U.S. has plan to dismantle North Korea nuclear program within a year
But U.S. intelligence officials reportedly believe there will be no surrender of nuclear stockpile
Thomson Reuters · Posted: Jul 02, 2018 6:15 AM ET
Comments
First things first I must call out this all knowing Gord McPherson character
https://twitter.com/DavidRayAmos/with_replies
David Raymond Amos @DavidRayAmos
Replying to @DavidRayAmos @FloryGoncalves and 49 others
Methinks the ghosts of men such as ol L.K. White would agree the term "U.S. Intelligence" always has been a huge joke on the world N'esy Pas?
http://davidraymondamos3.blogspot.com/2018/07/the-ghosts-of-men-such-as-old-lk-white.html
http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/us-north-korea-nuclear-program-john-bolton-1.4730844
David Raymond Amos @DavidRayAmos
Replying to @DavidRayAmos @FloryGoncalves and 49 others
Gord McPherson Corrections You lost five elections
You also have not prevailed in a single "suing more lawyers"
Cohen? Big deal Every hood in Manhattan has called Cohen
Post Cohen's number I'll call him and use you as a reference
http://davidraymondamos3.blogspot.com/2017/02/re-fatca-nafta-tpp-etc-attn-president.html
Tuesday, 14 February 2017
RE FATCA, NAFTA & TPP etc ATTN President Donald J. Trump I just got off the phone with your lawyer Mr Cohen (646-853-0114) Why does he lie to me after all this time???
http://davidraymondamos3.blogspot.com/2018/07/donald-trump-crashes-canada-day-party.html
Gord McPherson
@David Amos
Corrections.
You lost five elections.
You also have not prevailed in a single "suing more lawyers".
Cohen? Big deal. Every hood in Manhattan has called Cohen.
Post Cohen's number.
I'll call him and use you as a reference.
Corrections.
You lost five elections.
You also have not prevailed in a single "suing more lawyers".
Cohen? Big deal. Every hood in Manhattan has called Cohen.
Post Cohen's number.
I'll call him and use you as a reference.
http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/us-north-korea-nuclear-program-john-bolton-1.4730844?__vfz=profile_comment%3D1470600016401#vf-9281100016605
Joe Sinicrope
The US is doing all it can to avoid a war. Everyone knows you cannot trust the North Koreans. Kim said he wanted to denuclearise all of Korea, but we will see what happens. For all of you hoping that Trump fails, please remember this: if Trump fails, there will be war. There is no question that the entire region wants Kim to get rid of his nukes. I have no doubt that Trump told the Chinese president for life that there would be military action to wipe out Kim's nukes, if he does not give them up voluntarily. If they do not get all of his nukes, maybe Seoul, Tokyo, LA or some other city is wiped out. This is high stakes diplomacy. It is too bad that it had to get to this. Clinton, Bush and Obama did nothing to stop N Korea from getting nukes at a time that they did not have them. Now, the consequences of a war could be catastrophic.
@Joe Sinicrope - NKorea is China's proxy threat against American imperialism.
-American forces, missiles and war games on puppet SKorea is threat to China.
-American forces, missiles and war games on puppet SKorea is threat to China.
Basil Masse
@Joe Sinicrope "Mad dog'
Mattis has said a war with N.Korea is not an option. He fears casualties
near 250,000 ...at least. Make no mistake, N. Korea is an extension of
China. If China is forced to move onto the Korean peninsula again ,it
won't stop at the DMZ. Read a little about the Korean war. The US ran
off at the mouth and required a UN force to save it.
Gord McPherson
@Joe Sinicrope
The Chinese President for life also told the U.S. that if NK launched they would not intercede, but if the U.S. attacked ... they would.
The Chinese President for life also told the U.S. that if NK launched they would not intercede, but if the U.S. attacked ... they would.
Joe Sinicrope
@Basil Masse The question is
would the Chinese rather have your scenario or have Kim get rid of his
nukes? I believe China will want to avoid a war.
Unfortunately, a war in Korea would be lucky to have only 250,000 casualties. The casualties would be mush higher. The US will not allow Kim to keep nukes.
Unfortunately, a war in Korea would be lucky to have only 250,000 casualties. The casualties would be mush higher. The US will not allow Kim to keep nukes.
Zoe Mitchell
@Basil Masse Yes but Mad Dog
is on the outs with DJT and will, on all accounts, be leaving
soon.....he's already tasted just a little of the Kool-Aid...hopefully
he'll get out before more.
Mark O'Brien
@Joe Sinicrope It is always
interesting to get the view of a junior high school student on world
affairs! Not particularly helpful but interesting!
David Amos
@Gord McPherson Corrections
"You lost five elections" TRUE
"You also have not prevailed in a single "suing more lawyers"
FALSE
"Cohen? Big deal Every hood in Manhattan has called Cohen"
TRUE
Post Cohen's number I'll call him and use you as a reference
IF I DID SO CBC WOULD JUSTIFIABLY BLOCK IT
SO I PROVIDED YOU THE INFO ELSEWHERE AND NO DOUBT YOU KNOW WHERE EH?
Methinks that whereas you claim to know me well the you already have the number anyway but I will lay odds you will never dare to call MIkey or me for that matter N'esy Pas?
Mark O'Brien
@Joe Sinicrope No one is
hoping Trump will fail. We simply know he will. Trump is no different
than previous presidents except in style. NK and SK have legitimate
beefs with the US and for geopolitical reasons no US president is going
to recognise them and deal with them equitably. The US has no political
or moral strength and can only rely on its overwhelming military might
and even then there are limits. North and South Korea will solve their
own problems in spite of the US and regardless of who is president.
David Amos
@Gord McPherson "The Chinese
President for life also told the U.S. that if NK launched they would not
intercede, but if the U.S. attacked ... they would."
Methinks you already know why my reply to you was blocked again but no doubt you already read it anyway N'esy Pas?
Methinks you already know why my reply to you was blocked again but no doubt you already read it anyway N'esy Pas?
Content disabled.
David Amos
@Gord McPherson "I'm Back"
Obviously I borrowed a phrase from Hollywood in order let you know I met your challenge this morning just as the sun was coming up in the Maritimes and another CBC comment section was closing while they were blocking as per their MO.
Methinks you are slow on the draw today so to keep folks laughing at the awful truth between you and I another phrase from Hollywood does apply "The Dude Abides" N'esy Pas?
Obviously I borrowed a phrase from Hollywood in order let you know I met your challenge this morning just as the sun was coming up in the Maritimes and another CBC comment section was closing while they were blocking as per their MO.
Methinks you are slow on the draw today so to keep folks laughing at the awful truth between you and I another phrase from Hollywood does apply "The Dude Abides" N'esy Pas?
Joe Sinicrope
@Mark O'Brien You also do not
seem to understand that it was the Obama administration, Democrats,
responsible for the fiasco in Libya and Syria.
Content disabled.
David Amos
David Amos
@Joe Sinicrope "it was the Obama administration, Democrats, responsible for the fiasco in Libya and Syria"
I agree
I agree
Content disabled.
David Amos
David Amos
@Mark O'Brien "No one is
hoping Trump will fail. We simply know he will. Trump is no different
than previous presidents except in style. NK and SK have legitimate
beefs with the US and for geopolitical reasons no US president is going
to recognise them and deal with them equitably."
I agree
I agree
Kath Ayres
Maybe the U.S. could talk to
Israel about dismantling their nuclear program, too. All you need is one
bomb if deterrence is the issue.
Joe Sinicrope
@Kath Ayres Big difference
here. Israel threatens no one with their nukes. It is a small nation
that needs a real deterrent to the many larger nations that have
threatened to push Israel into the sea many times in the past. Iran is
only the latest.
Garry Moore
@Kath Ayres Why should Israel disarm in the face of unlimited aggression?
Kath Ayres
@Joe Sinicrope
Israel threatens no one?
As for their not being popular, maybe changing their stance from aggressor to neutral neighbour would make a big difference.
@ Garry Moore
They don't need 50 nuclear bombs; the problem is that (I've read) some of those bombs are directed at European cities.
Israel threatens no one?
As for their not being popular, maybe changing their stance from aggressor to neutral neighbour would make a big difference.
@ Garry Moore
They don't need 50 nuclear bombs; the problem is that (I've read) some of those bombs are directed at European cities.
Garry Moore
@Kath Ayres Directed at Europe....LOL!!!! Too funny.
Kath Ayres
@Garry Moore
Even the mention of it is not funny. You know that experts say there are between 200 and 400 nuclear warheads hidden in the Negev Desert?
Not funny, just very dangerous.
Even the mention of it is not funny. You know that experts say there are between 200 and 400 nuclear warheads hidden in the Negev Desert?
Not funny, just very dangerous.
Joe Sinicrope
@Kath Ayres Israel is not an
aggressor. Israel does not threaten anyone with those nukes as does N
Korea. Do not attack Israel, and they will not attack you. Iran was
building up forces in Syria, and that was for only one reason: to attack
Israel. Israel has been hitting these Iranians regularly to disrupt
whatever plans they have to attack. Israel has now been working with
Saudi Arabia and other Gulf States against Iran.
@Kath Ayres "Not funny, just very dangerous."
Oh So True
Oh So True
David Amos
@Joe Sinicrope "Israel is not an aggressor"
Methinks you would not dare say that in person to the veterans of the USS Liberty N'esy Pas?"
https://theintercept.com/2017/06/06/fifty-years-later-nsa-keeps-details-of-israels-uss-liberty-attack-secret/
Methinks you would not dare say that in person to the veterans of the USS Liberty N'esy Pas?"
https://theintercept.com/2017/06/06/fifty-years-later-nsa-keeps-details-of-israels-uss-liberty-attack-secret/
Bryan Atkinson
The Trump base would believe
water isn't wet if that's what he & Fox told them. If the truth
became self evident he would blame Democrats and the base would believe
that too.
David Amos
@david mccaig "john bolton is probably the only guy on this planet , that still thinks the invasion of iraq was a success."
Methinks we finally agree on something Amazing things never cease N'esy Pas?
Methinks we finally agree on something Amazing things never cease N'esy Pas?
cliff edwards
NK would never let the
Americans in,who are they kidding.And if the states thinks its going to
bring them to their knees is wont happen look at Cuba
david mccaig
@cliff edwards
john bolton has been been described not just a war hawk but a psychopath by his detractors.
john bolton has been been described not just a war hawk but a psychopath by his detractors.
David Amos
@david mccaig "john bolton has been been described not just a war hawk but a psychopath by his detractors"
True in fact Bolton brags about how much he is held in contempt.
True in fact Bolton brags about how much he is held in contempt.
David Amos
@david mccaig "john bolton has been been described not just a war hawk but a psychopath by his detractors"
True in fact Bolton brags about how much he is held in contempt.
Albert Ford Upton
True in fact Bolton brags about how much he is held in contempt.
Albert Ford Upton
Kim Jong-un has said he will
not become another Gaddafi or Hussein. Given the US's record of meddling
in foreign countries to affect regime change, and add to the mix
Trump's volatility and unpredictability, does anyone really expect NK
will simply give up its insurance polity?
NK may scale it back but total denuclearization would be foolhardy on their part unless they really trust Trump. Don't hold your breath.
NK may scale it back but total denuclearization would be foolhardy on their part unless they really trust Trump. Don't hold your breath.
David Amos
@david mccaig Trusting Trudeau "The Younger" is very dumb too
JBTW ust in case folks thought I was joking about "Harper and Bankers" its easy to check to see that I am not. Just Google it and follow the yellow brick road. so to speak.
I repeat
"Harper and Bankers"
Please Enjoy
JBTW ust in case folks thought I was joking about "Harper and Bankers" its easy to check to see that I am not. Just Google it and follow the yellow brick road. so to speak.
I repeat
"Harper and Bankers"
Please Enjoy
Kevin Delaney
Trump got what he wanted out of the NK meeting... headlines.
Kim got what he wanted out of the NK meeting... headlines. World peace... LOL.
Kim got what he wanted out of the NK meeting... headlines. World peace... LOL.
David Amos
@Kevin Delaney Methinks that you enjoy the circus nearly as much as I do N'esy Pas?
James Watson
"White House national
security adviser John Bolton has said he believes the bulk of North
Korea's weapons programs could be dismantled within a year, as the
United States and North Korea resumed working-level talks."
but,
"Siegfried Hecker, a nuclear scientist and Stanford University professor, has predicted it would take around 10 years to dismantle and clean up a substantial part of North Korea's Yongbyon nuclear site"
Given Bolton's past performance I am going to go with Hecker on this one.
but,
"Siegfried Hecker, a nuclear scientist and Stanford University professor, has predicted it would take around 10 years to dismantle and clean up a substantial part of North Korea's Yongbyon nuclear site"
Given Bolton's past performance I am going to go with Hecker on this one.
David Amos
@James Watson Methinks everybody is wrong if what CBC reveled last week is legit N'esy Pas?
https://www.cbc.ca/radio/asithappens/as-it-happens-wednesday-full-episode-1.4724351/new-images-show-rapid-upgrades-at-north-korea-nuclear-site-says-watch-group-1.4724735
https://www.cbc.ca/radio/asithappens/as-it-happens-wednesday-full-episode-1.4724351/new-images-show-rapid-upgrades-at-north-korea-nuclear-site-says-watch-group-1.4724735
Hubert Ling
Unless North Korea wants to end up like Libya, they will never give up their nuclear weapons.
David Amos
@Hubert Ling Methinks the
North Koreans still have a hell of an artillery force and lots of boots
on the ground too plus China is still backing them up N'esy Pas?
Paul Bourgoin
This news story sounds more
like a damage control article. North Korea will do what it wishes while
Trump is milking the press on this act of charity, his five minutes of
fame, but at the end of the day , Kim Jong-un, does not intend to fully
surrender or destroy its nuclear stockpile!!!
David Amos
@Paul Bourgoin I agree
John Thompson
Although I applaud the efforts made for lasting peace with N. Korea I think Bolton is living in a
dream world if he thinks they will de-nuclearize.
dream world if he thinks they will de-nuclearize.
David Amos
@John Thompson Bolton is just
an evil lawyer who will say anything. He wants more wars or rumours of
war because its good for the bankers supporting him and his latest
boss Trump.
James Watson
"But U.S. intelligence officials reportedly believe there will be no surrender of nuclear stockpile"?
Given past US military actions against other countries - and North Korea for that matter- North Korea would be wise to maintain some guarantees against American aggression
Given past US military actions against other countries - and North Korea for that matter- North Korea would be wise to maintain some guarantees against American aggression
David Amos
@James Watson Methinks the
term "U.S. intelligence" Is a joke on us all. Listen to the inquisition
in Congress lately In my humble opinion Clapper took the cake N'esy Pas?
Steve Nevison
Mr. Kim played Mr. Trump like a freshly caught trout and landed him handily on the bank of the River of Dreams.
Joe Kelly
@Steve Nevison A trout??? I seriously thought it was a sucker
Rob Douglas
@Joe Kelly
Lets just call him a "freshly caught" bottom feeder and leave it at that.
Lets just call him a "freshly caught" bottom feeder and leave it at that.
Zoe Mitchell
@Steve Nevison or how about the Bank of Denial aka The Nile
David Amos
@Zoe Mitchell Methinks the
North Koreans would consider Trump to be more like pufferfish great to
eat but ya gotta be careful N'esy Pas?
John Conrad
There is something
fundamentally out of whack with a place where the ranking order of
countries to be annihilated is contingent upon whether the US has a
Democratic or a Republican administration.
Remember the good old days when Sadam's Iraq was a great pal of the US who armed Iraq to the teeth, or when the leaders of the Taliban were being given the VIP treatment during their tour of the US?
Being the next door neighbor of this demented volatile behemoth is as relaxing as being an unwilling passenger in a stage coach hauled at breakneck speed by a bunch of neighing horses on loco weed.
Remember the good old days when Sadam's Iraq was a great pal of the US who armed Iraq to the teeth, or when the leaders of the Taliban were being given the VIP treatment during their tour of the US?
Being the next door neighbor of this demented volatile behemoth is as relaxing as being an unwilling passenger in a stage coach hauled at breakneck speed by a bunch of neighing horses on loco weed.
David Amos
@John Conrad Methinks that
old horse the Yankees call "The Donald" is just starting to feel his
oats. Heres hoping for the benefit of all our children the circus he
oversees south of the 49h does not start a war and an economic collapse
at the same time N'esy Pas?
Bruce Rieger
I see no reason why we can't believe mr Trump when he says it's a done deal.
kathy powell briand
@Bruce Rieger
Upvote just for the sarcasm which so many won't appreciate/
Upvote just for the sarcasm which so many won't appreciate/
David Amos
@Bruce Rieger Methinks he doth jest too much Hence he must have his friend beg for votes N'esy Pas?
kathy powell briand
@David Amos
Please learn how to spell "n'est-ce pas".
Please learn how to spell "n'est-ce pas".
David Amos
@kathy powell briand Nope
David Amos
@kathy powell briand "Upvote just for the sarcasm which so many won't appreciate"
Tom Kelly
The con man got conned.
Anyone who thinks that anything is going to come out of this, I have
some lake front property for sale. Trump supporters are so naive and
gullible.
David Amos
@Tom Kelly YUP
Brian Hughes
North Korea has no intention
of dismantling its nuclear arsenal. Trump and gang are blowing smoke in
order to fool gullible Americans that something meaningful has occurred
in the hope of boosting their mid-term elections results. They'll also
be playing the tough on immigration card for the same purposes. Trump is
willing to say anything to keep power.
David Amos
@Brian Hughes YUP
Jim Gammon
Former Obama hirelings and unaccredited beltway think tank sources are hardly credible.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-07-02/cia-teams-defense-industry-undermine-korea-negotiations
A peaceful Korean peninsula is bad for the arms business.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-07-02/cia-teams-defense-industry-undermine-korea-negotiations
A peaceful Korean peninsula is bad for the arms business.
David Amos
@Jim Gammon "A peaceful Korean peninsula is bad for the arms business."
Methinks you just hit the nail on the head N'esy Pas?
Methinks you just hit the nail on the head N'esy Pas?
Bob Lyall
This is an article that
should automatically be re-posted one year from today to remind us of
the hubris and overall idiocy of the current powers that be in
Washington.
David Amos
@Bob Lyall YUP
Dave Singh
John Bolton's credibility is similar to that of Donald, it doesn't exist.
David Amos
@Dave Singh I concur
Steph Millar
The Trump Administration, led by John Bolton, got royally clowned and they still don't know it.
David Amos
@Steph Millar The truly comical part is that they don't care Methinks that is what makes the circus rather special N'esy Pas?
Chris Jones
More important than the details of disarmament, for now, is an actual treaty of peace, to end the war.
STOP KICKING SAND IN KIM’S FACE
https://ericmargolis.com/2018/05/stop-kicking-sand-in-kims-face/
STOP KICKING SAND IN KIM’S FACE
https://ericmargolis.com/2018/05/stop-kicking-sand-in-kims-face/
David Amos
@Chris Jones The Yankee
created this monster with all their sanctions over the years and Canada
went along with the stupid idea. . Methinks the Fat Lady won't sing
about the malicious nonsense for many more years to come. N'esy Pas?
murray murray
they are dreaming in the WH. won't happen. in fact Trump has accomplished very little since in office except great PR.
David Amos
@murray murray "great PR" ???
Methinks you must be joking about the fact that The Donald has managed to offend a lot of nations that were once good friends of the USA N'esy Pas?
Methinks you must be joking about the fact that The Donald has managed to offend a lot of nations that were once good friends of the USA N'esy Pas?
Rudy Baker
The one thing I have a hard
time understanding the hoopla about making America great again is;
Doesn't something have to have been great at one time before it can be
made great again?
David Amos
@Rudy Baker Methinks the USA
is still great in the rural areas in particular Ya just have to look
past the evil rhetoric of politicians and the mindless follws and talk
to the common folks many of whom don't even bother to vote. N'esy Pas?
U.S. has plan to dismantle North Korea nuclear program within a year
But U.S. intelligence officials reportedly believe there will be no surrender of nuclear stockpile
White House national security adviser John
Bolton has said he believes the bulk of North Korea's weapons programs
could be dismantled within a year, as the United States and North Korea
resumed working-level talks.
Bolton told CBS's Face the Nation on Sundaythat Washington has devised a program to dismantle North Korea's weapons of mass destruction — chemical, biological and nuclear — and ballistic missile programs in a year, if there is full co-operation and disclosure from Pyongyang.
"If they have the strategic decision already made to do that and they're co-operative, we can move very quickly," he said. "Physically we would be able to dismantle the overwhelming bulk of their programs within a year."
He said Secretary of State Mike Pompeo will likely discuss that proposal with the North Koreans soon. The Financial Times reported that Pompeo was due to visit North Korea this week but the U.S. State Department has not confirmed any travel plans.
South Korea media reported on Sunday that Sung Kim, the U.S. ambassador to the Philippines, met with North Korean officials on Sunday at the border village of Panmunjom, within the demilitarized zone separating the two Koreas, to co-ordinate an agenda for Pompeo's next visit to North Korea.
Some experts disputed Bolton's optimistic time frame for decommissioning the North's weapons.
"It would be physically possible to dismantle the bulk of North Korea's programs within a year," said Thomas Countryman, the State Department's top arms control officer under former president Barack Obama.
"I do not believe it would be possible to verify full dismantlement within a year, nor have I yet seen evidence of a firm DPRK decision to undertake full dismantlement."
North Korea is completing a major expansion of a key missile-manufacturing plant, the Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday, citing researchers who have examined new satellite imagery from San Francisco-based Planet Labs Inc.
Images analyzed by the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey, California show North Korea was finishing construction on the exterior of the plant around the time Kim Jong-un held a summit with Trump last month, the report said.
The
Chemical Material Institute in Hamhung makes solid-fuel ballistic
missiles, which could allow North Korean to transport and launch a
missile more quickly, compared to a liquid-fuel system that requires
lengthy preparation.
Last week, 38 North, a website run by the Johns Hopkins University, said satellite imagery showed the North had been upgrading its Yongbyon nuclear complex.
"None of this activity technically violates any agreement Kim may have made," said Vipin Narang, an associate professor at MIT's security studies program.
"What it suggests is that Kim has no intention of surrendering his nuclear weapons."
Kim agreed at the June 12 summit to "work toward denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula," but the joint statement released after the meeting gave no details on how or when Pyongyang might forsake its nuclear and missile programs.
As negotiations progress, the North could try to trade sites and technology that have relatively low values in exchange for sanctions relief, while covertly operating facilities required to advance key capabilities, Narang said.
"It is perfectly rational for North Korea to shift the emphasis to developing solid-fuel missiles now that it already has a suite of liquid-fuel missiles to deter an attack," he said.
Siegfried Hecker, a nuclear scientist and Stanford University professor, has predicted it would take around 10 years to dismantle and clean up a substantial part of North Korea's Yongbyon nuclear site.
U.S. intelligence is not certain how many nuclear warheads North Korea has. The Defense Intelligence Agency is at the high end, with an estimate of about 50. But all the agencies believe Pyongyang is concealing an unknown number, especially smaller tactical ones, in caves and other underground facilities around the country.
The
U.S. intelligence agencies believe North Korea has increased production
of fuel for nuclear weapons at multiple secret sites in recent months
and may try to hide these while seeking concessions in nuclear talks
with the United States, NBC News quoted U.S. officials as saying on
Friday.
The Washington Post reported Saturday that U.S. intelligence officials have concluded that North Korea does not intend to fully give up its nuclear arsenal and is considering ways to hide the number of weapons it has. It also reported Pyongyang has secret production facilities, according to the latest evidence they have.
Bolton refused to comment on intelligence matters but the United States was going into nuclear negotiations aware of Pyongyang's failure to live up to its promises in the past.
"There's not any starry-eyed feeling among the group doing this," he said. "We're well aware of what the North Koreans have done in the past."
Bolton told CBS's Face the Nation on Sundaythat Washington has devised a program to dismantle North Korea's weapons of mass destruction — chemical, biological and nuclear — and ballistic missile programs in a year, if there is full co-operation and disclosure from Pyongyang.
"If they have the strategic decision already made to do that and they're co-operative, we can move very quickly," he said. "Physically we would be able to dismantle the overwhelming bulk of their programs within a year."
He said Secretary of State Mike Pompeo will likely discuss that proposal with the North Koreans soon. The Financial Times reported that Pompeo was due to visit North Korea this week but the U.S. State Department has not confirmed any travel plans.
Planning for Pompeo visit
South Korea media reported on Sunday that Sung Kim, the U.S. ambassador to the Philippines, met with North Korean officials on Sunday at the border village of Panmunjom, within the demilitarized zone separating the two Koreas, to co-ordinate an agenda for Pompeo's next visit to North Korea.
It would be physically possible to dismantle the bulk of North Korea's programs within a year.- Arms control expert Thomas CountrymanKim's delegation delivered Pompeo's letter to Kim Yong-chol, a top Pyongyang official who met Pompeo and U.S. President Donald Trump ahead of last month's historic summit between Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un in Singapore, Yonhap news agency said, citing an unnamed diplomatic source.
Some experts disputed Bolton's optimistic time frame for decommissioning the North's weapons.
"It would be physically possible to dismantle the bulk of North Korea's programs within a year," said Thomas Countryman, the State Department's top arms control officer under former president Barack Obama.
"I do not believe it would be possible to verify full dismantlement within a year, nor have I yet seen evidence of a firm DPRK decision to undertake full dismantlement."
Expanded missile production?
North Korea is completing a major expansion of a key missile-manufacturing plant, the Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday, citing researchers who have examined new satellite imagery from San Francisco-based Planet Labs Inc.
Images analyzed by the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey, California show North Korea was finishing construction on the exterior of the plant around the time Kim Jong-un held a summit with Trump last month, the report said.
Last week, 38 North, a website run by the Johns Hopkins University, said satellite imagery showed the North had been upgrading its Yongbyon nuclear complex.
"None of this activity technically violates any agreement Kim may have made," said Vipin Narang, an associate professor at MIT's security studies program.
Kim agreed at the June 12 summit to "work toward denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula," but the joint statement released after the meeting gave no details on how or when Pyongyang might forsake its nuclear and missile programs.
As negotiations progress, the North could try to trade sites and technology that have relatively low values in exchange for sanctions relief, while covertly operating facilities required to advance key capabilities, Narang said.
"It is perfectly rational for North Korea to shift the emphasis to developing solid-fuel missiles now that it already has a suite of liquid-fuel missiles to deter an attack," he said.
Prediction of 10-year plan
Siegfried Hecker, a nuclear scientist and Stanford University professor, has predicted it would take around 10 years to dismantle and clean up a substantial part of North Korea's Yongbyon nuclear site.
U.S. intelligence is not certain how many nuclear warheads North Korea has. The Defense Intelligence Agency is at the high end, with an estimate of about 50. But all the agencies believe Pyongyang is concealing an unknown number, especially smaller tactical ones, in caves and other underground facilities around the country.
The Washington Post reported Saturday that U.S. intelligence officials have concluded that North Korea does not intend to fully give up its nuclear arsenal and is considering ways to hide the number of weapons it has. It also reported Pyongyang has secret production facilities, according to the latest evidence they have.
Bolton refused to comment on intelligence matters but the United States was going into nuclear negotiations aware of Pyongyang's failure to live up to its promises in the past.
"There's not any starry-eyed feeling among the group doing this," he said. "We're well aware of what the North Koreans have done in the past."
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