https://twitter.com/DavidRayAmos/with_replies
Methinks one mindless French dude trolling for ANTIFA in Twitter needs to learn a thing or two about his fellow Maritimers N'esy Pas?
Replying to @DavidRayAmos @alllibertynews and 49 others
https://davidraymondamos3.blogspot.com/2020/09/methinks-one-mindless-french-dude.html
#nbpoli #cdnpoli
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/third-parties-election-1.5705556
Replying to @DavidRayAmos @alllibertynews and 49 others
Content disabled
Methinks
the very unethical political scientists want to overlook the fact that
their CBC buddies illegally denied the existence of one Independent
Candidate 7 times N'esy Pas?
Growing strength of N.B. third parties being tested in provincial election
Support for parties besides Liberal and Progressive Conservative has climbed 484 per cent in past 3 elections
Voters will head to the polls on Sept. 14 for the provincial election. (CBC)
Progressive Conservative Leader Blaine Higgs's election pitch to return majority government rule to New Brunswick after two years of a minority legislature has directly put the question to voters of whether their growing embrace of third parties over the last decade has been a whim or a fundamental shift in their politics.
UNB political scientist J.P. Lewis believes the answer voters deliver on that question on Sept. 14 will be a turning point for New Brunswick one way or another.
"I would say one of the slightly overlooked stories right now, because obviously there's a lot of other things going on, is just a test of 2018," said Lewis about voters' view of the minority government they delivered two years ago.
"The collapse of the [two-party] system, will that hold up?"
UNB political scientist J.P. Lewis believes the upcoming provincial election will show whether recent growth in third-party support in New Brunswick is fragile or has sunk roots and permanently changed the political landscape. (Graham Thompson/CBC)
The combined popular vote for New Brunswick's two main political parties has been in steady decline for three general elections in a row. In 2018, it sank below 70 per cent for only the second time in the last century.
The Green and People's Alliance parties fought their first provincial election in 2010 and, along with the NDP, attracted 59,992 votes that year.
In 2014, the trio upped that total to 80,795. In 2018, they increased it again to 112,085, almost all of it at the expense of Liberals and Progressive Conservatives.
The 2018 vote totals were strong enough to elect three Green and three People's Alliance MLAs, and force the province into a minority government.
Higgs is betting voters prefer the "stability" of majority government and called a snap summer election to seek that mandate.
Former New Brunswick Liberal Leader Shawn Graham won New Brunswick's 2006 election in a two-party nail-biter that saw PCs and Liberals split 94 per cent of the popular vote. In 2018, support for the two parties dropped to 69.5 per cent. (Archives)
"It's completely my decision," said Higgs in announcing the election Aug. 17. "I'm the one who asked permission to dissolve the legislature and I'm the one who had to weigh all the facts leading up to this. I'm the one who made the final call."
People's Alliance leader Kris Austin thinks Higgs has misjudged the public mood and has underestimated the strength of the decade-long shift in support to third parties.
"I think most people are very pleased with the makeup of the legislature in terms of it being a minority government," said Austin in an interview.
"Mr. Higgs is going to go out and he's going to say, you need stability with a majority government, and we're going to say you need accountability with a minority government. We have proven over the last two years that we can provide both.
"I'm hard pressed to believe that New Brunswick as a whole will return a majority to either Mr. Higgs or [Liberal Party Leader] Mr. Vickers."
People's Alliance leader Kris Austin believes New Brunswick voters support minority government and will stick with his party on election day. (CBC)
The Progressive Conservative party alone has lost more than 50,000 voters since the 2006 election, most of those to third parties.
Jamie Gillies, who teaches political science at St. Thomas University. thinks the key to whether Higgs can achieve a majority government rests with getting some of those back, especially ones that fled to the People's Alliance.
"If there is a PC vote surge, it will likely be at the expense of the [People's Alliance]," Gillies said in an email.
"Vote splits between the PCs and the PA might prove to be a determining factor as to whether Higgs forms a robust majority government."
But dissatisfaction with majority governments is one of the factors that fuelled the rise of third parties in New Brunswick in the first place.
Green Party Leader David Coon saw support for his party jump 40 per cent in 2014 and another 80 per cent in 2018 as New Brunswick voters increasingly embraced alternatives to the province's main two parties. (Maria Burgos/CBC)
The last three majorities elected to run the province — two Liberal and one Progressive Conservative — were not overly popular. Each was defeated after a single term in office.
Lewis said because this time voters are being asked directly if they prefer majority or minority government, the strength or weakness of third-party voting will reveal much about the true strength of the province's traditional two-party system.
"I look at more the aggregate of the Tory and Liberal vote," said Lewis.
"If it stays under 80 per cent, I think that reflects we're moving in a certain direction in a province that comparatively to other provinces, has had an incredibly stable party system."
About the Author
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Commenting is now closed for this story.David Amos
Content disabled
Methinks
the very unethical political scientists want to overlook the fact that
their CBC buddies illegally denied the existence of one Independent
Candidate 7 times N'esy Pas?
https://twitter.com/DavidRayAmos/with_replies
David Raymond Amos @DavidRayAmos
Replying to @DavidRayAmos @alllibertynews and 48 others
Methinks the data dudes at Kinduct are not so bored with their nasty associate who is on vacation this week N'esy Pas?
ANTIFA Devon Terrio
Mr. Terrible (@TeatimeTrading) | Twitter
Els darrers tuits de Mr. Terrible (@TeatimeTrading). Born in NS, grew up in AB, lived in BC, back in NS. I'm a Nova Scotian, an Albertan, and a British Columbian
ANTIFA Devon Terrio
@TeatimeTrading
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Devon Terrio
Unama'ki (Cape Breton Island)
My name is Devon Terrio,
i'm 35 years old.
I'm an acadian descended white settler
living in unama'ki in the wabanaki confederacy
of turtle island. my education is in logic,
philosophy and political science.
i have no accreditation or degree,
i am an autodidact.
ME TOO
st
depends what that independent candidate is saying, imo, before i make a judgement
who are they & where can i read their policy proposals?
p.s. i'm a very ethical political scientist, cause i say so. why wouldn't you believe me? i'm very ethical.
was this bait? at first i was confused. i think i was baited. dude keeps mispelling n'est-ca pas over & over
Sept 1st
David Raymond Amos @DavidRayAmos
Replying to @TeatimeTrading @alllibertynews and 48 others
Methinks I should ask the oh so ethical political scientist Devon Terrio if that is his real name and for whom does he work N'esy Pas?
Replying to @DavidRayAmos @TeatimeTrading and 49 others
Methinks Acadians who are proud of their name would spell it Theriault but not 35 year old chickenshits from Cape Breton Island N'esy Pas?
yea, you're bait. this is bait.
boring af, trololol
- Devon Theriault
Junior Tableau Developer at Kinduct
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Location
Halifax, Canada Area
Dates Employed Oct 2019 – Present
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Sales Representative
Company Name
Koodo
Dates Employed Sep 2017 – May 2019
Employment Duration 1 yr 9 mos
Location Nova Scotia, Canada
Lead Sales Associate
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