Friday 30 November 2018

Methinks I should remind some folks what I said about NAFTA

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Replying to and  49 others
Methinks I should remind some folks what I said about NAFTA in 2015 and also back in 2004 N'esy Pas?

https://davidraymondamos3.blogspot.com/2018/11/methinks-i-should-remind-some-folks.html





 https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/usmca-nieto-trudeau-trump-signing-1.4926961



'Battle' over as Trudeau, Trump, Pena Nieto sign 'new NAFTA'



2864 Comments 
Commenting is now closed for this story.


  
Ashley Zacharias
Content disabled.
Ashley Zacharias
Until this treaty is ratified by all three countries, which is no sure thing, it has no force under law. This is just an empty photo op and I won't be paying any attention to it.


Roberto bonami
Content disabled.
Roberto bonami
@Ashley Zacharias they are signing this morning, the orange Cheeto needs a distraction from his crimes and mueller

Paul Knapp
Content disabled.
Paul Knapp
@Ashley Zacharias, until this deal is ratified the original NAFTA agreement is in place.

David Amos
Content disabled.
David Amos 
 @Paul Knapp Methinks I should remind some folks what I said about NAFTA in 2015 and also back in 2004 N'esy Pas?

Starting at about the 32 minute mark of this debate

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-cFOKT6TlSE

This a portion of a story that appeared in the Kings County Record on June 22, 2004

The Unconventional Candidate
By Gisele McKnight

"FUNDY—He has a pack of cigarettes in his shirt pocket, a chain on his wallet, a beard at least a foot long, 60 motorcycles and a cell phone that rings to the tune of "Yankee Doodle."

Meet the latest addition to the Fundy ballot—David Amos. The independent candidate lives in Milton, Massachusetts with his wife and two children, but his place of residence does not stop him from running for office in Canada."

"Amos, 52, is running for political office because of his dissatisfaction with politicians. "I've become aware of much corruption involving our two countries," he said. "The only way to fix corruption is in the political forum."

"What he's fighting for is the discussion of issues – tainted blood, the exploitation of the Maritimes' gas and oil reserves and NAFTA, to name a few.

"The political issues in the Maritimes involve the three Fs – fishing, farming and forestry, but they forget foreign issues," he said. "I'm death on NAFTA, the back room deals and free trade. I say chuck it (NAFTA) out the window.

NAFTA is the North American Free Trade Agreement which allows an easier flow of goods between Canada, the United States and Mexico."




'Battle' over as Trudeau, Trump, Pena Nieto sign 'new NAFTA'

USMCA, which Canada will call CUSMA, still not assured as ratification process heads to U.S. Congress


U.S. President Donald Trump, centre, reaches out to Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto, left, and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau as they prepare to sign the revised North American free trade agreement Friday morning before the start of the G20 summit in Buenos Aires. (Martin Mejia/Associated Press)


The road to rewrite the North American trade agreement was a "battle," U.S. President Donald Trump said Friday as Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto joined him for a signing ceremony on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Buenos Aires.

Nevertheless, "battles sometimes make great friendships, so it's really terrific," Trump said as the other two leaders looked on uneasily from behind podiums with the American presidential seal on the front.

Official text for the deal Trump has named the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement (USMCA) has now been signed by all three countries.

Canada will change the order of the countries in its legal version of the name, putting Canada first (CUSMA). Trudeau referred to the deal Friday morning as the "new NAFTA."

Trump felt strongly about changing the agreement's name when his administration reworked the deal. He continued to refer to NAFTA as "terrible" on social media after the signing ceremony, saying "it will soon be gone."



Normal practice requires that each country puts its own name first in multilateral treaties. That is why Canada says “Canada-Chile Free Trade Agreement” but Chile says “Tratado de Libre Comercio Chile-Canadá.” Also why Mexico will call new NAFTA “TMEUC”. It has always been thus.



At the signing ceremony, Trudeau said the deal's completion lifts the economic uncertainty created by the acrimonious 15-month negotiation process, an uncertainty that "only would have gotten worse" had the parties not reached a new agreement.

Both Trump and Trudeau noted the deal was signed on Pena Nieto's final day in office, and thanked him for his work.

A new Mexican president was elected last summer and will be sworn in Saturday.


The agreement to replace NAFTA was signed on the final day in office for Pena Nieto, left. Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador will be sworn in as Mexico's next president on Saturday. (Pablo Martinez Monsivais/The Associated Press)

Foreign Affairs Minister Chrystia Freeland told reporters after the ceremony that the deal was the result of government acting with resolve against the threat of losing roughly $2 billion in trade per day through NAFTA's cancellation — a threat Trump made more than once during the process.
She thanked Canadians for their support during "what has been, at times, a difficult process."

Tariffs still in place


The signing followed days of speculation over whether Canada would sign the deal at all, and over whether it might be signed by an official more junior than the prime minister.

On the one hand, the Trudeau government wanted to register its displeasure at signing a free trade deal while billions of dollars worth of tariffs remain on goods being traded between the U.S., Canada and Mexico.
Those tariffs began with U.S. action against imported steel and aluminum, using national security as a justification under an obscure 1962 law. Canada and Mexico retaliated with tariffs against equivalent amounts of U.S. metals and other goods.

All those tariffs remain in place — much to the displeasure of both Canadian and Mexican governments.


Mexico's economy minister, Ildelfonso Guajardo, U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and Canadian Foreign Minister Chrystia Freeland watched the three leaders sign the new trade agreement before holding their own signing ceremony for several side letters, including a one shielding Canada's auto industry from potentially damaging U.S. car tariffs. (Kevin Lamarque/Reuters)

In his remarks at the ceremony, Trudeau called the General Motors plant closures announced Monday "a heavy blow" to both Canadian and American workers, and said Canada would fight for them and their communities.

"Donald, it's all the more reason why we need to keep working to remove the tariffs on steel and aluminum between our countries," Trudeau said. Trump gave a slight nod but otherwise stared straight ahead.



USTR Robert Lighthizer is holding an off camera press briefing, and he says steel and aluminum tariffs remain in place. Says there are negotiations but ultimately want to protect Trump’s steel and aluminum programs they see as successful.



U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer told reporters after the ceremony that the U.S. believes its tariff protections have been successful — even in the face of World Trade Organization challenges from Canada and others over its use of "national security" provisions to prop up sometimes less-competitive domestic industries.

Freeland was asked about the Americans continuing to claim their tariffs are legitimate. "Canada disagrees with that point of view," the minister said.



CBC News
Freeland on supply management and the CUSMA
Foreign MInister Chrystia Freeland explains how the new trade deal will affect supply management of Canadian dairy products. 1:17

'Concession after concession'


Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer, campaigning in a by-election on behalf of his candidate in Kemptville, Ont., said Trudeau's decision to participate in the ceremony while tariffs are still in place is "one more final humiliation."

"It's clear he capitulated. He signed concession after concession after concession," Scheer said. "The Americans are counting their victories in what they got from Canada and Trudeau is counting his victories in what he didn't have to give away."


CBC News
Conservative leader reacts to new NAFTA signing
Conservative leader Andrew Scheer calls today's signing a capitulation by Justin Trudeau. 0:52
Scheer criticized the "unprecedented" measures Canada agreed to — limiting the dairy sector's ability not just to sell to the U.S. or Mexico, but to other countries as well, so American farmers can serve that market instead.

During question period in the House of Commons Friday, New Democrats also accused Trudeau of surrendering Canada's sovereignty and kneeling before Donald Trump.

National dairy organizations wrote Trudeau Thursday and urged him not to sign. When the Americans posted the text of the agreement online two months ago, it included dairy concessions that Canadian negotiators told industry representatives they never approved at the table.

The Canadian government posted its official legal text Friday in both languages. The agriculture chapter was rewritten somewhat during the legal vetting process — but that doesn't appear to have alleviated the industry's fear that the U.S. strong-armed its way to getting more than Canada intended to give up.

Low-key signing


Canadian officials in the room Friday characterized their mood as more of relief than celebration, and said their team was disappointed that the steel and aluminum tariffs have not been lifted.

In the end, the ceremony was brief: short remarks from all three leaders before they sat together at the table and signed.

The audience then rose to leave, obscuring the view of each country's responsible ministers as they continued to sign other documents related to the agreement. They include a critical side letter on the automotive sector that could ensure Canada avoids punitive tariffs on its car exports to the U.S. if the Trump administration proceeds with threats to begin taxing foreign vehicles and automotive parts at up to 25 per cent.


CBC News
Highlights from 'New NAFTA' signing ceremony


Leaders of Canada, U.S. and Mexico sign new trade agreement on the sidelines of this weekend's G20 summit in Argentina 0:46
Pena Nieto has sold the deal to his people as a victory for Mexico, saving free trade from a U.S. president who wanted to kill it.

On Saturday, he will be replaced by Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador —​ known as AMLO, for short — a left-wing politician who has often questioned the value of the original NAFTA and international trade generally.

Nevertheless, the incoming Mexican administration has said it will not stand in the way of the agreement negotiated by its predecessor. Lopez Obrador had a representative in the room through the final, tense weeks of the negotiations.

Difficult ratification expected in U.S.


The agreement now proceeds to ratification in each country. In Canada, implementation legislation will be drafted for Parliament; after it is reviewed, debated and passed, the federal cabinet will ratify the treaty.

Mexican legislators will also vote on the deal, but they're expected to approve it.

The situation is far less certain in the U.S., where an acrimonious debate is expected thanks to a Trump-unfriendly Democratic majority in the House of Representatives, elected in November's midterms.


Following the signing ceremony, Trudeau and the other leaders moved on to the first leaders plenary session at the G20 Summit. (Sean Kilpatrick/Canadian Press)

Even in the U.S. Senate, the final vote may be close. Some Republican senators have been critical of Trump's trade policies, while prominent Democrats — including potential presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren — have said they cannot vote for the agreement as it stands.

Under the rules set for fast-tracking trade agreements through Congress, however, changes to the agreement are not supposed to be made now that a legally scrubbed text has been signed by all three countries.

Lighthizer said Friday that the Americans have negotiated what they believe is a "bipartisan agreement," designed to win more than enough votes to pass.

About the Author

 


Janyce McGregor
Parliamentary Bureau
Janyce McGregor has covered Canadian politics for CBC News since 2001. Send news tips to: Janyce.McGregor@cbc.ca








Mr Higgs wins the confidence of the Circus in the House today much to the chagrin of many of his fellow Clowns

https://twitter.com/DavidRayAmos/with_replies





Replying to and  49 others
Mr Higgs wins the confidence of the Circus in the House today much to the chagrin of many of his fellow Clowns N'esy Pas?

https://davidraymondamos3.blogspot.com/2018/11/mr-higgs-wins-confidence-of-circus-in.html



https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/throne-speech-new-brunswick-election-progressive-conservatives-1.4926289



PCs expected to win confidence of house today


36 Comments
Commenting is now closed for this story.



David Amos 
David Amos
Methinks a lot of folks must have been listening to CBC report on the voting in the Legislature today. No doubt they were not surprised to hear the PANB dude change his story However the real surprise was the actions of the questionable liberal Frank McKenna talked into running in Saint John Harbour. I bet many will agree that as soon as Gerry Lowe voted for fracking in Sussex they knew the Irving Clan had talked him into doing so N'esy Pas?

Does anyone recall why I ran in Saint John Harbour in 2006?

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/saint-john-harbour-nb-election-2018-1.4808144




David Amos 
David Amos
Methinks its kinda interesting that on the very day Mr Higgs and the Irving Clan win their bid to begin fracking again Alaska suffers an earth quake caused by fracking N'esy Pas?

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/north/earthquake-anchorage-1.4927624





Paul Bourgoin 
Paul Bourgoin
Conservative Leader Blaine Higgs and the three MLA's from the People's Alliance appear to be a legislative TAG TEAM which casts a dark shadow as to what politics is, and not what it should be for the voting population! These types of maneuvers are contrary to the principles representing a true democracy not challenging it, say YES and we will reward you!!


David Amos
David Amos
@Paul Bourgoin Methinks the Liberal and Watermelon Party Tag Team are no better N'esy Pas?







Paul Bourgoin 
Gary Purcell
A great day for our province.


David Amos
David Amos
@Gary Purcell Welcome to the Circus







Paul Bourgoin 
herbie harris
The PA had a chance to define their party today but Austin wouldn't let his members have a free vote.. This is the beginning of the end for a party that has done nothing but try to divide our province.. The next election cant come soon enough..


David Amos
David Amos
@herbie harris I agree







Fred Brewer 
Fred Brewer
So the official PA stance on fracking is.... it's ok in someone else's backyard but not in mine.

Sticking up for the health and safety of those in your ridings is great, but what about the rest of us?
You were the gatekeepers on this one, and you blew it big time in my opinion.


David Amos
David Amos
@Fred Brewer Methinks the PANB have no standing whatsoever They are merely lapdogs for Mr Higgs for 18 months N'esy Pas?

Paul Bourgoin
Paul Bourgoin
@David Amos
18 months, David Amos, you are an optimist!!

David Amos
David Amos
@Paul Bourgoin Methinks I have been called much wose by the SANB people However everybody knows that I would be more than happy to be wrong yet it certainly appears to me that the liberals want a new leader before another election N'esy Pas?







Paul Bourgoin 
Mario Doucet
The beginning of the end of the OLA as we know it, couldn't have come soon enough.


Roland Godin
Roland Godin
@Mario Doucet
Why do you insist of not having English as a langue officielle...EH!

David Amos
David Amos
@Roland Godin Methinks thou doth jest too much N'esy Pas?







Paul Bourgoin 
herbie harris
Really shows how weak the peoples alliance really are higgs is pulling them like a puppet which is what the majority of nb knew would happen... They don't really have any strong members which really is gonna hurt them in the future... As for the tories mr stewart is the aboriginal minister and has stated he wants to work with them I don't think this is the right first step he should resign from his cabinet post like the mla in Ontario did yesterday when her leader went against her cabinet position..


Jeff LeBlanc
Jeff LeBlanc
@herbie harris nope, they don't want to rock the boat now because nobody wants another election and they are smart enough to know it. They will win more seats gradually over time because they have some good ideas other parties shy away from.

Fred Brewer
Fred Brewer
@Marc Martin
You are right Marc and that combination should bring common sense to our implementation of OB and the OLA very soon!

Roland Godin
Roland Godin
@Fred Brewer
Most with common sense respect les langues officielles, there are a few tea pot left over who don't or won't, whatever if it makes them feel good and vent we can respect that...eh!/voilà.

Fred Brewer
Fred Brewer
@Roland Godin
The problem as I see it, is that a vocal minority of francophones don't have the word compromise in their vocabulary. It is not about respect. It is about a common sense approach to OB and OLA for a province that has been bleeding red ink for decades. If there can be no compromise it might end up that we return to one language and that language would be the language of the majority in NB.

Roland Godin
Roland Godin
@Fred Brewer
With respect, maybe you could offer to preside over a face to face with the vocal minority of non compromising on language issues from both langues officielles...et voilà.

David Amos
David Amos
@Fred Brewer "You are right Marc and that combination should bring common sense to our implementation of OB and the OLA very soon!"

Methinks you must be arguing a mean little SANB ghost N'esy Pas?







Paul Bourgoin 
philippe m martin
WE NEED NEW REVENUES IN NEW BRUNSWICK, LETS START WITH FRACKING IN THE SUSSEX AREA , THE PEOPLE OF THAT REGION WANTS FRACKING AND CREATE WEALTH. I PERSONALLY BELIEVE THAT .TODAYS TECKNOLOGY EVOLVES SO FAST.,WE ARE ABLE TO CREATE GOOD JOBS AND REVENUES. RISK NOTHING ,GET NOTHING .PHILIPPE FRENCH CANADIAN


Greg Clouston
Greg Clouston
@philippe m martin BTW, Natural gas prices are at some of the lowest they've been in almost two decades. No company would invest the money to sell their product at a loss.

David Amos
David Amos
@Greg Clouston Methinks the Irving Clan wants our cheap gas Hence Mr Higgs will make certain they get N'esy Pas?








Paul Bourgoin 
Craig O'Donnell
I doubt any MLA from the PANB at this point wants to stick their neck out and be the member or party that causes another election. Parties usually get punished at the polls for that.


David Amos
David Amos
@Craig O'Donnell Methinks the PANB love their new pay cheque too much to bite the hand that feeds N'esy Pas?


Higgs wins confidence vote, set sights on speedy resumption of fracking







115 Comments
Commenting is now closed for this story.



Buford Wilson
Buford Wilson
Blaine is boldly opening a new chapter in the glorious history of New/Nouveau-Brunswick.

The foolish moratorium on resource development will be scrapped.

The pride is back.


David Amos
David Amos
@Buford Wilson Yea Right



Rosco holt
Rosco holt
@Buford Wilson
Higgs is just doing what is former Boss order him to do.
Like the rest of the puppet governments.

Marguerite Deschamps
Marguerite Deschamps
@Bufoon Wilson, come on; get serious!







Marguerite Deschamps 
Marguerite Deschamps
How Lowe can he go? And does he even know that Canaport will have to spend a massive amount of money in order to change Canaport from a seaport of import to one of export given that the gas has to be compressed to a liquid to be loaded into ships? Something MLA Lowe seems to be oblivious to. They spent billions in the US in order to build these export terminals. And we vote in these ignoramuses!


David Amos
David Amos
@Marguerite Deschamps Methinks you just got the government you deserve and one of your beloved liberals proved it to you Perhaps you won't put down Independents next time N'esy Pas?

Lou Bell
Lou Bell
@Marguerite Deschamps JOB CREATION , MAGGIE , JOB CREATION !!! We won't pay a cent to get it compresssed , the corporations will !! Think about it first, then respond !

Dan Lee
Dan Lee
@Lou Bell
we wont pay a cent he says....lol.....

Bernard McIntyre
Bernard McIntyre
@Lou Bell Your right with the job creation but Irving will get money from tax payer's to refurbish the LNG plant to export from import. that's they way the Irving's do it. They don't use their own money they want the governments to pay a good amout of it. So we will be paying.

Marguerite Deschamps
Marguerite Deschamps
And Irving already hardly pays any property tax on the Canaport property.







Marguerite Deschamps 
Marguerite Deschamps
How can Higgs take the position that he has a clear mandate when he only got about 31% of the popular vote? What a sham he is!


David Amos
David Amos
@Marguerite Deschamps Cry me a river







Matt Steele 
Matt Steele
Hopefully Higgs can get the Province back on track after 4 years of Brian Gallant screw ups , tax increases , and wild out of control spending . It looks like even the Liberal MLAs are starting to jump from the sinking ship that Brian Gallant created .


David Amos
David Amos
@Matt Steele Methinks you turned coat just like your old buddy Cardy N'esy Pas?








Paul Bolton 
Paul Bolton
We live in a country that can no longer build a simple pipeline...what do most people think we pay for medicare with, if not taxes on fuel consumption.


David Amos
David Amos
@Paul Bolton Methinks it always comes from taxing the consumers no matter the product It definitely ain't coming from taxing the rich dudes who own the oil refineries etc N'esy Pas?





Higgs wins confidence vote, set sights on speedy resumption of fracking

Higgs intends to lift fracking moratorium in Sussex area

Premier Blaine Higgs says he no longer needs legislation that would allow fracking in some areas. (CBC )



Premier Blaine Higgs won a key confidence vote in the legislature Friday and promptly declared that his cabinet could issue an order before the end of the year to allow shale gas development in the Sussex area.

Higgs said because the Liberal opposition injected a reference to shale gas into the government's throne speech motion, he no longer needs to introduce legislation to create exemptions to the provincial moratorium on fracking.

"My intent was we would come back with legislation," he told reporters. "They brought it forward as an amendment to the throne speech. We amended it to reflect what I would have brought forward through legislation, that it's going to be this area.



"So we've already identified that. We've already voted on that. Right now it's not my intention to bring anything more forward in that regard."

Liberal Leader Brian Gallant quickly accused Higgs of going back on his promise to give the legislature more say on cabinet decisions.

"The premier even stated in his speech from the throne that he would share the executive power," Gallant said.

Then-premier Brian Gallant, left, shook hands with Higgs earlier this month after the minority Liberal government was defeated. (James West/Canadian Press)
 
"So this is his first test, to share executive power on one of the most contentious, hotly debated issues in this province for the last five years, and he failed that test completely."

On Nov. 21, Higgs  said his PC minority government would bring in legislation "in order to move in a regional way, in a very localized way" to create exemptions. 

"It does require coming to the legislature, and it does require a vote," he said.
Earlier this week, however, he said passage of shale-gas language in the throne speech would be a green light to implement his election promise to allow shale gas development in areas where there is local support.

"We just did that," he said Friday morning. "We just had it."

Jockeying over throne speech


The PC throne speech didn't explicitly mention shale gas fracking, a controversial extraction method that led to polarized debate and protests in the province in 2013. Gallant's Liberals were elected in 2014 on a promise to impose a moratorium on the process.

Last week Gallant introduced an amendment to the PC throne speech motion calling for the moratorium to stay in place. 

The PCs responded with a sub-amendment that would exempt "communities in and around the town of Sussex," where extraction began in 1999 and where people "have demonstrated their desire to proceed with shale gas development."

Lois Corbett of the New Brunswick Conservation Council said reviving shale gas development will spark new protests. (CBC)
 
 
That sub-amendment passed 26-22 Friday morning, with three People's Alliance MLAs and Saint John Harbour Liberal MLA Gerry Lowe voting with the PCs.

The amendment with that new language also passed 26-22, and the main motion, a confidence vote in the Higgs government, passed 25-23. On the final vote, Lowe voted with the Liberals against the PCs.
Higgs said during his final speech before the vote that the government would "limit the lifting of the moratorium to one location."

But he also said the communities around Sussex are "asking to go first," which Gallant called a Freudian slip showing the PCs want to allow fracking in other areas.

Liberal MLA explains vote


Lowe, a first-term Liberal MLA, said he voted in favour of the shale gas sub-amendment because natural gas exports through a converted Canaport LNG terminal in Saint John would boost its property assessment and create more tax revenue for the city. 

"I represent Saint John," he said. "I was sent here by Saint John and that's the feelings of the people I talked to last weekend."

Saint John Harbour Liberal MLA Gerry Lowe voted with the Progressive Conservatives on a fracking sub-amendment to the throne speech motion. (Julia Wright/ CBC)
 
 
He informed his fellow Liberals last week how he would vote "and today nobody gave me the finger," he said. "They're still my friends, I guess."

Gallant has also introduced legislation that would write the moratorium into law. The current statute lets the cabinet create, lift or modify a moratorium with a simple regulatory order.

Gallant's bill would force the government to come back to the legislature to undo or create exemptions to the moratorium. Lowe said he may vote against that as well.

Alliance MLAs vote with PCs


The Liberal leader said he's pessimistic about his bill passing because of the three Alliance MLAs opting to vote with the PCs on shale gas.

Last week, Fredericton-York Alliance MLA Rick DeSaulniers vowed to vote against any lifting of the moratorium, including in Sussex. But Friday he said an exemption there is up to that area's local PC MLA, Bruce Northrup. 

People's Alliance Leader Kris Austin (foreground), MLA Rick DeSaulniers (background) and MLA Michelle Conroy all voted in favour of the Progressive Conservative throne speech. (Jacques Poitras/CBC)
 
 
"Who am I to tell Sussex what is right for them?" he said. "It's one thing to have beliefs. It's another thing to impose them on someone you really shouldn't impose them on.

"I can't impose my will on the people of Sussex. I don't think that's right. Am I torn? Yeah, I'm torn. I think I've done what is right. I've done what is right for Fredericton-York and I'll let Bruce [Northrup] and them do what is right for Sussex."

Green Party Leader David Coon said Friday that he could have voted for the original PC throne speech motion, but the language allowing exemptions to the fracking moratorium ruled it out.

Cabinet order could come before 2019


Higgs said he would meet with Corridor Resources CEO Steve Moran next week about how to let the company resume fracking its wells. A cabinet order will come "probably in the coming weeks," he said. 

"It could happen before the new year."
Earlier this week, Energy and Resource Development Minister Mike Holland promised PCs would "ensure there's a means and mechanism" to consult people in the Sussex area so they're "confident we're speaking with a licence from that area."

Jim Emberger of the New Brunswick Anti-Shale Gas Alliance said it's still not clear how the government will delineate where it will seek consent. 

"The idea of defining and then assessing approval is almost an impossible task," he said.

New lawsuit, protests possible


Emberger said his group would revive a lawsuit against the province that it put on hold when the Liberals imposed their moratorium in early 2015.

Jim Emberger of the New Brunswick Anti-Shale Gas Alliance says his group would revive a lawsuit against the province if Higgs's fracking enthusiasm continues. (Jacques Poitras/CBC)
 
Lois Corbett of the New Brunswick Conservation Council said reviving shale gas development will spark new protests and distract from a needed debate on climate change. 

"It will, like it did in the last five years, suck all of the air out of the room," she said. 

"We will have a long … debate led by folks on either edge of the issue, pro-fracking, anti-fracking, and we will not take the time to develop the strong, sensible solutions like more renewable energy."







PCs expected to win confidence of house today

Premier Blaine Higgs is counting on at least 25 votes, out of 49, for throne speech


New Brunswick Progressive Conservative Leader Blaine Higgs answers questions from the media after defeating the Liberal Government at the New Brunswick Legislature in Fredericton on Friday, Nov. 2, 2018. (James West/Canadian Press)


The seemingly eternal 2018 New Brunswick election season will finally come to an official close Friday when the legislature votes on the Progressive Conservative minority government's throne speech.

The PCs have moved swiftly on several issues since they were sworn in Nov. 9, including ambulance staffing and WorkSafeNB premiums.

But they've done so without holding the confidence of the legislature. They're expected to win that legitimacy in a series of votes Friday morning.

Premier Blaine Higgs said he'd like to see more MLAs vote for his throne speech than voted against the Liberals' version earlier this month.

"I'm hopeful that we'll have more than we had against the last one," he told reporters. "I'm hoping that we'll have more for this one.

"I'm hoping people will see a bigger opportunity, a bigger potential, a bigger path forward."



Premier Brian Gallant (left) shakes the hand of Opposition Leader Blaine Higgs (right) after the minority Liberal government was defeated. (James West/Canadian Press)
No party won a majority in the Sept. 24 election, sending the battle for power into weeks of overtime.
But there's little suspense surrounding Friday's outcome, because the three MLAs from the People's Alliance have already said they'll vote with the 22 PC MLAs. That gives Higgs a majority of 25 in the 49-member legislature.

The same combination of 22 Tories and three Alliance members voted against the then-Premier Brian Gallant's Liberal throne speech on Nov. 2, toppling his government. Three Green MLAs voted with 20 Liberals in favour of that speech.

Liberal votes?


Alliance Leader Kris Austin said Thursday that there's been buzz around the legislature that some Liberals or Greens could opt to support the PCs.

"I get a feeling there could be maybe some others that may vote in favour of it, too, but we'll see," he said.

"It's kind of coming through the grapevine. It could be an interesting vote on the throne speech."
Liberal MLA Roger Melanson said his party had yet to make a decision.

"We haven't made a final decision on how the voting will go," he said.

The shale gas issue


Friday's vote will actually be a series of three votes, the last being on a PC motion to reply to the lieutenant-governor by supporting the throne speech she delivered Nov. 20.

That speech didn't explicitly mention Higgs's long-held commitment to revive the shale gas industry. But the Liberals moved an amendment to the PC motion to add a line calling for a moratorium on fracking to continue.

The PCs then moved a sub-amendment to the Liberal amendment, which says the moratorium would stay in place "where support [for development] does not already exist."
The PC amendment supports development in the Sussex area, where communities "have demonstrated their desire to proceed with shale gas development."

Higgs said the Liberal move ended up giving the Tories an opening to clarify their position.

The amendment "gave us an opportunity to say 'Here, in real terms, is everything I've been saying from the very beginning' … so there are no surprises."
The premier said he expected the Greens to vote against the government because of the shale gas issue, "but wonders never cease."

Green Party Leader David Coon said his caucus will definitely vote against the PC sub-amendment.
He wouldn't say what it will do on the final vote if the PC language on shale gas passes and becomes part of the main motion.

"Well, we'll see whether it does or not," he said. "So you'll have to wait and see."


Lt.-Gov. Jocelyne Roy Vienneau inspects the honour guards at the New Brunswick legislature on Nov. 20, 2018. (James West/Canadian Press)
The three Alliance MLAs have said they have concerns about shale gas development but would vote for the PC sub-amendment on fracking because they promised to support a PC government on confidence votes for 18 months.

But Higgs said Thursday he does not consider the PC sub-amendment a confidence matter on its own.

It will only become a confidence vote if the wording passes and becomes part of the main throne speech motion, he said. 

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