariffs.

"These are still very, very large multi-billion dollar tariffs that are going to have impacts across the country, but it's certainly a fraction of what the concern was," said Campbell.

Canada has struck back at the U.S. with "dollar-for-dollar" auto tariffs that "will go into effect this weekend," according to LeBlanc.

He believes that "all of this is absolutely counterproductive to building a growing economy."

WATCH | Dominic LeBlanc on Canada's response to tariffs imposed by U.S. and China:
 
Dominic LeBlanc says Trump is ‘vandalizing’ Canada-U.S. economic arrangement
 
International Trade and Intergovernmental Affairs Minister Dominic LeBlanc, who continues to be at the centre of the trade negotiations between Canada and the U.S., says there are long-term concerns about ‘the reliability of our most important trading partner.’

This follows dollar-for-dollar counter tariffs against U.S. aluminum and steel that are already in place.

The money received from the counter tariffs will be used to support Canadian businesses and workers in impacted industries, said LeBlanc.

He said that counter tariffs are intended to cause economic hardship in the U.S. in hope that they lift their tariffs.

"At the end of the day, one of the things we think will be most important is for the Americans to see the economic damage they're doing to themselves."

The U.S. stock markets reacted to the trade war on Thursday experiencing a COVID-19 like crash. 

"If you look at the stock markets, I would think President Trump, Secretary Howard Lutnick, these people know the American stock markets very well. It hasn't been a good week in the United States economy," said LeBlanc.

Tariffs from the U.S. have been previously delayed and Campbell said that now Trump will be evaluating negotiations moving forward.

"Maybe the logic there is instead of putting the tariffs on right now, wait to see how those negotiations come out and then decide what you're going to do after that," said Campbell.

David Campbell stands outside Fredericton city hall. Economist David Campbell believes Canada 'dodged a bullet' following U.S President Donald Trump's most recent tariff announcement. Canada will face a 25 per cent auto tariff that will effect Ontario the most, sending an economic ripple across the country, he says. (Lars Schwarz/CBC)

LeBlanc has been at the centre of trade negotiations and listened to Prime Minister Mark Carney's most recent phone call with President Trump. He said that Carney and Trump both agreed that whoever wins Canada's April 28 election would need to "sit down with Mr. Trump."

"We have long-term concerns about the, of course, reliability of our most important trading partner. That's why we think it's much more productive to have a discussion," said LeBlanc.

Impact on New Brunswick

Campbell said that New Brunswick will feel a direct and an indirect impact from Trump's most recent tariffs.

Just over 90 per cent of New Brunswick's exports head south of the border but the province won't feel auto tariffs like Ontario will.

New Brunswick still has its own companies in the auto industry, such as Malley Industries, that produces ambulances in Dieppe.

"We have ambulance manufacturers and other suppliers. So, it's certainly just a fraction of what you would see in Ontario, but we do have some of that," said Campbell.

A man in a suit smiles as he walks through a large wooden door. LeBlanc has been working alongside Prime Minister Mark Carney at the centre of trade negotiations with President Trump and the U.S. (Amber Bracken/Reuters)

Indirectly, Ontario is the largest economy in Canada and according to Campbell, any economic downturn there will send a "ripple" across the country.

He said that New Brunswick can expect a number of economic impacts, including inflation.

Long-term threats

LeBlanc said that in the long term there are five sectors that Trump intends to leave tariffs on.

"The president is going to try and restore or build up domestic capacity in the United States in five sectors by putting tariffs on global trading partners in steel and aluminum, automobiles, pharmaceuticals, lumber and semiconductor chips," said LeBlanc.

He said that he worries about the forestry industry the most. 

Campbell said that Canadian businesses "are going to be forced to invest in the U.S." by building production facilities in the country to avoid tariffs. 

Both Campbell and LeBlanc agree that Canada needs to diversify itself to minimize its reliance on the U.S.

"We desperately have to get Canadian businesses in a position where we can diversify our markets," said LeBlanc.

Campbell said Canada should be promoting more inter-provincial trade and look at developing new international markets.

"We've got to diversify away from the U.S."

ABOUT THE AUTHOR


Oliver Pearson

Journalist

Oliver Pearson is a reporter at CBC New Brunswick. He can be reached at oliver.pearson@cbc.ca

 
 
 
 
 

The Writ Show: Gap between Liberals and Conservatives holds

Éric Grenier
  
Apr 4, 2025 
We're nearing the end of the second week of this election campaign and Mark Carney's Liberals remain the favourite to win it, holding a six-point lead over Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives. Jagmeet Singh's NDP remains far back in third. I break down the numbers. 
 
Plus, I answer a question on how much movement in the polls we normally see in campaigns and assess the chances of each leader winning his or her riding.

258 Comments

Methinks you may have a lot to talk about once the results of the tariffs are reflected in the polls N'esy Pas?
 
 
 
 

338Canada: Liberals widen their gap in Ontario, Québec & B.C. – April 4, 2025

cpac 
 
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In its latest projection, the poll aggregation website 338Canada shows the Liberals still ahead of the Conservatives in the vote intentions at the end of the second week of the federal electoral campaign. It also portrays a widening gap between the Liberals and Conservatives in Ontario, Québec & B.C. Watch the interview of CPAC’s Michael Serapio with 338Canada writer Philippe J. Fournier.
 
 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PWhv-06DNjE
 

The bizarre way Trump’s team calculated reciprocal tariffs | About That

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 Apr 3, 2025 
After much internet speculation, the White House confirmed the math behind U.S. President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs. Andrew Chang breaks down the formula used to determine what each country owes and explains why the math is misleading. Images supplied by Reuters, Getty Images and The Canadian Press.

 

 
 
 
 

1930s Redux | Curse of Politics

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Apr 3, 2025  
David Herle, Scott Reid, Jordan Leichnitz, and Kory Teneycke provide insights on the latest in Canadian politics.

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After 23 years You Dudes must have checked my work by now
 
 
 
 

Markets plunge worldwide for a second day straight following China's tariff retaliation

Stocks took a tumble again on Friday, with Dow closing down 2,200 points

North American markets plummet over concerns of increased global trade barriers
 
Friday was another brutal day for North American stock markets as they continue to reel from U.S. President Donald Trump’s global tariffs. The Dow Jones industrial average shed more than 2,200 points, and the S&P 500 plunged about six per cent.

Wall Street's worst crisis since COVID slammed into a higher, scarier gear Friday.

The S&P 500 lost six per cent after China matched U.S. President Donald Trump's big raise in tariffs announced earlier this week. The move increased the stakes in a trade war that could end with a recession that hurts everyone. Not even a better-than-expected report on the U.S. job market, which is usually the economic highlight of each month, was enough to stop the slide.

The drop closed the worst week for the S&P 500 since March 2020, when the pandemic crashed the economy. The Dow Jones industrial average plunged 2,231 points, or 5.5 per cent Friday, and the Nasdaq composite tumbled 5.8 per cent to pull more than 20 per cent below its record set in December.

Canada's main stock index, S&P/TSX, closed down 1,142 points. Although it was one of the biggest single-day point changes since 2020, the 4.6 per cent loss didn't crack the top twenty for worst ever single-day losses, showing that we've weathered sharper drops before. 

So far, there are few, if any winners, in financial markets from the trade war. Stocks for all but 12 of the 500 companies that make up the S&P 500 index fell Friday. European stocks saw some of the day's biggest losses, with indexes sinking roughly five per cent. The price of crude oil tumbled to its lowest level since 2021.

Other basic building blocks for growth, such as copper, also saw prices slide sharply on worries the trade war will weaken the entire global economy.

China's response to U.S. tariffs caused an immediate acceleration of losses in markets worldwide. The Commerce Ministry in Beijing said it would respond to the 34 per cent tariffs imposed by the U.S. on imports from China by imposing a 34 per cent tariff on imports of all U.S. products beginning April 10. 

The United States and China are the world's two largest economies.

A black screen is seen at an angle, covered in red numbers and graphs, all of which seem to be trending downwards.      A screen shows trading indexes at the New York Stock Exchange on Thursday. Stock markets took a tumble again on Friday, after China announced retaliatory tariffs in response to the U.S.'s earlier this week. (Brendan McDermid/Reuters)

"The market's reaction is delivering a verdict and we should take that seriously," Brendan LaCerda, director of economic research at Moody's Analytics, told CBC News. 

Investors hadn't expected Trump's tariffs to be as high as they were, or China's retaliation to be as strong, he said. As investors react to this and crunch the numbers on their profit forecasts, "the outlook is just turning decidedly darker."

"Where does the market find its bottom?" he said. "That's a little bit of an open question."

Even though Canada was one of the few countries that didn't get struck with additional "reciprocal" tariffs on Wednesday by the U.S., Canadian markets are still fluctuating amid the global instability.  

A partially overhead view looks down on traders sitting at a computer setup with a bunch of monitors above and around them, displaying various graphs. The traders look concentrated. There are three of them, two looking at the same setup, one looking at his own setup in the background. Traders work in their booth on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Friday (Richard Drew/The Associated Press)

The losses on Friday are "stunning, but not surprising," Earl Davis, head of fixed income and money markets at BMO Global Asset Management, told CBC News.

He said the next Bank of Canada meeting, on April 19, is "a big one," to see if rate cuts could bring more stability to the markets. But for the next couple of weeks, experts are predicting markets will remain "volatile," he said. 

Better-than-expected U.S. jobs report

Markets briefly recovered some of their losses following Friday morning's U.S. jobs report, which said employers accelerated their hiring by more last month than economists expected. But that jobs data was backward-looking, and the fear hitting financial markets is about what's to come.

"The world has changed, and the economic conditions have changed," said Rick Rieder, chief investment officer of global fixed income at U.S. investment bank BlackRock.

The central question is: Will the trade war cause a global recession? If it does, stock prices will likely need to come down even more than they have already. The S&P 500 is down 17.4 per cent from its record set in February.

Trump seems unfazed. From Mar-a-Lago, his private club in Palm Beach, Fla., he headed to his golf course a few miles away after writing on social media that "THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO GET RICH."

Much will depend on how long Trump's tariffs stick and what kind of retaliations other countries deliver. Some of Wall Street is still holding onto hope Trump will lower the tariffs after negotiating with other countries to pry out some "wins." Otherwise, many say a recession looks likely.   

Trump has given mixed signals on that. On Friday, he said an official from Vietnam said his country already "wants to cut their Tariffs down to ZERO if they are able to make an agreement with the U.S." Trump also criticized China's retaliation, saying on his Truth Social platform that "CHINA PLAYED IT WRONG, THEY PANICKED - THE ONE THING THEY CANNOT AFFORD TO DO!"   

Trump has said Americans may feel "some pain"  because of tariffs, but he has also said the long-term goals, including getting more manufacturing jobs back to the United States, are worth it. On Thursday, he likened the situation to a medical operation, where the U.S. economy is the patient.

WATCH | Trump brushes off market shock after tariff announcement: 
 
Trump brushes off tariff-related market chaos: ‘It’s going very well’
 
U.S. President Donald Trump and his allies are defending his sweeping ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs despite a global stock market selloff and rising fears of a worldwide recession. Trump said he thinks ‘it’s going very well,’ and that countries will soon come looking for deals.

"For investors looking at their portfolios, it could have felt like an operation performed without anesthesia," said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management. 

But he said the next surprise for investors could be how quickly tariffs get negotiated down. "The speed of recovery will depend on how, and how quickly, officials negotiate," he said.

Stocks plummeting in wake of China move

On Wall Street, stocks of companies that do lots of business in China fell to some of the sharpest losses.    

GE Healthcare got 12 per cent of its revenue last year from the China region, and it fell 16 per cent.

DuPont dropped 12.7 per cent after China said its regulators are launching an anti-trust investigation into DuPont China group, a subsidiary of the chemical multinational. It's one of several measures targeting American companies in retaliation for the U.S. tariffs.   

In the bond market, Treasury yields fell, but they pared their drops following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's cautious statements about inflation.

"Our obligation is to keep longer-term inflation expectations well-anchored and to make certain that a one-time increase in the price level does not become an ongoing inflation problem," Powell said in written remarks being delivered in Arlington, Va. 

The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.01 per cent from 4.06 per cent late Thursday and from roughly 4.80 per cent early this year. It had gone below 3.90 per cent in the morning.

A man with grey hair stands at a podium in front of a bunch of American flags. He is in the middle of speaking and has his hands slightly raised. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in written remarks on Friday that tariffs could drive up inflation expectations, throwing a complication into predictions for future rate cuts. (Jacquelyn Martin/The Associated Press)

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio denied on Friday that global economies were being impacted, insisting that the markets would "adjust" in time. 

"Their economies are not crashing. The markets are reacting to a dramatic change in the global order in terms of trade," he said, speaking from Brussels after a meeting with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte.  

All told, the S&P 500 fell 322.44 points to 5,074.08. The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 2,231.07 to 38,314.86, and the Nasdaq composite fell 962.82 to 15,587.79.   

In stock markets abroad, Germany's DAX lost 5 per cent, France's CAC 40 dropped 4.3 per cent and Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 2.8 per cent.

With files from CBC News

 
 
 
 
 

Global stock markets reeling following Trump's tariffs shock

Lululemon, Nike, Apple stocks take early hit

Financial markets around the world are reeling in the wake of U.S. President Donald Trump's latest and most severe volley of tariffs — and the U.S. stock market may be taking the worst of it.

The S&P 500 was down four per cent in early trading Thursday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 3.5 per cent  and the Nasdaq composite was off 5.10 per cent.

The Canadian dollar traded for 71.19 cents US, compared with 69.83 cents US on Wednesday.

Little was spared as fear flared globally about the potentially higher inflation and weakening economic growth that tariffs can create. 

Trump said he would impose a 10 per cent baseline tariff on all imports to the United States and higher duties on some of the country's biggest trading partners. The new levies ratchet up a trade war that Trump kicked off on his return to the White House.

Investors dashed to the relative safety of bonds, gold and the yen. U.S. Treasury yields slid, China's yuan dropped to a seven-week low, and the dollar came under heavy selling pressure.

WATCH | 'Trust in President Trump,' says White House as global stock markets tumble: 
 
'Trust in President Trump,' says White House as markets tumble
 
Representatives of U.S. President Donald Trump were making the rounds on Thursday morning, defending his global tariffs plan as stock indexes tumbled in response.

The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against six others, fell 1.6 per cent to 102.03, its lowest since early October. The dollar index is down more than 5.7 per cent this year.

The euro, the largest component in the index, gained 1.5 per cent to a six-month high of $1.1021 US.

The yen strengthened to a three-week high against the dollar and was last up 1.7 per cent at 146.76 per dollar, while the Swiss franc touched its strongest level in five months at 0.86555 per dollar.

"It's very difficult actually to see how other countries make concessions that would encourage the U.S. to lift these tariffs. And I think that's a big underpriced risk," said Nicholas Rees, head of macro research at Monex Europe.

Big tech, retailers feel early pain

Apple sank 6.5 per cent, hit by an aggregate 54 per cent tariff on China — the base for much of Apple's manufacturing. Microsoft dropped 1.8 per cent, Nvidia slipped 3.5 per cent and Amazon.com fell 5.1 per cent.

"Eye-watering tariffs on a country-by-country basis scream 'negotiation tactic,' which will keep markets on edge for the foreseeable future," said Adam Hetts, global head of multi-asset and a portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors.

WATCH | Prices for new cars, auto parts expected to rise: 
 
Auto sector braces for 25% tariffs, other industries already feeling pain
 
Canada’s auto sector is bracing for the potential impacts of 25 per cent U.S. tariffs while steel and aluminum makers, already hit with tariffs, are struggling with added costs and lost business.

Retailers were hit hard on Thursday, with Lulemon falling 10.3 per cent, Nike dropping 8.3 per cent and Walmart 6.2 per cent after Trump imposed some of the most punitive tariff rates on major production hubs including Vietnam, Cambodia, Indonesia and China.

Auto industry heavyweights were also also down — General Motors by two per cent and Tesla falling about five per cent.

Wall Street's fear gauge, the CBOE Volatility index, touched a three-week high at 25.64 points.

EU plots response

EU chief Ursula von der Leyen described the tariffs as a major blow to the world economy and said the 27-member bloc was prepared to respond with countermeasures if talks with Washington failed.

Von der Leyen said the EU was already finalizing a first package of tariffs on up to 26 billion euros ($28.4 billion US) of U.S. goods for mid-April in response to American steel and aluminum tariffs that took effect on March 12.

"And we're now preparing for further countermeasures to protect our interests and our businesses if negotiations fail," von der Leyen said in a statement she read out in the Uzbek city of Samarkand on Thursday, ahead of an EU-Central Asia partnership summit.

LISTEN | Potomac Strategy Group's Eric Miller, international trade consultant, on the tariffs:  
 

The EU also faces 25 per cent U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum tariffs, on cars from Thursday and on car parts within a month, with pharmaceuticals possibly to come.

French President Emmanuel Macron on Thursday will host representatives of business sectors that will be hit by the new tariffs, which apply from Saturday.

With files from The Associated Press and The Canadian Press

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