Monday, 3 June 2019

Minority governments another sign that Canada is in the midst of a political upheaval

---------- Original message ----------
From: Navdeep.Bains@parl.gc.ca
Date: Tue, 4 Jun 2019 08:56:01 +0000
Subject: Automatic reply: Methinks my blog and tweets about minority
governments may bear some fruit some sunny day N'esy Pas Mr Higgs and
Mr Trudeau?
To: motomaniac333@gmail.com

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Have a great day!

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The office of the Hon. Navdeep Bains, P.C., M.P.
Member of Parliament for Mississauga - Malton



---------- Original message ----------
From: Iqra.Khalid@parl.gc.ca
Date: Tue, 4 Jun 2019 08:56:01 +0000
Subject: Automatic reply: Methinks my blog and tweets about minority
governments may bear some fruit some sunny day N'esy Pas Mr Higgs and
Mr Trudeau?
To: motomaniac333@gmail.com

Thank you for contacting the office of MP Iqra Khalid. Your email is
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---------- Original message ----------
From: "OfficeofthePremier, Office PREM:EX" <Premier@gov.bc.ca>
Date: Tue, 4 Jun 2019 08:55:00 +0000
Subject: Automatic reply: Methinks my blog and tweets about minority
governments may bear some fruit some sunny day N'esy Pas Mr Higgs and
Mr Trudeau?
To: David Amos <motomaniac333@gmail.com>

Hello,

Thank you for taking the time to write. I appreciate hearing feedback
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---------- Original message ----------
From: Premier <PREMIER@leg.gov.mb.ca>
Date: Tue, 4 Jun 2019 08:55:19 +0000
Subject: Auto Reply Premier’s Secretariat
To: David Amos <motomaniac333@gmail.com>

On behalf of The Honourable Brian Pallister, Premier of Manitoba, we
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---------- Original message ----------
From: David Amos <motomaniac333@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 4 Jun 2019 04:54:54 -0400
Subject: Fwd: Methinks my blog and tweets about minority governments
may bear some fruit some sunny day N'esy Pas Mr Higgs and Mr Trudeau?
To: David.Lametti@parl.gc.ca, Jody.Wilson-Raybould@parl.gc.ca,
Pierre.Paul-Hus.a1@parl.gc.ca, Pierre-Luc.Dusseault@parl.gc.ca,
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Cc: david.raymond.amos333@gmail.com, Bill.Morneau@canada.ca,
Nathalie.Drouin@justice.gc.ca, Navdeep.Bains@parl.gc.ca,
wayne.easter@parl.gc.ca, Wayne.Long@parl.gc.ca,
David.Yurdiga.c1a@parl.gc.ca, david.eby.mla@leg.bc.ca,
premier@leg.gov.mb.ca, premier@gov.bc.ca

---------- Original message ----------
From: Premier <PREMIER@novascotia.ca>
Date: Tue, 4 Jun 2019 08:42:57 +0000
Subject: Automatic Reply
To: David Amos <motomaniac333@gmail.com>

Thank you for your email to Premier McNeil.

This is an automatic confirmation your email has been received.

Warmest Regards,

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---------- Original message ----------
From: David Amos <motomaniac333@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 4 Jun 2019 04:42:52 -0400
Subject: Re: Methinks my blog and tweets minority governments may bear
some fruit some sunny day N'esy Pas Mr Higgs and Mr Trudeau?
To: Jody.Wilson-Raybould@parl.gc.caJane.Philpott@parl.gc.ca,
jagmeet.singh@parl.gc.ca, andrew.scheer@parl.gc.ca,
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scott.doherty@sackvilletribunepost.com,
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jus.minister@gov.sk.ca, justmin@gov.ns.ca,
ministryofjustice@gov.ab.ca, premier@gov.ab.ca
Cc: David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail.com>

---------- Original message ----------
From: Jane.Philpott@parl.gc.ca
Date: Tue, 4 Jun 2019 08:23:15 +0000
Subject: Automatic reply: Methinks my blog and tweets minority
governments may bear some fruit some unny day N'esy Pas Mr Higgs and
Mr Trudeau?
To: motomaniac333@gmail.com

Hello,

Thank you for your email to the Honourable Jane Philpott, Member of
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---------- Original message ----------
From: Premier of Ontario | Premier ministre de l’Ontario <Premier@ontario.ca>
Date: Tue, 4 Jun 2019 08:23:14 +0000
Subject: Automatic reply: Methinks my blog and tweets minority
governments may bear some fruit some unny day N'esy Pas Mr Higgs and
Mr Trudeau?
To: David Amos <motomaniac333@gmail.com>

Thank you for your email. Your thoughts, comments and input are greatly valued.

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---------- Original message ----------
From: Justice Minister <JUSTMIN@novascotia.ca>
Date: Tue, 4 Jun 2019 08:23:15 +0000
Subject: Automatic reply: Methinks my blog and tweets minority
governments may bear some fruit some unny day N'esy Pas Mr Higgs and
Mr Trudeau?
To: David Amos <motomaniac333@gmail.com>

Thank you for your email to the Minister of Justice. Please be assured
that it has been received by the Department. Your email will be
reviewed and addressed accordingly. Thank you.


https://davidraymondamos3.blogspot.com/2019/06/minority-governments-another-sign-that.html


Monday, 3 June 2019
Minority governments another sign that Canada is in the midst of a
political upheaval



https://twitter.com/DavidRayAmos/with_replies





Replying to and 48 others
Reply to Ryan Tasker: I disagree Methinks in light of recent events it should be obvious that more Independent MPs seated in Parliament would be the ticket to stop the nonsense N'esy Pas?


https://davidraymondamos3.blogspot.com/2019/06/minority-governments-another-sign-that.html 
 





https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/grenier-minority-governments-1.5157390





Minority governments another sign that Canada is in the midst of a political upheaval



 
4150 (the tally was 4188 hours before closing) Comments  
Commenting is now closed for this story.

 

David Amos 
I wonder if any parliamentarian will ever mention their knowledge of my lawsuit against the Queen (Federal Court File No. T-1557-15). Methinks the latest related decision within the Federal Court of Appeal should concern all of them immensely before I put before the Supreme Court before the next election. Trust that all their party leaders know all about it. Anyone can Google their names and mine to verify what I say is true N'esy Pas? 





 


Kevan Cleverbridge (Hill 70
Getting rid of the current government should be Canadians top priority,we can't afford them any longer.  


Ryan Tasker
Reply to @Kevan Cleverbridge (Hill 70): Liberal... Conservative... NDP... they're all useless and ineffective. We need new blood running this country... Green blood.  


David Amos
Reply to @Ryan Tasker: I disagree Methinks in light of recent events it should be obvious that more Independent MPs seated in Parliament would be the ticket to stop the nonsense N'esy Pas? 


David Amos
Reply to @david mccaig: Methinks voting for an Independent may be wise it you happen have one to vote for in October N'esy Pas?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-cFOKT6TlSE



David Amos
Reply to @Kevin Delaney: "A razor thin minority with JWR and Philpot both elected as independents would work nicely. It would even be nicer if JT had to face those two back as sitting members."

I concur 

 

Henrik Reggin
Reply to @Kevan Cleverbridge (Hill 70): 128 up votes, 56 down, 6pm est, June 3. This will most likely change with the magic of cbc and unifor.


David Amos
Content disabled 
Reply to @Henrik Reggin: Methinks of that we should have no doubt N'esy Pas? 
 

David Amos
Content disabled 
Reply to @Henrik Reggin: Seems that one is not permitted to agree with you


David Amos
Reply to @Kevan Cleverbridge (Hill 70): Methinks what we truly can't afford is attempting to pacify Mr Trump a good buddy of Mr Harper Matters would only get worse if Mr Scheer gets the job his old boss held for way past too long N'esy Pas?










Steve Timmins
Self entitled people like Justin do not make good leaders. They are incapable of leading by example because they simply feel like they are better than others and deserve the spoils. 


Hamish lawrence
Reply to @Steve Timmins:
The liberal party is a power seeking machine. Trudeau was selected for his shallow voter appeal. The conservatives went through a restructuring period. The Liberals should face the same. Then they might realize that they are servants of the people first.



Gorden Feist
Reply to @Hamish lawrence: "The conservatives went through a restructuring period. "

And then they decided they were perfect as is and therefore there was no need to change.  



Lawrence Vickers
Reply to @Steve Timmins: Thank-you for your donation says it all! 


David Amos
Reply to @Gorden Feist: Methinks thou doth jest too much N'esy Pas?


David Amos
Reply to @Lawrence Vickers: Oh So True 













Kent Worthy
I'm voting Conservative this fall. 


Mar Pell
Reply to @Kent Worthy: I will be in the only logic and intelligent corner - liberal.  


David Amos
Reply to @Kent Worthy: "I'm voting Conservative this fall."

Methinks the polls today say that the majority of folks will not N'esy Pas?
 



David Amos
Reply to @Mar Pell: Methinks logic would command that I should vote for myself as an Independent for the first time that I will be allowed to do so in many years N'esy Pas?

Supreme Court of Canada guarantees voting rights for expats
Kathleen Harris · CBC News · Posted: Jan 11, 2019 4:00 AM ET

'The Supreme Court of Canada has ruled that expats have the right to vote in federal elections no matter how long they have lived outside the country.

In a 5-2 decision, a majority of justices said the infringement to charter rights is not justified.

Writing for the majority, chief justice Richard Wagner said voting is a "fundamental political right, and the right to vote is a core tenet of our democracy."
 



Kent Worthy
Reply to @David Amos:

Keep thinking.
And it's n'est-ce-pas". So you said will not, is not.








Michael Walsh
To suggest it is a global movement of disruption is an inaccurate way of describing what is happening around the world. Neoliberal policies have failed working and middle class people. The political parties that have traditionally represented their needs have abandoned them in favour of big money interests. People are seeking alternatives because they are starting to process this betrayal. I say starting because the awakening is incremental. There are some who still believe the mainstream narrative but there are growing number of people who have dismissed the neoliberal promise as rubbish. They look at their lives and realize they are worst off than their parents. They realize they have to work multiple jobs to survive. They realize they may never own a house. They also realize that the media are partly responsible for maintaining the narrative. They are angry and rightfully so.


David Amos
Reply to @Michael Walsh: "They are angry and rightfully so."

True However it is not just the liberals who are to blame. Methinks Harper and the Bush Clan proved that to be a fact years ago. That why we got with the two fancy dudes catching up over beer in Ottawa on Friday. Now Trump (the dude who don't drink) and his cohorts continue to prove just how bad conservatives can truly be on a daily basis N'esy Pas?















Lloyd Browen
What I find to be very revealing is that liberal supporters are constantly fabricating all sorts of nonsense in their desperate efforts to make scheer look bad.

CPC supporters, on the other hand, have plenty of TRUTH to say about trudeau which proves he's totally incompetent, dishonets, and yes, BAD.

One (liberal) spouts fabrications, the other (CPC) spouts truth.

THAT is why the CPC will win in October.



Ivan Nano
Reply to @Lloyd Browen: Scheer needs no ones help to look bad. All you need to do is 'look'


David Amos 
Reply to @Ivan Nano: YUP 












Ron Smith 
Come October 2019 Justin can start the ultimate in long holidays. 


Jennifer McIsaac
Reply to @Ron Smith: 
Just as long as we don't get Scheer and his gang of misanthropes as a majority. 


David Amos
Reply to @Jennifer McIsaac: I agree 













Alex Reti
Minority government not so bad - so long as it ain't Trudeau's.


David Amos 
Reply to @alex reti: Methinks everybody wants a minority government no matter what colour the leader's coat is N'esy Pas?














Mark Axworthy
4 years ago, Canada was a big ol' happy family, SOMEONE pitted us against each other and tore us apart...  


Kevin Delaney
Reply to @Mark Axworthy:
Ah to have such fond lapses of memory re King Steve. How wonderfully forgetful.



David Amos  
Reply to @Kevin Delaney: Methinks not everyone agrees with his version of our history N'esy Pas?




Minority governments another sign that Canada is in the midst of a political upheaval

 

There have never been more minority governments in Canada than there are now — the fall vote could add another


Canadians can't seem to make up their minds lately, with more minority governments in power across the country than ever before — and another one potentially on its way in October's federal election.

It's partly the result of people moving away from their traditional voting patterns and being increasingly open to new options. It's a trend more than a few candidates are counting on this fall.

Establishment parties are struggling around the globe. In recent elections to the European Parliament — the largest democratic exercise in the world after India's elections — the two groupings of parties that always have held sway lost their combined majority for the first time.

That anti-establishment vote splintered in different directions. Far-right populists, Greens and pro-EU liberals all made gains at the expense of the centre-right European People's Party and the centre-left Socialists & Democrats.

In the United Kingdom, one recent poll gave no party even a quarter of the vote. Labour and the Conservatives, the only two parties that have governed the country since the end of the First World War, were tied for third behind the Liberal Democrats and Nigel Farage's upstart Brexit Party, which just finished first in the U.K. in those European elections.

More minority governments than ever before


Provincial legislatures in Canada are also looking more kaleidoscopic. Breakthroughs by the Greens led to minority governments in British Columbia in 2017 and in Prince Edward Island earlier this year. In New Brunswick, the Greens were joined by the populist People's Alliance in contributing to a hung legislature in 2018.

In Newfoundland and Labrador, wins by two Independents and three candidates for the NDP — a party that has never formed government in the province — helped reduce the incumbent Liberals to just 20 seats in the 40-seat House of Assembly.


Brexit Party leader Nigel Farage arrives at the party's HQ, prior to an event to mark the gains his party made in the European Elections, in London, Monday, May 27, 2019. (Vudi Xhymshiti/The Associated Press)

That makes four minority governments across the country, more than have ever existed in Canada's provinces at the same time. It surpasses the record of three minority provincial governments that was met just three times in the past: in 1920-22, 1943-45 and 1971-72.

Judging by national polls, Canadians appear prepared to prevent any party from securing a majority government in October's federal election as well.

Votes for non-traditional parties hit a new high


According to the CBC's Canada Poll Tracker, an aggregation of all publicly available polling data, nearly 14 per cent of Canadians are prepared to vote for parties or candidates that have never formed either a government or an Official Opposition. If that trend holds in the October vote, it would result in the lowest combined score for the Liberals, Conservatives, New Democrats and Bloc Québécois (and their predecessor parties) since 1945.

Most of that vote is currently going to the Greens, who stand at just under 10 per cent in the polls. The rest is split between the People's Party, other small parties and Independent candidates.

Two Independent candidates in particular have contributed to the fall in support for one of the establishment parties. It was after the SNC-Lavalin affair, and the subsequent caucus departures of Jody Wilson-Raybould and Jane Philpott, that the Liberals saw their support plummet.

The two former cabinet ministers announced this week they'd run as Independents, calling for a movement of more "independent partisans" across the country.

That isn't a new idea, by the way. It echoes the movement that caused Canada's first period of minority rule.

Voting for something different


After the cataclysm of the First World War, the state of politics around the world was in flux. That phenomenon extended to Canada, where new parties began to win seats and form governments across the country.

Most successful were the Progressives and Farmers' parties. The United Farmers of Ontario stormed to power in 1919 with a minority government, propped up by Labour members who themselves made their first breakthrough. The next year, Farmer and Labour candidates made inroads in provincial elections in Manitoba and New Brunswick, resulting in minority governments in those two provinces as well. The United Farmers secured a majority government in Alberta in 1921.

The federal expression of this movement, the Progressive Party, finished second in the 1921 election, resulting in the country's first minority government. But the Progressives didn't see themselves as a traditional party and declined the opportunity to form the Official Opposition. The party believed in freeing their MPs from the overbearing control of a centralized leadership — a view that was shared by the Farmers' parties at the provincial levels.

The problem with this approach soon became clear, as a lack of unity made it difficult to hold the parties together. The United Farmers of Ontario went down to defeat in 1923 and the federal Progressive Party was splintered and significantly reduced by 1925, descending into irrelevance by the 1930s.


An early photo of the leaders of the Co-operative Commonwealth Federation, with its first leader, J.S. Woodsworth standing in the middle. From left to right, future NDP leader Tommy Douglas, Angus MacInnis, A.A. Heaps, M.J. Coldwell (who led the party into the 1945 election), Grace MacInnis and Grant MacNeill. (Yousuf Karsh fonds/National Archives of Canada)

The next series of minority governments also coincided with a time when voters were coming unglued from their old voting habits.

In the midst of the Second World War (armed conflicts have a tendency to shake up domestic politics) the Co-operative Commonwealth Federation (the CCF, forerunner of the NDP) surged in the polls. In 1943, a Gallup survey had the CCF narrowly ahead in a three-way national race, following on provincial breakthroughs in B.C. and Manitoba in 1941 that prevented any party from winning a majority.

The Ontario CCF made a significant breakthrough in the 1943 provincial election and came within four seats of forming government. In 1944, the party formed its first provincial government — a majority — in Saskatchewan under Tommy Douglas.

These breakthroughs had an impact on the federal scene. Liberal Leader W.L. Mackenzie King fell just short of a majority in 1945 as the CCF and Social Credit made inroads in the West and Quebecers voted for Independent Liberals and Bloc populaire candidates who opposed conscription.


A global moment of disruption?


While minority governments coincided in Ottawa and a number of provincial capitals in the 1920s, and at the time of the federal elections of 1945 and 1972, there were also moments when national splits didn't filter down to the provinces. There were no provincial minority governments when John Diefenbaker and Lester Pearson presided over federal minorities in the 1960s.

The Paul Martin and Stephen Harper minority government periods from 2004 to 2011 saw only a single minority provincial government at any one time.

But the number of incumbent governments that have gone down to defeat over the last four years is higher than it's been since the Great Depression. At the same time, Canada has set a new record for the number of minority governments.

It might suggest the country is experiencing a moment of political disruption — one that could bode well for non-traditional parties and independent candidates this fall. In that, Canada isn't alone.



About the Author






Éric Grenier
Politics and polls
Éric Grenier is a senior writer and the CBC's polls analyst. He was the founder of ThreeHundredEight.com and has written for The Globe and Mail, Huffington Post Canada, The Hill Times, Le Devoir, and L’actualité.


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