Big banks move to match Bank of Canada's rate hike
Central bank notes 'uncertainty about the future of NAFTA' as it hikes rate for 3rd time since last summer
1727 Comments
Commenting is now closed for this story.
Mike Hack
Is it me or does this new CBC site really suck......
Content disabled.
David Amos
@Mike Hack "Is it me or does this new CBC site really suck......"
Methinks its not you
Methinks its not you
David Amos
@Mike Hack There can be only one reason why CBC blocked my reply to you
Ken Evans
Necessary, and there will be more hikes. People need to get their debt in check.
David Amos
@Ken Evans Methinks the
greater scheme of things dictates that truly wiseguys would get out of
debt fast. Then liquidate everything of what is left that you don't
cherish or need then wait for the Stock Markets to crash. After that
one can buy everything back and a great deal more for a mere pittance. I
know for a fact that is the Banksters' plan.
George Reid
@Ken Evans And no increase in my deposit rate again, hmmm
David Amos
@George Reid Why do you
ponder? We all should expect that by now. If not just imagine how much
the Banksters make on the difference as they delay.
Barry Todd
You don't have to listen to
24 hour news to know what condition the economy is, just follow the sign
of the times in your neighbourhoods..........more and more $ stores,
fast cash outlets, pay day loans, 7 - 10 years to pay off a new vehicle,
used furniture & appliance rental stores and of course more and
more food banks.
David Amos
@Barry Todd "You don't have
to listen to 24 hour news to know what condition the economy is, just
follow the sign of the times in your neighbourhoods"
I agree but common sense means less than nothing to Banksters, politicians and their spin doctors.
I agree but common sense means less than nothing to Banksters, politicians and their spin doctors.
Rusty Shackleford
Interest rates are still ridiculously low....
george bath
@ron snell
con politics is about ratings
substance no where to be found
con politics is about ratings
substance no where to be found
Michael Murphy
@george bath
You misspelled rantings
You misspelled rantings
David Amos
@Michael Murphy No he didn't
They say that dudes such as you and I rant. Banksters and neo cons concern themselves with rates.
They say that dudes such as you and I rant. Banksters and neo cons concern themselves with rates.
http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/bank-of-canada-advancer-1.4489359
Bank of Canada expected to hike key interest rate to highest level since 2009
Experts predict benchmark interest rate will hit 1.25% Wednesday, a third hike since last year
682 Comments
Commenting is now closed for this story.
Linda Walker
"Canada's economy is growing solidly and the job market is positively booming"
Just more unbelievable propaganda. If this were true then why is the average Canadian more indebted than at any other time in our history ? Why are the Foodbanks unable to keep up with the dramatically increased demands ? Why the incredible increase in homelessness ? Seniors being financially forced to re-enter the workforce in minimum wage, part-time jobs just to meet their monthly needs ?
I'm sure StatsCan will explain it all in the next few weeks.
Just more unbelievable propaganda. If this were true then why is the average Canadian more indebted than at any other time in our history ? Why are the Foodbanks unable to keep up with the dramatically increased demands ? Why the incredible increase in homelessness ? Seniors being financially forced to re-enter the workforce in minimum wage, part-time jobs just to meet their monthly needs ?
I'm sure StatsCan will explain it all in the next few weeks.
David Amos
@Linda Walker " Just more unbelievable propaganda."
You are correct
You are correct
David Amos
@Tim Bradshaw "You notice that Statistics Canada will no longer release the figures regarding the number of people on Welfare"
Why is it that I am not surprised?
Why is it that I am not surprised?
Marty Lee
Sunny Ways, Sunny Ways....
Trudeau, who for two years, took credit for and basked on the coattails and results of sound Conservative fiscal policy of the previous government.
Justin has emptied the cupboard in order to curry favour on the world stage, and has done nothing but waste money for two years, and has done nothing to implement a sound economic policy that would carry Canada into the next decade, he now finds out that budgets can't actually balance themselves.
Hurry up 2019...
Trudeau, who for two years, took credit for and basked on the coattails and results of sound Conservative fiscal policy of the previous government.
Justin has emptied the cupboard in order to curry favour on the world stage, and has done nothing but waste money for two years, and has done nothing to implement a sound economic policy that would carry Canada into the next decade, he now finds out that budgets can't actually balance themselves.
Hurry up 2019...
David Allan
@Blanche Cote
"are you smoking funny cigarettes?"
He's just doing grade school arithmetic.
Scheer has 43% support from the CPC membership. That's how many voted for him. How can he hope to form a government with 43% of 38%?
Grade school arithmetic.
"are you smoking funny cigarettes?"
He's just doing grade school arithmetic.
Scheer has 43% support from the CPC membership. That's how many voted for him. How can he hope to form a government with 43% of 38%?
Grade school arithmetic.
Chris Maurier
@David Allan .. But scheer is
there to protect the middle class as he has proven since the age of 25
by sitting on Parliament Hill sucking up every perk he could ,,Just like
every other Hard working Canadian.
David Amos
@ Chris Maurier Methinks many a true word is said in jest N'esy Pas?
David Amos
@David Allan What about the
lion's share of us who usually don't bother to vote? What if we step up
to the plate? Methinks your Grade school arithmetic may go out the
window N'esy Pas?
Nicolas Krinis
Good news. Can't wait to see the day that it's at 5 or 6%. They have been punishing savers for over a decade now.
David Amos
@Nicolas Krinis "Good news. Can't wait to see the day that it's at 5 or 6%."
Anyone recall 2007 when interest rates began to climb? Whst happened the following year?
Anyone recall 2007 when interest rates began to climb? Whst happened the following year?
Rick Poulter
@Nicolas Krinis
I remember mortgages at 16%.......
I remember mortgages at 16%.......
David Amos
@Rick Poulter Me Too
Randolph William Musterer
Debt isn't wealth, debt is the money of slaves.
Dave Ryan
@Randolph William Musterer
True, but actually debt can be used to create wealth if you know what
you are doing. Debt in and of itself is not necessarily a bad thing...it
is too much debt that is not used to generate an appropriate return
sometime in the future or debt that has been defaulted on that causes a
problem.
David Amos
@Dave Ryan What did a "Good Book" that a lot of folks pretend to obey to say about borrowers and lenders?
Jay Bowman
Good for the savers, bad for the irresponsible.
David Amos
@Jay Bowman Nope
Methinks it is bad news for everyone except Banksters
Methinks it is bad news for everyone except Banksters
Russell Clark
Guess the Liberal party has
achieved what they wanted - make living more expensive for people on
fixed incomes, make housing less affordable as mortgage rates rise. Glad
to see they are still looking out for the average Canadian.
David Amos
@Russell Clark "Glad to see they are still looking out for the average Canadian."
Trudeau "The Younger" is following the Banksters' orders just like his Father and Harper and all the other Prime Ministers did since old R.B. Bennett quit in disgust.
Trudeau "The Younger" is following the Banksters' orders just like his Father and Harper and all the other Prime Ministers did since old R.B. Bennett quit in disgust.
David Zhou
I miss Steven Harper.
David Amos
@David Zhou "I miss Steven Harper."
I don't
I don't
David Amos
@David Zhou I bet Harper is loving the circus too much N'esy Pas?
http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/bank-of-canada-rate-decision-1.4490918
http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/bank-of-canada-rate-decision-1.4490918
David Zhou
I like Steven Harper so much.
@David Zhou "I like Steven Harper so much".
Methinks thou doth jest too much N'esy Pas?
Methinks thou doth jest too much N'esy Pas?
helen innamorato
Dont understand the need to
raise interest rates again. No real signs of inflation rise .... Oil
prices are going up but could be very temporary once US shaling
increases. On the other hand, due to new stress test, house prices
should come down. Basically, no major price increases.
Leave things alone.
Leave things alone.
David Amos
@helen innamorato "Dont understand the need to raise interest rates again."
Methinks the Banksters are merely engineering another stock market collapse
Methinks the Banksters are merely engineering another stock market collapse
Jason DeBack
The BOC must "put their foot down on record household debt"
so what about putting the foot down o those caught CHEATING in the paradise papers?
what about putting the foot down on WORLD HISTORICAL record bank profits?
what about putting the foot down on wage stagnation?
what about putting the foot down on insatiable corporate greed, ceo bonuses in times of insolvency?
so what about putting the foot down o those caught CHEATING in the paradise papers?
what about putting the foot down on WORLD HISTORICAL record bank profits?
what about putting the foot down on wage stagnation?
what about putting the foot down on insatiable corporate greed, ceo bonuses in times of insolvency?
David Amos
@Jason DeBack" what about putting the foot down on WORLD HISTORICAL record bank profits?"
Tut Tut Tut the BOC puppet masters will have none of that kind of talk
Tut Tut Tut the BOC puppet masters will have none of that kind of talk
Big banks move to match Bank of Canada's rate hike
Central bank notes 'uncertainty about the future of NAFTA' as it hikes rate for 3rd time since last summer
· CBC NewsCanada's biggest lenders have raised their prime lending rates on the same day the country's central bank moved its benchmark interest rate a quarter percentage point higher.
The Bank of Canada raised its key lending rate by a quarter point to 1.25 per cent Wednesday morning, the third time it has moved its benchmark rate from once-record lows last summer.
The bank rate has an impact what Canadians pay lenders for things like mortgages and personal loans. While the move means borrowers can expect to pay more, savers can expect to earn more, too, on savings accounts and guaranteed investment certificates.
That's exactly what happened later on Thursday afternoon, when Canada's five biggest banks — Royal, TD, CIBC, BMO and Scotiabank — all hiked their own prime lending rates by a quarter percentage point, effective tomorrow.
As of Thursday, Jan. 18, all five now have the same prime lending rate of 3.45 per cent. Prior to the Bank of Canada's move, their rates were all 3.2 per cent.
The central bank was widely expected to raise its rate after data in recent months showed gross domestic product growing, the job market healthy and the cost of living ticking higher.
The bank's benchmark rate is now at its highest level since 2009.
In the MPR, the bank nudged up its expectations for how the economy will perform this year and next. The bank now expects Canada's economy to expand by 2.2 per cent this year and 1.6 per cent in 2019. Previously the bank was anticipating 2.1 and 1.5 per cent growth.
But while broadly positive about the economy's prospects, the bank cited "uncertainty about the future of NAFTA" as a reason for concern moving forward.
"At this stage, it is difficult to predict the possible outcomes of trade negotiations and the timing, incidence and magnitude of their effects," the bank said in its MPR, which mentions NAFTA concerns nine times in the 21-page document.
At a press conference, Bank of Canada governor Stephen Poloz expanded on that thought, telling reporters it is hard to come up with a firm number to gauge the impact of something as dramatic as implementing tariffs into a trade relationship that had previously been open.
"I would believe it would be net negative for both Canada and for the U.S.," he said of the theoretical demise of NAFTA, "but to actually quantify that is very difficult, because every sector is affected differently."
Reaction to the rate move was muted, as the decision was very much expected, and Canada's largest bank has already moved to match the central bank's hike.
But dark clouds on the trade horizon had many watchers downgrading their expectations.
"Today's rate hike was a rear-view mirror move," CIBC economist Avery Shenfeld said of the bank's decision to hike, but the concern over NAFTA "hints that the view out the front window isn't quite as sunny." At the very least, he said, the statement reinforces "the need to be cautious in how fast they hike ahead."
Economist Frances Donald with Manulife agrees with that assessment, telling CBC News in an interview that while the market was expecting as many as three hikes this year, the situation is fluid.
"If we continue to see those NAFTA related uncertainties," Donald said, "and if we see some downsides to the economy from new mortgage rules that came in or from potentially the increase in minimum wages then we'll probably be a Bank of Canada that needs to go more slowly."
"But as long as the data continues to come in as it's been doing, steadily improving" she said, "we are going to see more rate hikes."
How a rate hike will affect your mortgage
This calculator takes your current mortgage rate, and assumes it will rise by 0.25 per cent to match the recent hike from Canada's central bank. If that happens:
Bank of Canada expected to hike key interest rate to highest level since 2009
Experts predict benchmark interest rate will hit 1.25% Wednesday, a third hike since last year
The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike its benchmark interest rate for the third time in a year this morning.
After
staying on the sidelines for the better part of a decade following the
financial crisis, Canada's central bank raised its key interest rate
twice last year, to one per cent. The bank's rate is important because
it filters down to affect the rates that Canadians get from banks and
other lenders for things like mortgages, GICs and savings accounts.
After a slew of data suggesting Canada's economy is growing solidly, and the job market is positively booming,
experts say the central bank is likely to raise its key lending rate by
25 points to 1.25 per cent — a level not seen since 2009.
Traders
who invest in a financial instrument known as an overnight index swap
reckon there's a better than 90 per cent chance of a rate hike on
Wednesday.
But what happens after that is anyone's guess.
"The
bank faces a tricky balancing act," said Karl Schamotta, a market
strategist with foreign exchange firm Cambridge Global Payments in
Toronto. "It must raise rates to head off potential inflationary
problems and slow growth in household debt, but at the same time,
sustain existing asset prices and avoid a consumption crunch that could
derail the economy."
Markets are expecting as many as three 25-point rate hikes this year.
To
debt-laden Canadians, even tiny hikes will add up fast. A homeowner
today with a $300,000 25-year mortgage can easily get a variable rate
starting at three per cent, costing them $1,419.74 a month. But if their
lender hikes their rate three times to keep pace with the Bank of
Canada, that monthly payment rises to $1,537.67 — an extra $100 a month.
And make no mistake: If the central bank hikes its lending rate, the big banks will follow suit.
Expect
variable-rate loans to go up. And although fixed-rate mortgages are
more tied to what's happening in the bond market than to the central
bank's rate, it's worth noting that four of Canada's five biggest
lenders raised their posted rates for a five-year fixed-rate loan in recent days.
Economists,
too, are near unanimous in their view that we should expect a rate hike
today. But that doesn't mean Canadians should expect lending rates to
rise as quickly or as dramatically as they once fell.
"A
rate hike does not necessarily mean that the bank will embark on a
rapid tightening cycle," Toronto-Dominion Bank economist Dina Ignjatovic
said. "The bank must be careful in how quickly it raises so as to not
derail the economy."
It's certainly not hard to
come up with reasons for why caution may be the preferred route for the
central bank, and the biggest reason can be summed up with one word:
NAFTA.
'Trump's bark'
Uncertainty
over the North American Free Trade Agreement is a huge black cloud
hanging over Canada's economy at the moment, as no less an authority
than the president of the United States has repeatedly threatened to
tear up the agreement and deal a potential body blow to Canadian
exports.
But some think threats to tear up
NAFTA will prove to be idle. "Trump's bark is much worse than his bite,"
said Ranko Berich, an analyst at payment processing firm Monex Canada.
Berich
notes that Trump has repeatedly backed away from his more inflammatory
campaign promises, including his pledge to start a trade war with China,
and to force Mexico to pay for a border wall. He expects the same will
happen with his NAFTA threat.
"A unilateral
NAFTA repeal would be an extraordinary act of economic self-harm given
the level of trade and supply chain integration that depends on the
agreement," he said.
At the very least, the drama around NAFTA may give the central bank some pause, Bank of Montreal economist Robert Kavcic said.
"This
week's NAFTA headlines about higher odds of a U.S. exit might have
sparked increased concern at the bank, perhaps prompting at least some
second thoughts before hiking," he said. "While the Bank of Canada has
said they will not allow uncertainties to paralyze policy-making, we'll
see if their actions match their words."
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