I bet Higgy is watching the election in Manitoba as closely as I am today
Moore, Rob - M.P.<Rob.Moore@parl.gc.ca> | Tue, Oct 3, 2023 at 10:07 PM |
| To: David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail.com> | |
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David Amos<david.raymond.amos333@gmail.com> | Tue, Oct 3, 2023 at 10:07 PM |
| To: Premier <PREMIER@manitoba.ca>, dmexc@leg.gov.mb.ca, dcsso@leg.gov.mb.ca, wab.kinew@leg.gov.mb.ca, premier <premier@leg.gov.mb.ca>, dougald@manitobaliberals.ca, info@jongerrard.ca, cindy@gocindy.ca, willard@willardreaves.ca, waltnilsson@shaw.ca, marcbrandson@gmail.com, ali.tarar@manitobaliberals.ca, Allard4mla@outlook.com, martin.stadler.mb.2023@gmail.com, info@keystonepartymb.ca, info@greenparty.mb.ca, manitoba@cpc-pcc.ca, "pierre.poilievre" <pierre.poilievre@parl.gc.ca>, pm <pm@pm.gc.ca>, "Katie.Telford" <Katie.Telford@pmo-cpm.gc.ca>, "blaine.higgs" <blaine.higgs@gnb.ca>, premier <premier@ontario.ca>, PREMIER <PREMIER@gov.ns.ca>, Office of the Premier <scott.moe@gov.sk.ca>, premier <premier@gov.pe.ca>, premier <premier@gov.ab.ca>, premier <premier@gov.nl.ca>, premier <premier@gov.bc.ca>, premier <premier@gov.yk.ca>, premier <premier@gov.nt.ca>, "John.Williamson" <John.Williamson@parl.gc.ca>, "rob.moore" <rob.moore@parl.gc.ca>, "Robert. Jones" <Robert.Jones@cbc.ca>, "Ross.Wetmore" <Ross.Wetmore@gnb.ca>, Jason Lavigne <jason@yellowhead.vote>, "jagmeet.singh" <jagmeet.singh@parl.gc.ca>, "Darren.Bernhardt" <Darren.Bernhardt@cbc.ca> | |
| Cc: motomaniac333 <motomaniac333@gmail.com>, gary.doer@dentons.com, David.Biette@wilsoncenter.org, ryan.mckenna@wilsoncenter.org, "caitlyn.gowriluk" <caitlyn.gowriluk@cbc.ca>, "Bartley.Kives" <Bartley.Kives@cbc.ca> | |
https://www.cbc.ca/news/ 'People are passionate' about this election, voter says as Manitobans visit polls Social Sharing CBC broadcasting live from the Manitoba Legislative Building Darren Bernhardt · CBC News · Posted: Oct 03, 2023 7:00 AM ADT https://davidraymondamos3. Tuesday, 3 October 2023 Higgs election call would ignore fixed-date law for the 2nd time | |
Higgs election call would ignore fixed-date law for the 2nd time
Premier’s argument that he needs ‘stability’ echoes his early election call in 2020
"Four years," he told reporters without hesitation. "We're going for the gold."
Instead, Higgs cut short his term with a snap election call less than two years later — claiming he had no choice.
"My goal is to ensure we have stability," he explained in August 2020.
Higgs is suggesting that he may be forced to ask for a snap election —
just as he argued he was forced into doing in 2020. (Andrew
Vaughan/The Canadian Press)
Now Higgs has opened the door to triggering another snap election.
He's already the first premier to ignore New Brunswick's fixed-date election law, which dates back to 2007. Now he may also become the first to do it twice.
To be clear, the fixed-date section of the law is not binding.
It schedules each election for the third Monday in October, four years after the last one — currently Oct. 21, 2024.
Fixed date elections are more fair for everyone.
- Duff Conacher, Democracy Watch founder
But the law also says that formula does not affect the discretion of the lieutenant-governor to dissolve the legislature early.
And the lieutenant-governor exercises that discretion at the request of the premier. She or he has little choice but to grant a dissolution when a premier asks for one.
Higgs is suggesting that he may be forced to ask for one — just as he argued he was being forced into doing so in 2020.
Back then, he had a minority government and was in the early phase of managing the COVID-19 pandemic. He was also facing a legal requirement to call three by-elections.
WATCH | Blaine Higgs could stay or go in the next election. When will that be?:
So he asked all three opposition parties to promise not to defeat his government on confidence and supply votes, such as the budget.
In return, the premier — whose approval ratings were at record highs at the time — would promise not to call an election until the scheduled date of 2022.
"We need some fundamental agreements in terms of the conduct, the fundamentals of how we would operate," he said of the fractured four-party legislature.
Now Higgs is pointing to what he says is a similar, though not identical, uncertainty: the possibility that six PC MLAs in his own caucus, who opposed his changes to LGTBQ policies in education, might vote against him again this fall.
"The question we face is will the focus be on delivering results for New Brunswickers, or will it be 12 months of political drama causing instability and stagnation in government?" he said this week.
Those six MLAs have pushed back.
One of them, Ross Wetmore, said last week he'd seen a list of bills the government plans to introduce this fall and "I don't foresee any problem with the legislation going through. … Certainly I have no reason to slow down any of these bills."
Higgs was given similar assurances by opposition parties back in 2020 — that they had no plans to defeat his government.
Ross
Wetmore, one of the six MLAs who opposed Higg's changes to LGBTQ
policies in education, said last week he’d seen a list of bills the
government plans to introduce this fall and 'I don’t foresee any problem
with the legislation going through.' (Jacques Poitras/CBC)
"One thing that is very important to realize is that there's not two options here," Green MLA Kevin Arseneau said in August 2020. "It's not an election or a deal. That's like a false dilemma that's been invented."
Then-Liberal leader Kevin Vickers told Higgs, "should you call an election, that is your decision and your decision alone."
Higgs eventually acknowledged that. He called the election and won, suffering no punishment for going two years early except a legal challenge by the watchdog group Democracy Watch.
"Fixed date elections are more fair for everyone: all the parties, people who want to run as candidates so they an prepare their lives to make it possible, and even for volunteers to volunteer," says founder Duff Conacher.
"It makes it better for voter turnout as well, generally."
Conacher has gone to court in Ottawa and in various provinces trying to force prime ministers and premiers to comply with fixed-date laws.
Duff
Conacher of Democracy Watch has gone to court in Ottawa and in various
provinces trying to force prime ministers and premiers to comply with
fixed-date laws. (Martin Trainor/CBC)
In almost every case, the courts have ruled that the laws are not binding because they can't override the discretion built into the parliamentary system.
The only exception was the New Brunswick Court of Appeal in its ruling on his challenge to Higgs's 2020 snap election.
The court said because New Brunswick's law explicitly referred to the premier's role in requesting dissolution, it might be binding on whoever held that position.
That ruling might have let Conacher block a future snap election.
But Higgs's government amended the law in June to remove the problematic reference.
"That was the move of a powermonger who wants to be able to call an election when it's good for him and his party. It's undemocratic and it's also unethical," Conacher said.
With no realistic legal path here, Conacher said he won't challenge an early election call by Higgs and will instead see how his pending case in British Columbia unfolds.
Instead, it will be up to voters to judge whether the premier has called one snap election too many — and why the vote he said he needed in 2020 for "stability" didn't yield enough of it for him to "go for the gold" of a full four-year term.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
213 Comments
David Amos
I bet Higgy is watching the election in Manitoba as closely as I am today
David Amos
Reply to David Amos
Trust that everybody knows who I am hoping will win a seat
What to know about the Fort Whyte riding for Manitoba's 2023 election
CBC News · Posted: Sep 01, 2023 12:46 PM ADT
Dianne MacPherson
Reply to David Amos
What would an Election out West have
anything to do with NB ??
Nicholas Hale
Reply to Dianne MacPherson
They are sounding the "parental rights" dog whistle in Manitoba as a key election issue.
If they are successful there in a larger province with a more diverse population, it would be an (unfortunate) sign that that same dog whistle would rally voters here.
Dianne MacPherson
Reply to Nicholas Hale
"Dog whistle", indeed.
Stefanson makes a mistake by grabbing that straw.
She should have done her research......
'parental rights' is not a high priority for Manitobans;
but the Economy is .
Nicholas Hale
Reply to Dianne MacPherson
I sincerely hope it backfires.
David Amos
Former education minister Dominic Cardy, who resigned
last October and was ejected from the PC caucus, said an election isn't
necessary to remove Higgs from office.
He told reporters that if the premier visits Lt.-Gov. Brenda Murphy and asked her to dissolve the house, she should instead ask the PC caucus if another of its members could take over and lead a government with majority support in the legislature.
Cardy acknowledged that move, while possible in the parliamentary system, is rare but not out of the question.
"The lieutenant-governor's job is to ascertain whether there's anybody else who can command the majority of the house," he said.
"I'm saying there are very clearly people who could do that job. The premier has shown today he can't even command his own caucus, his own cabinet." 8
David Amos
Reply to David Amos
"Duff Conacher of Democracy Watch has gone to
court in Ottawa and in various provinces trying to force prime ministers
and premiers to comply with fixed-date laws" 8
David Amos
Reply to David Amos
The only exception was the New Brunswick Court of Appeal in its ruling on his challenge to Higgs's 2020 snap election.
The court said because New Brunswick's law explicitly referred to the premier's role in requesting dissolution, it might be binding on whoever held that position.
That ruling might have let Conacher block a future snap election.
But Higgs's government amended the law in June to remove the problematic reference.
"That was the move of a powermonger who wants to be able to call an election when it's good for him and his party. It's undemocratic and it's also unethical," Conacher said.
Justin Drake
Reply to David Amos
This is why we need an election. And the
focus needs to be on family values. If the Premier wins, then he has
his mandate and the people have spoke.
David Amos
Reply to Justin Drake Higgy doesn't speak for everyone Why else did I run against him in 2018?
Ralph Skavinsky
Reply to David Amos
Curious Mr. Amos, did you run under a party banner or on your own merits?
David Amos
Reply to Ralph Skavinsky
I have run as an Independent 7 times
David Amos
Reply to Ralph Skavinsky
Never any party banner Ronald Miller
While the usuals feed on this site's story
fueled with little substance and control this, and control that, our PM
is actually exerting control by looking to censor podcasts.
Matt Steele
Reply to Ronald Miller
Unfortunately the Federal govt. is scared to
death of an election as the PM would be defeated....so two more years of
mistakes and blunders before Canadians can finally get a new , and
competent , federal government .
David Amos
This forum is censored as well
robert jordan
after manitoba he may think twice
David Amos
Reply to robert jordan
Yup
Bruce Normand
Higgs will call the election when he sees fit,
and the Greens, Liberals and even Mr Poitras won’t be able to do a thing
to prevent it, despite the fact that all three seem to take issue with
the idea.
David Amos
Reply to Bruce Normand
Que sera, sera
David Amos
Reply to Bruce NormandWhatever will be will be
Karl Childers
Stay the course Mr. Higgs. You are on the right track.
Jos Allaire
Reply to Karl Childers
He's about to derail and the sooner the better.
David Amos
Reply to Jos AllaireIts delicious when gravy trains go off the track
Ken Dwight
Wait now...who forced Higgs to call a
provincial election in 2020? I don't think any of us wanted him to call
an election during a pandemic.
Jos Allaire
Reply to Ken Dwight He will get to regret calling one if he does. I dare him❗
Rosco holt
Reply to Ken Dwight
Conservatives were making a scandal out of it when the Federal government called an election.
David Amos
Reply to Jos Allaire Me too
Al Clark
Reply to Ken Dwight
We did. Apparently. Too bad we can't force him to pay for some health care and infrastructure....
Jos Allaire
["That was the move of a powermonger who wants
to be able to call an election when it's good for him and his party.
It's undemocratic and it's also unethical," Conacher said.] - No
argument here.
David Amos
Reply to Jos Allaire
Ditto
David Amos
Reply to Jos Allaire I concur
Justin Drake
This election will be a referendum on family and Canadian values.
Do we want the state to raise our kids or patents.
Matthew Steele
Reply to Justin Drake
Define family and Canadian values in 1 paragraph. Matthew Steele
Reply to Justin Drake
Family values and the state raising our kids
are apples and oranges. The state never has and never will raise our
kids. Why don't you just come out and say what you're really thinking?
Kyle Woodman
Reply to Justin Drake
Patents for sure
Al Clark
Reply to Justin Drake Perhaps, if the internet protesters in support of faytene were allowed to vote here.
David Amos
Reply to Al Clark
What is it with you and that lady?
Martha Diviine
Stop the genetic basis for taxation and create a province based on true equality before the law and many will move to NB from NS and elsewhere. Very very tired of genetics determine whether someone has to pay taxes in this country.
Michael Cain
Reply to Martha Diviine
Suggest you submit a request for the study of this issue and subsequent publication so people understand what it is all about.
Errol Willis
Reply to Martha Diviine
Huh? Acre to explain a little more about this "genetic based taxation"?
Martha Diviine
Content Deactivated
Reply to Errol Willis
Al Clark
Reply to Martha Diviine
irvings? ;-)
Al Clark
Reply to Martha Diviine
Why you so scared to say wagon burner, sammy?
David Amos
Content Deactivated
Reply to Al Clark
How can you get away with it?
Stop the genetic basis for taxation and create a province based on true equality before the law and many will move to NB from NS and elsewhere. Very very tired of genetics determine whether someone has to pay taxes in this country.
Michael Cain
Reply to Martha Diviine
Suggest you submit a request for the study of this issue and subsequent publication so people understand what it is all about.
Errol Willis
Reply to Martha Diviine
Huh? Acre to explain a little more about this "genetic based taxation"?
Martha Diviine
Content Deactivated
Reply to Errol Willis
Al Clark
Reply to Martha Diviine
irvings? ;-)
Al Clark
Reply to Martha Diviine
Why you so scared to say wagon burner, sammy?
David Amos
Content Deactivated
Reply to Al Clark
How can you get away with it?
Justin Drake
Thank you Mr Premier for standing up for
families and Canadian values. We need you to keep fighting for us and
have a government that reflects our wishes.
Matt Steele
Reply to Justin Drake
Exactly right ; every parent that I have
spoken to has said the same . Finally a government who will stand up for
our children , and promote solid family values .
David Amos
Reply to Justin Drake Ask yourself the same question you asked me
Timothy Edwards
Reply to Justin Drake
Looking for clarity, what "values" are you referring to?
mark roy
no better way to spend that 1 billion dollar surplus than have another useless election for a minority government who ever wins
Matthew Steele
Reply to mark roy
You can't reason with Higgs.
G. Timothy Walton
Reply to mark roy
A minority government is the best possible result, so we won't get that.
David Amos
Reply to mark roy
Ditto
Doug kirby
NB needs change...people have been blindsided
by the sitting government..their financial records are far from perfect.
Money certainly isn't spent in health care where they have received
funding from the feds. Most roads are almost to a point a vehicle
shouldn't even drive over.
Shawn Tabor
Reply to Doug kirby
Most paved roads in North America, if not #1 is
definitely #2. Now you have to pay to Maintain them. Where once there
were camps and cottages, no hydro. Now its all paved and power is run to
them. We have to pay now, to keep them maintained. A few, profit from
the rest of us. Its a great game, you must agree. Some pile of wealthy
people, letting on about hard times. Would not pay a nickel to see a
hotdog bark. Too funny. We had it coming, but hang in there, it will get
worse. Sit back and relax
Shawn Tabor
Reply to Doug kirby
Gold is becoming normal, instead of cash. LOL. Gotta keep it going lol.
David Amos
Reply to Shawn Tabor
When I was young gold was about 40 loonies an ounce
What to know about the Fort Whyte riding for Manitoba's 2023 election
- About the riding
- Voting history
- News stories from Fort Whyte
- Meet the candidates
- More CBC Manitoba riding profiles
The southern Winnipeg riding Fort Whyte was created in 1999 and has been a Progressive Conservative stronghold ever since.
The riding is bounded to the north by the railway line and Abinojii Mikanah (formerly Bishop Grandin Boulevard) and by city limits to the south. It's bounded by Waverley Street to the east and by McCreary Road, city limits and Brady Road to the west.
The riding includes the neighbourhoods of Whyte Ridge and Linden Woods.
Its population is 22,810, says the province's riding profile (compiled from the 2021 census).
The median age of the riding is several years older than the overall provincial median, at 45.2 compared to 38.4 provincewide, the riding profile and the 2021 census say. The census found the median household income in the area is $106,000.
More facts about Fort Whyte
- The riding has more adults 65 and older than the province in general (20.8 per cent compared to 17.1 per cent), the province's profile and the 2021 census say.
- Almost 30 per cent of residents identified as immigrants, the profile says.
- Roughly 72 per cent of residents reported they own their homes.
Voting history
The riding has only ever voted Progressive Conservative.
- 1999, 2003, 2007 elections (and 2005 byelection): Progressive Conservative.
- 2011: Hugh McFadyen (Progressive Conservative).
- 2012 (byelection): Brian Pallister (Progressive Conservative).
- 2016, 2019: Brian Pallister (Progressive Conservative).
- 2022 (byelection): Obby Khan (Progressive Conservative).
Fort Whyte in the news
- 'Be the bigger goose' to get rid of fowl guests, Fort Whyte manager recommends
- Fort Whyte voting map shows where PCs and Liberals split the byelection vote
- 10 homes evacuated after natural gas line ruptured in Winnipeg's Whyte Ridge neighbourhood
Meet the candidates
As of Sept. 11, the nominated candidates for the 2023 election are:
- Trudy Schroeder (NDP).
- Willard Reaves (Liberal).
- Obby Khan (Progressive Conservative — incumbent).
Candidates become official when they meet criteria set out in the province's Elections Act, including providing a statement of disclosure, after the election has been called. In Fort Whyte, all candidates are official.
Re: Manitoba's election is now the NDP's to lose
Moore, Rob - M.P.<Rob.Moore@parl.gc.ca> | Tue, Sep 26, 2023 at 7:45 PM | ||||
| To: David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail.com> | |||||
*This is an automated response*
Thank you for contacting the Honourable Rob Moore, P.C., M.P. office. We appreciate the time you took to get in touch with our office.
If you did not already, please ensure to include your full contact details on your email and the appropriate staff will be able to action your request. We strive to ensure all constituent correspondence is responded to in a timely manner.
If your question or concern is time sensitive, please call our office: 506-832-4200.
Again, we thank you for taking the time to share your thoughts and concerns.
~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~ Office of the Honourable Rob Moore, P.C., M.P. Member of Parliament for Fundy Royal | |||||
David Amos<david.raymond.amos333@gmail.com> | Tue, Sep 26, 2023 at 7:45 PM |
| To: Premier <PREMIER@manitoba.ca>, dmexc@leg.gov.mb.ca, dcsso@leg.gov.mb.ca, wab.kinew@leg.gov.mb.ca, premier <premier@leg.gov.mb.ca>, dougald@manitobaliberals.ca, info@jongerrard.ca, cindy@gocindy.ca, willard@willardreaves.ca, waltnilsson@shaw.ca, marcbrandson@gmail.com, ali.tarar@manitobaliberals.ca, Allard4mla@outlook.com, martin.stadler.mb.2023@gmail.com, info@keystonepartymb.ca, info@greenparty.mb.ca, manitoba@cpc-pcc.ca, "pierre.poilievre" <pierre.poilievre@parl.gc.ca>, pm <pm@pm.gc.ca>, "Katie.Telford" <Katie.Telford@pmo-cpm.gc.ca>, "blaine.higgs" <blaine.higgs@gnb.ca>, premier <premier@ontario.ca>, PREMIER <PREMIER@gov.ns.ca>, Office of the Premier <scott.moe@gov.sk.ca>, premier <premier@gov.pe.ca>, premier <premier@gov.ab.ca>, premier <premier@gov.nl.ca>, premier <premier@gov.bc.ca>, premier <premier@gov.yk.ca>, premier <premier@gov.nt.ca>, "John.Williamson" <John.Williamson@parl.gc.ca>, "rob.moore" <rob.moore@parl.gc.ca>, "Robert. Jones" <Robert.Jones@cbc.ca>, "Ross.Wetmore" <Ross.Wetmore@gnb.ca>, Jason Lavigne <jason@yellowhead.vote>, "jagmeet.singh" <jagmeet.singh@parl.gc.ca> | |
| Cc: motomaniac333 <motomaniac333@gmail.com>, gary.doer@dentons.com, David.Biette@wilsoncenter.org, ryan.mckenna@wilsoncenter.org, "caitlyn.gowriluk" <caitlyn.gowriluk@cbc.ca>, "Bartley.Kives" <Bartley.Kives@cbc.ca> | |
---------- Forwarded message ---------- From: Obby Khan <obby@obbykhan.ca> Date: Tue, 26 Sep 2023 16:07:56 -0500 Subject: Re: Manitoba's election is now the NDP's to lose To: David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail. Hi David, Thank you for sending this to me. Very interesting to take a walk down memory lane and check out the by-election stats! Obby Khan PC Candidate for Fort Whyte obby@obbykhan.ca 16 - 62 Scurfield Blvd Winnipeg, MB R3Y 1M5 On 9/25/23, David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail. > https://davidraymondamos3. > > Sunday, 24 September 2023 > > Manitoba's election is now the NDP's to lose > > Heather Stefanson > Heather Stefanson > > President of the Executive Council > Minister of Intergovernmental Affairs and International Relations > > > Contact > > Phone: 204-945-3714 > Fax: 204-949-1484 > Email premier@leg.gov.mb.ca > > 204 Legislative Building > 450 Broadway > Winnipeg, MB R3C 0V8 > > > > Clerk of the Executive Council and Cabinet Secretary > Kathryn Gerrard > Phone: 204-945-5640 > Fax: 204-945-8390 > Email dmexc@leg.gov.mb.ca > > 215 Legislative Building > 450 Broadway > Winnipeg, MB R3C 0V8 > > Deputy Cabinet Secretary, Strategic Operations and > Deputy Minister of Intergovernmental Affairs > Michael Richards > Phone: 204-945-2670 > Fax: 204-945-4065 > Email dcsso@leg.gov.mb.ca > > 327 Legislative Building > 450 Broadway > Winnipeg, MB R3C 0V8 > > Deputy Minister for the President of the Executive Council > Don Leitch > Phone: 204-945-5640 > Fax: 204-945-8390 > Email dmexc@leg.gov.mb.ca > > 215 Legislative Building > 450 Broadway > Winnipeg, MB R3C 0V8 > > Auto Reply Premier’s Secretariat > David Amos > <motomaniac333@gmail.com> Mon, Sep 25, 2023 at 12:26 PM > To: dcsso@leg.gov.mb.ca > > ---------- Forwarded message ---------- > From: David Amos <motomaniac333@gmail.com> > Date: Mon, 25 Sep 2023 12:25:06 -0300 > Subject: Fwd: Auto Reply Premier’s Secretariat > To: dmexc@leg.gov.mb.ca > > ---------- Forwarded message ---------- > From: Premier <PREMIER@manitoba.ca> > Date: Mon, 25 Sep 2023 00:55:34 +0000 > Subject: Auto Reply Premier’s Secretariat > To: David Amos <motomaniac333@gmail.com> > > On behalf of The Honourable Heather Stefanson, Premier of Manitoba, we > would like to acknowledge receipt of your email. > > Please note that this is an automated response to let you know that > your email has been received and that it will be reviewed at the > earliest opportunity. > > Thank you for taking the time to write. > > Premier’s Correspondence Team > Executive Council > Government of Manitoba > > ****************************** > > Au nom du premier ministre du Manitoba, Heather Stefanson, nous > accusons réception de votre courriel. > > Veuillez noter qu’il s’agit d’une réponse automatisée pour vous > informer que votre courriel a été reçu et qu’il sera examiné dans les > meilleurs délais. > > Nous vous remercions d’avoir pris le temps de nous écrire. > > Équipe chargée de la correspondance du premier ministre > Conseil exécutif > Gouvernement du Manitoba > > Premier > <PREMIER@manitoba.ca> Fri, Feb 24, 2023 at 11:34 AM > To: David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail. > > On behalf of The Honourable Heather Stefanson, Premier of Manitoba, we > would like to acknowledge receipt of your email. > > > > Please note that this is an automated response to let you know that > your email has been received and that it will be reviewed at the > earliest opportunity. > > > > Thank you for taking the time to write. > > > > Premier’s Correspondence Team > > Executive Council > > Government of Manitoba > > > > ****************************** > > > > Au nom du premier ministre du Manitoba, Heather Stefanson, nous > accusons réception de votre courriel. > > > > Veuillez noter qu’il s’agit d’une réponse automatisée pour vous > informer que votre courriel a été reçu et qu’il sera examiné dans les > meilleurs délais. > > > > Nous vous remercions d’avoir pris le temps de nous écrire. > > > > Équipe chargée de la correspondance du premier ministre > > Conseil exécutif > > Gouvernement du Manitoba > > > https://www.cbc.ca/news/ > > Manitoba's election is now the NDP's to lose > Pair of polls paint a rosy picture for New Democrats, but 10 remaining > days are an eternity in campaign time > > Bartley Kives · CBC News · Posted: Sep 23, 2023 8:00 AM ADT > > > A man in a suit stands at a podium. Opinion polls in Manitoba give NDP > Leader Wab Kinew the best chance of being elected premier in the next > 10 days. But those 10 days represent one-third of the formal campaign. > (James Turner/CBC) > > If the New Democrats manage to hold on to the lead polls suggest they > have right now in Manitoba, there won't be much of a contest on > election night. > > Two things are going very well for the NDP: strong support for the > party itself and a significant voter retreat from the Manitoba > Liberals. > > Polls released this week by the non-profit Angus Reid Institute and > for-profit firm Probe Research suggested 47 to 49 per cent of Manitoba > voters intend to cast ballots for the NDP. > > Support at that level spells victory — over the past century, no > Manitoba political party with 44 per cent of the popular vote or > better has lost an election. > > Even a smidge below 44 per cent doesn't get you there, at least if > you're the Tories. Progressive Conservative parties led by Sterling > Lyon in 1981 and Hugh McFadyen in 2011 came close to garnering 44 per > cent and still managed to lose elections to the NDP. > > In both of those races, support for the Manitoba Liberals collapsed > into the single digits. That provided the NDP with an advantage in > what essentially became head-to-head races with the PCs in northern > Manitoba, Brandon and the northern half of Winnipeg. > > This is another year where the Liberal vote appears to be collapsing. > Both the Angus Reid and Probe polls suggest only nine per cent of > voters intend to cast a ballot for a Liberal. > > Manitoba NDP now enjoys 6-point lead over PCs, Angus Reid poll suggests > > Manitoba NDP take 11 percentage point lead over PCs: Probe poll > > That means the dynamic we see right now in Manitoba — strong support > for the NDP coupled with a weak Liberal showing — may prove lethal for > the Progressive Conservatives. > > Even if both the PCs and Liberals claw back a few percentage points of > support, recent electoral history suggests the path to victory for the > PCs becomes narrow, hinging upon favourable splits in swing > constituencies. > > In 1999, both the NDP and Gary Filmon's Progressive Conservatives > garnered more than 40 per cent of the popular vote, while the Liberals > under Jon Gerrard captured 13 per cent. > > Gary Doer's NDP still captured eight more seats than the PCs — 32 to > 24 — and a majority government that year. > Liberal support sank in 1981, 2011 > > This year, the polls are looking a lot more like 1981 and 2011. > > In 1981, Howard Pawley's NDP edged Lyon's PCs in popular support by 47 > to 44 per cent. But the Liberals, led by the now-forgotten Doug > Lauchlan, only cobbled together seven per cent support. The result was > an 11-seat NDP majority. > > A man looks toward the camera as others, including a man holding a TV > camera, stand behind him. In 2011, Hugh McFadyen and the PCs only > trailed the NDP by two percentage points in the popular vote but still > lost to the NDP by 18 seats. The culprit was a poor showing that year > by the Manitoba Liberals. (David Lipnowski/The Canadian Press) > > In 2011, Greg Selinger's New Democrats edged past McFadyen's Tories by > an even narrower range of popular support, 46 to 44 per cent. But > Gerrard's Liberals only managed 7.5 per cent of voters. > > This allowed Selinger to win 37 seats — the highest total ever won by > an NDP premier in this province — as well as an 18-seat majority. > > All of this discussion, however, is predicated on the idea nothing > will change in Manitoba between now and the Oct. 3 vote. There is > every reason to suggest a lot will. > > For starters, the favourable polls for the NDP have the potential to > mobilize diehard PC supporters who can't stand the idea of the NDP's > Wab Kinew becoming premier in time to issue Thanksgiving greetings to > Manitobans. > > A woman in a suit speaks at a podium.Manitoba Progressive > Conservative Leader Heather Stefanson has 10 days to turn her party's > fortunes around. (James Turner/CBC) > > Similarly, there may be a temptation for NDP supporters and campaign > workers to take their feet off the gas. > > "There [are] hazards in those numbers because it can lead to > complacency," said Probe Research president Scott MacKay. > > Kinew clearly understood this risk when he made an appeal to voters on > Friday. > > "Polls don't change governments," he said in a carefully worded > statement at a campaign appearance in Tuxedo. "Only voters can do > that, and that's why we need everyone to get out and vote this year." > Appeal to Liberal voters > > There is also the possibility Kinew has overplayed his hand when it > comes to Liberal voters. Three times this week — at the Tuxedo event, > during a televised leaders' debate and in front of the Winnipeg > Chamber of Commerce — Kinew appealed directly to Liberals for their > votes this year. > > There are voters who do not appreciate being told overtly what to do. > If polls suggest many Liberal voters were already leaning NDP, why > mess with success? > > A man in a suit speaks at a podium. Leader Dougald Lamont must find a > way to ratchet the Liberal support up from the single digits to hold > on to the three seats the party had when the legislature was > dissolved. (James Turner/CBC) > > More importantly, 10 days is still a very long time in the context of > a 28-day political campaign. The Progressive Conservatives are not > finished rolling out their platform. The negative ads you expect to > see from a party running from behind have yet to appear en masse. > > The bottom line is that campaigns matter, even at the end, and > provincewide popular opinion can change. > > Kinew in the crosshairs during Manitoba party leaders' debate as > NDP surges in polls > > Fact-checking Wab Kinew's promises on crime during Manitoba party > leaders' debate > > Last spring in Alberta, for example, the United Conservatives and NDP > were running neck and neck in several polls two weeks before the > election. The UCP ended up winning the popular vote by almost nine > percentage points. > > A provincewide NDP lead doesn't automatically mean the party will be > able to flip every one of the seats on its target list. If Manitoba's > race grows closer, the election-day machinery on the ground for both > the NDP and PCs becomes more important. > > The NDP must win 11 more seats than the party has right now to form a > majority government. There are few easy outs among the potential > targets occupied right now by Liberals and PCs. > > In other words, this race is not over, even with polls painting a rosy > picture this week for the NDP. > > As advance polls open Saturday, this is now Wab Kinew's election to lose. > > Read full coverage of the 2023 Manitoba election here > > ABOUT THE AUTHOR > > Bartley Kives > > Senior reporter, CBC Manitoba > > Bartley Kives joined CBC Manitoba in 2016. Prior to that, he spent > three years at the Winnipeg Sun and 18 at the Winnipeg Free Press, > writing about politics, music, food and outdoor recreation. He's the > author of the Canadian bestseller A Daytripper's Guide to Manitoba: > Exploring Canada's Undiscovered Province and co-author of both Stuck > in the Middle: Dissenting Views of Winnipeg and Stuck In The Middle 2: > Defining Views of Manitoba. > > CBC's Journalistic Standards and Practices > > > > https://www.cbc.ca/news/ > > > Fact-checking Wab Kinew's promises on crime during Manitoba party > leaders' debate > NDP leader promised bail reform, criminal property seizures and more. > How much is really possible? > > Caitlyn Gowriluk · CBC News · Posted: Sep 22, 2023 9:34 PM ADT > > A man in a suit speaks at a podium. > Manitoba NDP Leader Wab Kinew faced off against his two main opponents > — Progressive Conservative Leader Heather Stefanson and Liberal Leader > Dougald Lamont — in a televised debate on Thursday night. (James > Turner/CBC) > > There were promises to reform bail, pledges to seize property from > suspected criminals and accusations Manitoba's Progressive > Conservative government has been "hard on the people living in bus > shelters but soft on the people supplying them drugs." > > But experts say some of the comments NDP Leader Wab Kinew made as his > opponents — Progressive Conservative Leader Heather Stefanson and > Liberal Leader Dougald Lamont — grilled him on crime and safety during > the only televised leaders' debate of Manitoba's 2023 provincial > election race on Thursday warrant further scrutiny or lack key > details. > > The debate came a day after the release of polls from the Angus Reid > Institute and Probe Research suggesting the NDP have a strong lead in > the campaign. > > So what did the perceived front-runner in the race leading up to > Manitoba's Oct. 3 election say about how his party would address crime > — and how does it stack up against reality? > > WATCH | Party leaders on how they'd tackle crime and safety: > Manitoba 2023 election debate: Party leaders on crime and safety > Manitobans vote for their next provincial government on Oct. 3. NDP > Leader Wab Kinew, Liberal Leader Dougald Lamont and PC Leader Heather > Stefanson squared off in a live televised debate on Thursday, Sept. > 21, 2023. > Bail reform > > During the debate section on crime and safety, Kinew said "there's no > need to wait for other levels of government to take action" on bail > reform, promising to "implement bail reform at the provincial level" > and "direct the Ministry of Justice to implement stronger conditions > on bail to keep you safe in the community" within 100 days of being > elected. > > But that "oddly worded" statement doesn't quite reflect what power > provinces have when it comes to affecting bail outcomes, said Brandon > Trask, an assistant professor in the University of Manitoba's faculty > of law. > > WATCH | Kinew says he'd tackle bail reform in first 100 days as premier: > Kinew promises to tackle bail in first 100 days > Duration 2:26 > NDP Leader Wab Kinew says there's no need to wait for other levels of > government to tackle bail issues to reduce crime. He also says his > party, if elected, will end chronic homelessness. Liberal Leader > Dougald Lamont vows to do it faster. > > "I would say his comments were partially true. But, you know, [they] > could be confusing to a number of individuals listening," Trask said. > > That's because while a province's attorney general can in theory > provide broad directives to provincial prosecutors, only the federal > government has the power to make the kind of criminal laws that would > actually change bail outcomes, he said. > > Any directives also have to be based on objective legal criteria — > "never ideology or political views," said University of Manitoba > criminologist Frank Cormier. > > Three people in business attire stand at podiums in a TV studio. From > left: Manitoba NDP Leader Wab Kinew, Liberal Leader Dougald Lamont and > Progressive Conservative Leader Heather Stefanson at a party leaders' > debate at CBC Manitoba on Thursday. (James Turner/CBC) > > And the final decisions are ultimately up to a judge — who a > provincial government is not allowed to give orders to, said Michael > Weinrath, a criminal justice professor at the University of Winnipeg. > > Trask said he's also "a bit puzzled" about what directives an NDP > attorney general might want to implement, since things like public > safety are already considered in bail hearings. > > Kinew in the crosshairs during Manitoba party leaders' debate as > NDP surges in polls > > Analysis > Manitoba's election is now the NDP's to lose > > Many of the current rulings that shape bail decisions have also been > handed down by the Supreme Court of Canada — which wouldn't be > possible for a provincial government to direct prosecutors to ignore, > Trask said. > > NDP spokesperson Rorie McLeod-Arnould said in an email later Friday > the party's approach to bail reform will be guided by the National > Police Federation's recommendations. > > Those include "support for better data sharing among law enforcement, > investments in rural broadband to improve bail monitoring and > introducing standard qualifications for those who conduct bail > hearings," the statement said. > Unexplained wealth act > > Kinew said another step an NDP government would take to address crime > is introducing an unexplained wealth act "that will mean if there's a > gangster driving a $100,000 car, we're going to ask, 'How did you get > that? And if you can't explain it, we will hold you accountable.'" > > A man in a suit speaks at a podium. Kinew speaks during > the televised party leaders' debate at CBC Manitoba on Thursday. > (James Turner/CBC) > > Trask said "the devil's in the details with something like this" and > wondered how the proposal would differ from Manitoba's existing > criminal property forfeiture unit, which allows the government to > seize assets that are the proceeds of a crime or were used to commit > one, even if the person involved hasn't been convicted of a crime. > > Cormier said while the language political parties use during an > election is "often not necessarily intended to be terribly > scientific," what Kinew is describing sounds to him like something > that would open up legal and human rights issues. > > "We can't just decide that somebody driving a certain car is or is not > a gangster," he said. > > How crime pays for police: Possibility of expanding Manitoba's > civil forfeitures raises concerns > > "Clearly we can't have police, you know, stopping everyone who's > driving a very expensive car and saying, 'You need to explain to me > how you got this.' That is obviously unacceptable in a free and > democratic society." > > NDP spokesperson McLeod-Arnould said the act would "complement > existing criminal property forfeiture regimes" and "allow law > enforcement to initiate investigations proactively of persons of > interest and their assets, and require them to justify unexplained, > excess wealth." > > The statement also noted the party would consider lessons learned in > British Columbia, which earlier this year introduced similar > legislation. > PC record on addictions, prosecuting traffickers > > More than once during the debate, Kinew accused Progressive > Conservative Leader Heather Stefanson's government of being "hard on > the people living in bus shelters but soft on the people supplying > them drugs." > > Weinrath said while he agrees the PCs haven't done enough to help > people with addictions, he "would like to see the evidence" that > they're not doing enough to crack down on traffickers. > > Trask also characterized it as "a bit of a stretch" to claim a > provincial government has been soft on dealers when provinces play > such a limited role, noting provincial attorneys general aren't > allowed to get involved in specific cases, and "the vast, vast > majority" of drug prosecutions are done by federal prosecutors, not > provincial ones. > > Cormier said all that means it's ultimately up to police and > prosecutors to determine how strenuously law enforcement goes after > dealers — not the province. > > "A provincial government can't be hard or soft — or anything else — on > drug traffickers," he said. > ABOUT THE AUTHOR > > Caitlyn Gowriluk > > Reporter > > Caitlyn Gowriluk has been writing for CBC Manitoba since 2019. Her > work has also appeared in the Winnipeg Free Press, and in 2021 she was > part of an award-winning team recognized by the Radio Television > Digital News Association for its breaking news coverage of COVID-19 > vaccines. Get in touch with her at caitlyn.gowriluk@cbc.ca. > > Follow Caitlyn Gowriluk on Twitter > > CBC's Journalistic Standards and Practices > > > > > https://www.cbc.ca/news/ > > Kinew in the crosshairs during Manitoba party leaders' debate as NDP > surges in polls > Leaders of PC, Liberal, New Democrat parties tackled issues Thursday > as election race enters final stretch > > Caitlyn Gowriluk · CBC News · Posted: Sep 21, 2023 7:00 AM ADT > > > Three people in business attire stand at podiums in a TV studio. From > left: Manitoba NDP Leader Wab Kinew, Liberal Leader Dougald Lamont and > Progressive Conservative Leader Heather Stefanson took part in a party > leaders' debate at CBC Manitoba on Thursday night. (James Turner/CBC) > > Manitoba NDP Leader Wab Kinew faced a barrage of criticism from his > opponents on Thursday night during the only televised debate of 2023 > provincial election race — including shots in some questions that > weren't even directed at him. > > Liberal Leader Dougald Lamont used all his questions during the > hour-long leaders' debate to grill Kinew on issues such as how he'd > address violent crime and pay for his party's promises. > > Progressive Conservative Leader Heather Stefanson, meanwhile, used two > of her opportunities to ask Lamont pointed questions about Kinew — > essentially using the Liberal leader to take swipes at her main > opponent. > > The debate comes a day after the release of two polls suggesting the > NDP is leading the PCs in popular support. > > For the most part, the leaders stuck to the talking points and > promises they've trotted out throughout the election period. > > WATCH | Party leaders make their opening statements: > Manitoba 2023 election debate: Party leaders give opening statements > Duration 11:34 > Manitobans vote for their next provincial government on Oct. 3. NDP > Leader Wab Kinew, Liberal Leader Dougald Lamont and PC Leader Heather > Stefanson squared off in a live televised debate on Thursday, Sept. > 21, 2023. > > Stefanson focused her statements on growing the economy and tackling > the high cost of living, while Kinew talked about fixing the > health-care system and Lamont argued neither of his opponents are > worthy of Manitobans' votes, referring to both the PC and NDP plans as > "fiscally delusional." > > But the night did bring a few standout moments. > > WATCH | Party leaders on how they'd tackle the major issues: > > Health care: > Manitoba 2023 election debate: Party leaders on Manitoba health care > Duration 15:29 > Manitobans vote for their next provincial government on Oct. 3. NDP > Leader Wab Kinew, Liberal Leader Dougald Lamont and PC Leader Heather > Stefanson squared off in a live televised debate on Thursday, Sept. > 21, 2023. > > Affordability and the economy: > Manitoba 2023 election debate: Party leaders on affordability and the > economy > Duration 14:25 > Manitobans vote for their next provincial government on Oct. 3. NDP > Leader Wab Kinew, Liberal Leader Dougald Lamont and PC Leader Heather > Stefanson squared off in a live televised debate on Thursday, Sept. > 21, 2023. > > Crime and safety: > Manitoba 2023 election debate: Party leaders on crime and safety > Duration 13:13 > Manitobans vote for their next provincial government on Oct. 3. NDP > Leader Wab Kinew, Liberal Leader Dougald Lamont and PC Leader Heather > Stefanson squared off in a live televised debate on Thursday, Sept. > 21, 2023. > Stefanson takes shots, sticks to notes > > In one question, Stefanson asked Lamont — not Kinew — about the > effects of a provincial sales tax hike by an NDP government. Her party > has, without evidence, been claiming for months the NDP would increase > the PST if elected. > > She later told reporters that strategy was simply a way to "make sure > that Dougald Lamont had a chance to get up and let everyone and > Manitobans know what he stands for," while Lamont said the PC leader > raised important questions about the NDP, who he said have "been > making it up as they go along." > > WATCH | 'Don't be fooled by Mr. Kinew,' says Stefanson: > 'Is Gary Doer running for politics again in Manitoba?': Stefanson > Duration 3:09 > PC Leader Heather Stefanson and NDP Leader Wab Kinew debate the NDP's > fiscal legacy in the televised election debate. Kinew says he's > working with former premier Gary Doer, while Stefanson reiterates her > promises to grow the economy. > > The PC leader also asked Lamont about Kinew's statement during a CJOB > radio debate this week that former Liberal member of Parliament and > current emergency room doctor Doug Eyolfson endorsed the NDP's plan to > reopen three Winnipeg emergency rooms. Lamont later held a news > conference where he decried that as a lie. > > Eyolfson also later said he hadn't had time to read the NDP's plan, > let alone endorse it — and while he has publicly condemned the > province closing the ERs, he called Kinew's description of his views a > misunderstanding, not a lie. > > Following Thursday's debate, Kinew would not say he was wrong in > describing Eyolfson's statements as an endorsement. > > Two people in business attire are shown on the screen of a camera with > prompter directions in the foreground. Manitoba NDP Leader Wab Kinew > and Progressive Conservative Leader Heather Stefanson are seen on a > screen during Thursday's debate. (James Turner/CBC) > > "I think that we're in agreement, Dr. Eyolfson and I, that closing the > ERs was a big mistake," he said. > > Stefanson, who appeared to rely heavily on her notes throughout the > debate, was also the first to bring up the calls for a search of the > Prairie Green landfill near Winnipeg for the remains of two First > Nations homicide victims. > > She questioned Kinew's leadership ability by bringing up his support > for a landfill search, referring to her choice against paying for a > search as the type of necessary but "very difficult decision" that > leaders are often faced with. > > "This will happen time and time again. And in this particular case, > the answer had to be no," she said. > > When asked why she won't reconsider searching for the remains of > Marcedes Myran or Morgan Harris, Stefanson mentioned neither of the > women's names as she talked about her government's recent pledge to > help fund an Indigenous-run addictions treatment centre. > > "That's true reconciliation, working together — 180 more beds to help > ensure that we prevent those people from getting the — prevent MMIWG > from getting into the situation in the first place," she said. > Kinew attacks premier's record > > Kinew fired back at Stefanson during the debate, asking her whether > she agreed her government's cuts to health care in Manitoba led to > tragic consequences, including the death of Krystal Mousseau, a > 31-year-old woman who died during a failed transfer to an intensive > care unit out of province in 2021. > > "I want everyone to remember Krystal's name, because I think so many > of us in this province know somebody where we're still asking those > 'what if' questions. What if healthcare had been better?" he said. > > WATCH | 'I want everyone to remember Krystal's name,' says Kinew: > 'I want everyone to remember Krystal's name': Kinew > Duration 2:18 > PC Leader Heather Stefanson admits in the CBC televised election > debate she made a mistake when she brought up her son's hockey team > when asked about the death of Krystal Mousseau, a COVID-19 patient who > died in 2021 after a failed attempt to airlift her to an Ottawa > hospital, but says the NDP don't have enough of a health-care plan. > NDP Leader Wab Kinew says he wants better health care for Manitobans. > > Kinew later attacked Stefanson's record on dealing with crime and > addictions as premier, accusing her of being "hard on the people > living in bus shelters but soft on the people supplying them drugs." > > He also said an NDP government would take action on changing bail > conditions at the provincial level within 100 days of being elected. > > WATCH | Kinew says he'd tackle bail reform in first 100 days as premier: > Kinew promises to tackle bail in first 100 days > Duration 2:26 > NDP Leader Wab Kinew says there's no need to wait for other levels of > government to tackle bail issues to reduce crime. He also says his > party, if elected, will end chronic homelessness. Liberal Leader > Dougald Lamont vows to do it faster. > > The NDP leader also raised his promise to bring back former Manitoba > premier Gary Doer as an adviser on Canada-U.S. trade — which Stefanson > responded to with a moment of sarcasm. > > "Am I missing something? Is Gary Doer running for politics again in > Manitoba?" she asked Kinew. > > "I have a lot of respect for Gary Doer. There's no question. But he is > not going to be the premier of Manitoba after this election, so you're > going to have to make some tough decisions if you get there — but I'll > tell you, we're going to make sure that you don't get there." > Lamont takes aim at opponents > > In an apparent reference to the NDP's promise to stop sending > education tax rebates to corporate property owners — but otherwise > leave the PC practice largely intact — Lamont accused Kinew of > sticking to the "Pallister plan" and used Kinew's own catchphrase to > liken the NDP leader to former PC premier Brian Pallister. > > "How do you do? You're Pallister Kinew," he said. > > A man in a suit speaks at a podium. Manitoba Liberal Leader Dougald > Lamont speaks during the Thursday night debate. (James Turner/CBC) > > Lamont also suggested neither Kinew nor Stefanson would be able to > fulfil all their election promises, including balancing the budget, > without slashing funding from somewhere. > > "What you're promising is cuts," he said. > > At the end of the night, Kinew made another plea to Liberal voters to > consider giving their support in the upcoming election to the NDP — a > party Lamont later accused of abandoning its principles. > New polls suggest NDP advantage > > A group of broadcasters co-operated to put on the debate, which aired > live on CBC TV, radio and online. > > It comes a day after the release of polls from the Angus Reid > Institute and Probe Research suggesting the NDP have a strong lead in > the race. > > The Probe poll suggested the NDP have 49 per cent of voter support, > compared with 38 per cent for the PCs and nine per cent for the > Liberals. > > Those polls suggest a shift in voter intention since June, when a > Probe Research poll reported a provincewide deadlock in party support. > > How do Manitoba's parties compare on these election issues? > > 'Elitist,' 'relatable' and 'who?' Swing riding voters have their > say on 3 Manitoba political leaders > > The coming election will also be a test for the PCs under Heather > Stefanson, who has never stood a provincial election as party leader. > > WATCH | Party leaders's closing statements: > Manitoba 2023 election debate: Party leaders give closing statements > Duration 3:47 > Manitobans vote for their next provincial government on Oct. 3. NDP > Leader Wab Kinew, Liberal Leader Dougald Lamont and PC Leader Heather > Stefanson squared off in a live televised debate on Thursday, Sept. > 21, 2023. > > Heading into the election period, the governing PCs held 35 of the 57 > seats in Manitoba's Legislature. The NDP had 18, the Liberals held > three and one seat was vacant. > > Advance voting opens on Sept. 23 and runs until Sept. 30. > > Election day is Oct. 3. > > Read full coverage of the 2023 Manitoba election here > > Watch the debate in full: > Leaders of Manitoba main parties face off in debate > Duration 58:30 > Manitobans vote for their next provincial government on Oct. 3. NDP > Leader Wab Kinew, Liberal Leader Dougald Lamont and PC Leader Heather > Stefanson squared off in a live televised debate on Thursday, Sept. > 21, 2023. > ABOUT THE AUTHOR > > Caitlyn Gowriluk > > Reporter > > Caitlyn Gowriluk has been writing for CBC Manitoba since 2019. Her > work has also appeared in the Winnipeg Free Press, and in 2021 she was > part of an award-winning team recognized by the Radio Television > Digital News Association for its breaking news coverage of COVID-19 > vaccines. Get in touch with her at caitlyn.gowriluk@cbc.ca. > > Follow Caitlyn Gowriluk on Twitter > > With files from Ian Froese > CBC's Journalistic Standards and Practices > > > > https://www.cbc.ca/news/ > > > Manitoba NDP take 11 percentage point lead over PCs: Probe poll > September poll also gives PC Leader Heather Stefanson high disapproval > numbers > > Bartley Kives · CBC News · Posted: Sep 21, 2023 6:52 PM ADT > > > Three politicians, all in suits, speak at public events. > PC Leader Heather Stefanson, NDP Leader Wab Kinew and Liberal Leader > Dougald Lamont are 12 days away from an election. (Darryl Dyck, John > Woods, David Lipnowski/The Canadian Press) > > Another survey of Manitoba voter intentions has the New Democrats > well ahead of the Progressive Conservatives. > > A Probe Research poll commissioned the Winnipeg Free Press and CTV > suggests 49 per cent of voters support the NDP, compared to 38 per > cent for the Progressive Conservatives and nine per cent for the > Liberals. > > The poll of 1,000 adults was conducted over the phone and online from > Sept. 7 to Sept. 18. A purely random sample of that size would have a > margin of error of 3.1 per cent. > > The 11-point lead for the NDP exceeds the six-point margin from an > Angus Reid Institute poll published on Wednesday. > > "Things are going very well for the NDP, but there's also hazards in > those numbers," said Scott MacKay, Probe Research's president, in a > telephone interview. "It can lead to complacency." > > Manitoba NDP now enjoys 6-point lead over PCs, Angus Reid poll suggests > > MacKay said he is reminded of 2003, when the NDP went into an election > with very flattering polls suggesting they were poised to wrest huge > swaths of seats away from the PCs. When all the votes were counted on > election night, the NDP only won three more seats. > > NDP spokesperson Rebecca Widdicombe said in a statement that the Probe > poll suggests Manitobans agree there should be a change in government. > > PC campaign manager Marni Larkin, meanwhile, said the numbers do not > jibe with what she is seeing at the door. > > "I've got my head down and I'm going to drive out every single vote I > can until election day," she said in a telephone interview. > > Liberal spokesperson Colin Roy said his party's own numbers are more > favourable. > > "Manitobans need as many Manitoba Liberals in the legislature as > possible to hold the next government, possibly a minority government, > accountable," he said in a statement. > > Read full coverage of the 2023 Manitoba election here > > The Probe poll also suggests Manitobans have a far more favourable > opinion of NDP Leader Wab Kinew than they do of PC Leader Heather > Stefanson. The poll suggests 51 per cent of voters approve of Kinew, > compared to 32 per cent for Stefanson. > > MacKay said he finds Stefanson's low approval ratings difficult to > understand. The survey suggests 61 per cent of Manitobans disapprove > of her, compared to 39 per cent who disapprove of Kinew. > > "I didn't think people would really dislike her that much," he said, > adding he would expect that sort of disdain to be reserved for > extraordinary political characters like former U.S. president Donald > Trump. "This seems to be a very intense reaction to her." > > CBC's Journalistic Standards and Practices > > > > > https://www.cbc.ca/news/ > > Former Manitoba premier Doer wants off 'bleachers,' will take on > Canada-U.S. trade adviser role if NDP win > Gary Doer, 75, served as 20th premier of Manitoba from 1999 to 2009 > > CBC News · Posted: Sep 12, 2023 1:01 PM ADT > > > Two politicans in blue suits speak to media. NDP Leader Wab Kinew, > left, announced Tuesday that former premier Gary Doer, right, has > agreed to work as an adviser on Canada-U.S. trade should the NDP win > the Oct. 3 Manitoba election. (CBC/Radio-Canada) > > The Manitoba NDP promises to bring back a party all-star as an adviser > if it forms the next provincial government. > > Leader Wab Kinew announced on Tuesday that former premier Gary Doer > would work with a Manitoba NDP government as an adviser on Canada-U.S. > trade, should the party win the Oct. 3 election. > > "I thought I owe it to my community if I can be helpful, constructive, > valuable with the contacts that I still have in Washington," Doer said > during a Tuesday morning news conference at The Forks in Winnipeg. > > "I just want to be part of the solution and not sit totally in the > bleachers." > > Doer, 75, served as the 20th premier of Manitoba from 1999 to 2009, > winning three provincial elections, with a larger majority each time. > > After retiring from politics, Doer served as Canada's ambassador to > the U.S. from 2009-16. He later worked for the Alberta government as > an advocate in resolving the softwood lumber dispute with the Trump > administration. > > Gary Doer leaves the building: Long career in public life ends for > U.S. ambassador > > Gary Doer, Canada's ambassador to U.S., says he's heading home soon > > He is currently the volunteer co-chair of the Woodrow Wilson Institute > and is a member of the advisory board of the Canadian American > Business Council. His gig with the NDP would also be on a volunteer > basis. > > Doer said the invitation from Kinew reminded him of one of his first > moves after becoming premier in 1999, which was to approach former > Progressive Conservative premier Duff Roblin for advice on expansion > plans for the Red River Floodway. > > "I think this is a tradition in Manitoba — we use the talent we have > in the most effective way we can," Doer said. > > "Elections are competitive, politics is very competitive, but I've > always believed that we should try to work together after the election > as much as possible … for the benefit of our kids and our > grandchildren." > > Two politicians in blue suits shake hands. Doer and Kinew shaking > hands at the announcement on Tuesday. (CBC/Radio-Canada) > > Doer has been "an inspiration to me since the beginning of my > political career," Kinew said Tuesday. > > "I'm grateful he has accepted the offer to lend his great expertise to > the important issue of Manitoba-U.S. trade." > > Doer would help increase trading opportunities with the U.S., said Kinew. > > "If my team has the opportunity to serve as Manitoba's next > government, we'll get back on track and we'll draw on Gary's > experience and advice to do it." > > Doer said he feels health care is the biggest issue in this election, > and the status quo isn't cutting it. The NDP has also put health care > at the centre of its election campaign. > > Doer "has something to contribute to build up our economy to help with > the health care issues we're talking about," said Kinew. > > "I think his approach produced great dividends for Manitobans while he > was the premier, and I think he has got a ton to offer to help us > moving forward." > > Read full coverage of the 2023 Manitoba election here > > Doer said he has been impressed by the reaction to Kinew from > health-care workers, business people and other Manitobans whom he has > spoken with about the NDP leader. > > "I've been around town — I live in this community, love this community > — and I have been very impressed with the people I've met who have met > Wab Kinew," he said. > > "I've come to the conclusion that Wab Kinew is open to advice from all > Manitobans, and I've been very impressed with that. And a person who > is open to advice, I think, will run an open government." > > WATCH | Kinew announces Doer will take adviser role if NDP elected Oct. 3: > NDP's Wab Kinew open to advice, former premier says in endorsement > Duration 1:37 > Former Manitoba Premier Gary Doer says he's impressed at the range of > people who've had good things to say about current NDP Leader Wab > Kinew, even if they may not vote for him in the upcoming provincial > election. > > CBC's Journalistic Standards and Practices > > > https://ca.wallmine.com/tsx/ > > Last updated: 1 September 2023 at 11:00am EST > Gary Doer biography > > Gary Albert Doer serves as Independent Director of the Company. Mr. > Doer is a director of IGM Financial Inc., Great- West Lifeco Inc., > Power Corporation of Canada and Power Financial Corporation. He is > also Senior Business Advisor to the law firm Dentons Canada LLP. > Previously, Mr. Doer served as the Canadian Ambassador to the United > States from 2009 to 2016 and participated in the negotiations of the > Canada-U.S. new border agreement and the Trans-Pacific Partnership > tentative agreement. Mr. Doer also served as the 20th Premier of > Manitoba from 1999 to 2009. He was elected a member of the Legislative > Assembly of Manitoba in 1986 and during his tenure, he served as > Minister of Urban Affairs and Minister of Crown Investments. From 1979 > to 1986, Mr. Doer was the President of the Manitoba Government > Employees’ Association. Mr. Doer is a Canadian member of the > Trilateral Commission and serves as Co-Chair of the Wilson Centre’s > Canada Institute, a non-partisan public policy forum focused on > Canada-U.S. relations. In 2010, he became a Member of the Order of > Manitoba and, in 2011, he received a distinguished diplomatic service > award from the World Affairs Council. > | |
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